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It's funny that he thought he could keep getting away with it. 61F to 72F to 61F between 9-10pm. lol https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/obhistory.php?date=2026-04-15&sortdir=asc&windunits=mph&station=LFPG&network=FR__ASOS&metar=0&madis=0

Yeah and a slight chance at some wet snow at the highest elevations Saturday night.

Actual analysis and honestly, I think SW VA and especially eastern WV might be in for an interesting evening. Though we are socked in the wedge; WV and points west of Shenandoah will clear out high level clouds and are getting surface heating, as a consequence we are seeing CAPE values rise past 1000 pretty quick. The three hour CAPE change really shows that area of clearing in the warm sector ahead of the front too. If we are able to burn enough of the low clouds (which is doubtful) then even central VA could get some surface based storms. Our surface LRs do suck - as expected - but clearly that's not stopping rotating supercells from occurring at time of writing in WV. After all our wind environment is on the "concerning" side for what we usually see in our area. We have good turning with height (seen with HRRR predicted sounding for Cvill). I mainly felt compelled to make this post after seeing the cell over central WV which has a nice rotating updraft and hook echo. Feels like tonight is a night that probably won't see anything happen; but, on a rare chance could be a night to remember for some unlucky folks.

My soil has been above 55 for over a week now, the top layer was frosty that last cold day but since its been fine. If i wait too much longer i worry that the grass wont take before our usual july dry heatwave thatll cook it. Taking a chance but i dont want to spend hundreds or thousands just for grass either lol

Thank you to you and @Eskimo Joe for the upcoming update! Had to retire my backyard station after another sensor broke, and after 10+ years of use, I say I got my moneys worth. Until I get a new one I’m relying on Mesonet and often forget to check precip totals the next day and then can’t go backwards in time haha

Looks like a nothing burger out of this event. Can we ever get a juiced system again?

Great, really need UVA to get slabbed to cancel my finals so I'm putting all my eggs in this basket.

Another great day here..70 or so…that makes 4 in a row. Last week this time had upper 40’s to mid 50’s with rain chances all these days(Saturday-Wednesday).

Last few days have been nice. Even today isn’t bad. Looks like that ends tomorrow though. Into the gauntlet

Lol, what's up with these June contract temperatures?

Indeed. Looks like May flips the script a bit though with a rather chilly look, at least to start.

Time to start the countdown to 2056 thread?

This reminds me of a snowstorm setup in many ways

Well, it’s clear that there’s a long-term warming trend on top of oscillations like El Niño–Southern Oscillation—and it’s especially noticeable over the past decade. ENSO explains short-term variability, not the rising baseline.

Yes—strong El Niños do cause short-term spikes in global temperature. But ENSO is an internal oscillation—it redistributes heat, it doesn’t create it. Over time, those effects average out. The fact that each ‘step up’ tends to land higher than the last is the signal of underlying greenhouse warming. That’s exactly the kind of ‘stair-step’ behavior that James Hansen has pointed to.

Winter 2026/27 preview?

Latest HRRR really tries to give the Mason-Dixon counties a solid few hours of soaking rain.

give it another several weeks

Warmest April is in the bag. We’re running a degree and a half ahead of 2017 with just two days left in the month, which, although chilly, will still allow us to finish close to a full degree ahead.

Matt is correct about it being an upcoming feature although you can submit a data request here. We send it to you in a CSV file.

Why can’t we get that?

South trend continues with the weekend rain too...

Man that year it rained literally every. Single. Weekend. I think we broke some kind of record for consecutive weekends of rain, lol

Thunder and a little shower here now.

Thankful for the rains we received. I’d say a solid 3-4” through out the midstate. Love seeing the cooler temps. I will gladly take a cool May. The longer the heat is delayed the shorter the summer in my opinion.