Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,997
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah my area a little west of NYC usually has one of the lower dewpoints in the tri-state. Newark has a dewpoint of only 65 right now too. 

Weather Underground is not that reliable some of those stations have crazy low or high numbers.  Seems like the line in central - eastern PA is splitting no warnings in the northern half above Harrisburg

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

If that. Rrfs dries out the 2nd one as well giving us nothing

looks like it might be right with this 2nd one coming through sooner then later moving fast even though a watch was issued

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Cell seems to have weakened a bit but is still warned

Baltimore in a tornado warning

not much but some heavy showers up this way - all the heavier severe stuff went south

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A few showers or thundershowers are possible this evening and early tonight. Tomorrow will be another very warm day.

Above normal temperatures will persist through Wednesday or Thursday. Highs will generally top out in the middle and upper 80s. 

Cooler air will move into the region to close of the week. As a result, Friday through Sunday could see highs mainly in the upper lower 80s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was +2.00 today. That ended the 91-day streak during which the SOI was negative.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.138 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.2° (0.1° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...