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Another opportunity for a soaking rain event Tuesday into Wednesday. A PRE-like feature could develop from the tropical system in the Gulf.

Generally cooler conditions the rest of the month with a trough in the East. Possibly more rainfall chances during this period. So multiple stations are on track for their wettest month in a while. 

Then we wait and see what pattern emerges after this as we head into August. 
 

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14 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

This ends the drought 

We need to see months of wetter condions to end the longer term drought. This is a nice start if we can build on it. So August will be important to see if this continues. 

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76 / 65 sunny.  Nice day on tap today / Monday dry low - mid 80s.  Tue / Wed next shot at greater than an inch of rain widespread with trough into the east and tropical flow below and boundary nearby. We'll see if the heavier rains stay south into the VA area. Beyond there Thu - the coming weekend look overall near - below normal - likely capped in the 80s (no 90s in the perud).  Trough lingers into the east and should include unforeseen rain chances in that period. Western ridge and heat builds from the TX area into the plain and comes east 7/27 and beyond , could see a heat back to close the month / start August, but brunt of the strongest heat to the south and west till then.

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2013)
NYC: 102 (1977)
LGA: 100 (2013)
JFK: 97 (1963)



Lows:

EWR: 60 (1962)
NYC: 57 (1924)
LGA: 62 (2000)
JFK: 61 (1962)



Historical: 

 

1850: Tropical storm to the east of DC caused trees and signs to be blown down and some buildings were damaged. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1886 - A hurricane from the Gulf of Mexico crossed Florida causing great damage from Cedar Keys to Jacksonville. (David Ludlum)

1886: The 1886 Atlanta Hurricane season was a very active year with ten hurricanes, seven of which struck the United States. During the evening hours of July 18th, a category 1 storm made landfall near Homosassa Springs, Florida. Damage was slight as the area was thinly inhabited. The hurricane weakened to tropical storm status south of Gainsville and emerged on the eastern side of Florida, south of Jacksonville during the morning hours of the 19th. This was the fourth hurricane to make landfall in the United States. 

 

1935: Boston, Massachusetts recorded the highest average one minute wind velocity from the northwest at 52 mph. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)
 

1960 - Cow Creek and Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA, reported morning lows of 102 degrees. The afternoon high at Greenland Ranch was 124 degrees, and the high at Cow Creek that afternoon was 126 degrees. The coolest low for the entire month for both locations was 82 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

 

1972: The record coldest July temperature was tied at Billings, MT at 41° (also occurred 7/4/1972). The high for the day was a chilly 47°, the only occurrence of a July high temperature less than 50°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1974 - A severe thunderstorm with winds to 80 mph and up to two inches of rain washed out four to five foot deep sections of roadway in Lake Havasu City, AZ. Three persons in a station wagon died as it was carried 3000 feet down a wash by a ten foot wall of water. (The Weather Channel)

1977 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains over parts of southwestern Pennsylvania. Some places receive more than twelve inches in a seven hour period. The heavy rains cause flash flooding along streams resulting in widespread severe damage. The cloudburst floods Johnstown with up to ten feet of water resulting in 76 deaths, countless injuries, and 424 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1983: July 19, ........"The I-94 Derecho"....ND, MN, IA, WI, MI, IL, IN

1987 - Fifteen cities in the western and the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Winnemucca, NV, with a reading of 33 degrees. Flagstaff AZ reported a record low of 34 degrees. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in New York State and New Jersey. High winds and hail two inches in diameter injured two persons and caused considerable damage to crops in the Pine Island area of central New York State. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced more than five inches of rain at Red Cloud, including two inches in fifteen minutes. Torrid temperatures continued over California, with record highs of 115 degrees at Red Bluff and 116 degrees at Redding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Early morning thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley produced 5.50 inches of rain south of Alexander, AR, in just ninety minutes, and flash flooding which resulted claimed the life of one woman. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.95 inches of rain in twelve hours east of Muncie. Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Las Vegas, NV, with a reading of 115 degrees, and Phoenix, AZ, with a high of 116 degrees. The low that night at Phoenix of 93 degrees was the warmest of record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1993: In Winnsboro, SC, lightning hit a nearby tree and resulting debris fell on a car. The driver left the car to sweep debris away, saying “lightning never strikes twice in the same spot.” He was wrong. CPR saved him. The soles of his wife's shoes were also blown off. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2005 - Severe heat  gripped the region during early to mid-July. Las Vegas, NV tied their all-time record high temperature of 117 degrees, equalling the old record set on July 24, 1942.

2006 - The first of two severe thunderstorms hits the St. Louis area, causing the largest power outage in the city's history with over 570,000 people losing electricity.

2006: A derecho impacted a sellout crowd of almost 44,000 St. Louis Cardinals fans, packed into the new Busch Stadium. Winds of about 80 mph whirled around the St. Louis area, sending the fans running for shelter. The winds knocked out power and broke windows out of the press box. Nearly two minutes after the winds began at 100 mph, they stopped, and it started to rain. In all, about 30 people were injured at the stadium

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Hope this forecast verifies for northern Minnesota and Canada with 0.5 - more inches of rain on the wild fires. Back south Bertha to keep southeast / ec wet , also notice the southwest monsoon moisture kinking into gear.

 

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Total rainfall here yesterday was .99".  Received .92" from morning round and just .07" from the second round during the evening.

Nice out this morning with a light breeze, generally blue skies although some slight haze is lingering.  Smoke still continues to spill into the western lakes region and then filters east from there.  Much more diluted than recent days.

Rainfall map attached.  Western areas of the sub forum kind of got shafted.  Surprised some locations didn't see bigger totals based on training echoes on radar yesterday south of 78 and north of I195 and across the city and LI.

My lawn is looking great for mid July!  I have not had to water much if at all over the last month around here.

Enjoy the day!

 

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Another opportunity for a soaking rain event Tuesday into Wednesday. A PRE-like feature could develop from the tropical system in the Gulf.

Generally cooler conditions the rest of the month with a trough in the East. Possibly more rainfall chances during this period. So multiple stations are on track for their wettest month in a while. 

Then we wait and see what pattern emerges after this as we head into August. 
 

IMG_7043.thumb.png.03bc9098590bd765eb56a8228effb9dc.png

 

IMG_7044.thumb.webp.b3c98c4da57c6a6702ca22c83f2fd552.webp

IMG_7045.thumb.webp.5222abda4699e650e806bd7a35ca5b82.webp


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We'll see what August has to offer but you have to think the hottest of the hot is behind us for this summer.  With the wet period underway that would tend to make it harder to reach into the upper 90's +.  

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58 minutes ago, MANDA said:

We'll see what August has to offer but you have to think the hottest of the hot is behind us for this summer.  With the wet period underway that would tend to make it harder to reach into the upper 90's +.  

Yeah, the 100°+ heat has generally been occurring earlier in the summer since 2010 than in previous decades.  Only 2 years since then recorded 100° heat between August 1st and 9th. No 100° heat from August 10th onward.

First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Minimum 06-09 (2011) 06-30 (2021) 0
Mean 07-01 07-21 19
Maximum 07-20 (2022) 08-09 (2022) 43
2025 06-23 (2025) 101 07-30 (2025) 100 36
2024 06-21 (2024) 100 08-01 (2024) 100 40
2023 - - - - -
2022 07-20 (2022) 100 08-09 (2022) 101 19
2021 06-29 (2021) 102 06-30 (2021) 103 0
2020 - - - - -
2019 - - - - -
2018 - - - - -
2017 - - - - -
2016 - - - - -
2015 - - - - -
2014 - - - - -
2013 07-18 (2013) 101 07-19 (2013) 100 0
2012 07-07 (2012) 102 07-18 (2012) 104 10
2011 06-09 (2011) 102 07-23 (2011) 102 43
2010 07-04 (2010) 101 07-07 (2010) 101 2


 

First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Minimum 06-15 (1994) 06-19 (1994) 0
Mean 07-11 07-25 13
Maximum 08-07 (2001) 09-03 (1993) 75
2009 - - - - -
2008 - - - - -
2007 - - - - -
2006 08-01 (2006) 100 08-03 (2006) 101 1
2005 07-27 (2005) 101 08-13 (2005) 102 16
2004 - - - - -
2003 - - - - -
2002 07-04 (2002) 100 08-13 (2002) 100 39
2001 08-07 (2001) 100 08-09 (2001) 105 1
2000 - - - - -
1999 07-05 (1999) 103 07-19 (1999) 100 13
1998 - - - - -
1997 07-15 (1997) 101 07-17 (1997) 100 1
1996 - - - - -
1995 07-15 (1995) 104 07-15 (1995) 104 0
1994 06-15 (1994) 101 06-19 (1994) 102 3
1993 06-19 (1993) 102 09-03 (1993) 100 75
1992 - - - - -
1991 07-20 (1991) 100 07-21 (1991) 102 0
1990 - - - - -
1989 - - - - -
1988 06-22 (1988) 101 07-17 (1988) 100 24
1987 - - - - -
1986 07-07 (1986) 100 07-07 (1986) 100 0
1985 - - - - -
1984 - - - - -
1983 - - - - -
1982 07-18 (1982) 100 07-18 (1982) 100 0
1981 - - - - -

 

First/Last Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Minimum 06-21 (1953) 06-26 (1943) 0
Mean 07-14 07-27 12
Maximum 08-28 (1973) 09-02 (1953) 72
1980 07-20 (1980) 101 07-21 (1980) 101 0
1979 - - - - -
1978 - - - - -
1977 07-19 (1977) 100 07-21 (1977) 102 1
1976 - - - - -
1975 - - - - -
1974 - - - - -
1973 08-28 (1973) 100 08-28 (1973) 100 0
1972 - - - - -
1971 - - - - -
1970 - - - - -
1969 - - - - -
1968 - - - - -
1967 - - - - -
1966 06-27 (1966) 101 07-13 (1966) 100 15
1965 - - - - -
1964 - - - - -
1963 07-01 (1963) 100 07-01 (1963) 100 0
1962 - - - - -
1961 - - - - -
1960 - - - - -
1959 06-29 (1959) 100 06-29 (1959) 100 0
1958 - - - - -
1957 07-22 (1957) 101 07-22 (1957) 101 0
1956 - - - - -
1955 07-05 (1955) 101 08-02 (1955) 100 27
1954 07-14 (1954) 102 07-31 (1954) 103 16
1953 06-21 (1953) 100 09-02 (1953) 105 72
1952 06-26 (1952) 102 06-26 (1952) 102 0
1951 - - - - -
1950 - - - - -
1949 07-03 (1949) 100 08-11 (1949) 102 38
1948 08-26 (1948) 103 08-28 (1948) 102 1
1947 - - - - -
1946 - - - - -
1945 - - - - -
1944 08-04 (1944) 100 08-13 (1944) 100 8
1943 06-25 (1943) 100 06-26 (1943) 102 0
1942 - - - - -
1941 - - - - -
1940 - - - - -
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53 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Top ten day. Surprised Adventureland isn’t more crowded 

Definitely...bit hot in the sun but beautiful in the shade with the breeze.  I wonder if the World Cup has anything to do with lower than normal crowds.  Google Map is showing much less traffic than I would've expected on a nice summer Sunday.

Ended yesterday's rain event with 1.80" of rain in NE Queens.  Most of it was from the noontime deluge, as we missed the bulk of the afternoon/evening storms to the north and south.

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1 hour ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Top ten day. Surprised Adventureland isn’t more crowded 

one of the few this summer so far IMO between the excessive long heat spells combined with high humidity and the recent smoke and flooding rains - this summer has not been that great if you enjoy spending time outdoors.........maybe we will get a longer stretch of comfortable nicer weather starting next Thursday..........

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