July 2026

[steve392]

Gorgeous clear morning! 68 degrees out. 

[gravitylover]

Cloudy, dry and 65° but the smoke from the western fires is noticeable. AQI in the high 60s isn't horrible but it's enough to see and feel.

[bluewave]

All-time record highs with this developing record 600 dm ridge. The 850 mb plume is forecast to set all-time warmest 850mb temperatures from Ontario into the Northeast.

But the models have the 850 mb temperatures peaking at night. So they actually begin coming down a bit during Wednesday afternoon.

The Euro and GFS both have 100°-103° at the warmest spots across the region Wednesday. 
 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
506 PM MDT SUN JUL 12 2026

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...

HERE IS A SUMMARY OF DAILY RECORDS AND ALL-TIME RECORDS TIED OR 
BROKEN SO FAR TODAY, SUNDAY, JULY 12TH.

DAILY RECORDS BROKEN

SITE       HIGH TEMP   PREVIOUS RECORD   PERIOD OF RECORD BEGINS
BILLINGS      111        107 (2002)             1934
LIVINGSTON    105        103 (2002)             1948
MILES CITY    115        104 (1954)             1937
SHERIDAN      109        104 (2002)             1907
BAKER         110        103 (2006)             1998

ALL-TIME RECORDS TIED OR BROKEN

SITE       HIGH TEMP   PREVIOUS ALL-TIME RECORD   PERIOD OF RECORD BEGINS
BILLINGS      111         108 (7/14/2002)                1934
LIVINGSTON    105         105 (8/5/1961)                 1948
MILES CITY    115         111 (6/26/2012)                1937
SHERIDAN      109         107 (7/27/2021)                1907
BAKER         110         109 (7/25/2024)                1998

AN UPDATED SUMMARY OF DAILY AND ALL-TIME RECORDS WILL BE SENT AT THE
END OF THE DAY IF NEEDED.

 

[SACRUS]

74 / 64  mid - upper 80s as ridge slowly builds in, centered by MN.  Peak heat Tue - FRI  with highest temps Tue / Wed upper 90s to some 100's into NJ South.  Ridge pulls back and boundary fires up storms this weekend.  Overall near to above normal the weekend to mid next week before next piece of het comes east and the Wstern Atlantics ridge builds into the Bermuda position towards the end of next week.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (1966)
NYC: 101 (1966)
LGA: 99 (1966)
JFK: 94 (1992)




Lows:

EWR: 57 (1940)
NYC: 54 (1888)
LGA: 58 (1990)
JFK: 58 (1990)



Historical:

 

1895 - A tornado struck Cherry Hill in New Jersey causing fifty thousand dollars damage. It also descended into the Harlem and Woodhaven areas of New York City killing one person, and finally ended as a waterspout in Jamaica Bay. (David Ludlum)

1922: The mercury hit 134 °F at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, CA on July 10, 1913 the hottest reading of record for the World. The old world record has been revoked. Sandstorm conditions accompanied the heat. The high the previous day was 129° following a morning low of 93 degrees. The previous world record of 136 °F at El Azizia, Libya has been revoked The World Meteorological Organization (WMO)committee concluded that "the most compelling scenario for the July 13,1922 event was that a new and inexperienced observer, not trained in the use of an unsuitable replacement instrument that could be easily misread, improperly recorded the observation and was consequently in error by about seven degrees Celsius."  Death Valley is now the Earth's Highest Temperature Record

1936: Mio, Michigan : The highest temperature ever recorded in Michigan: 112 °F. Dells, Wisconsin : The highest temperature ever recorded in Wisconsin : 114 °F. (Ref. Lowest and Highest Temperatures for the 50 States) (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)

1951: Rivers across eastern Kansas crest well above flood stage, causing the most significant destruction from flooding in the Midwestern United States at that time. Five-hundred-thousand people were left homeless, and 24 people died in the disaster. Click HERE for more information from the History Channel. 

1964: Clouds, rain and a cool northeast wind holds the high temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s across West Michigan. The high of 59° at Grand Rapids, MI was only the second time in over a hundred years of record that the temperature did not reach 60° on a July day. Early morning lows dropped in ot the lower and middle 30’s across parts of the northern Plains. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1975 - Dover, DE, was deluged with 8.50 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour record for the state. (The Weather Channel)

1977 - Lightning struck a key electrical transmission line in Westchester County of southeastern New York State plunging New York City into darkness. (David Ludlum)

1980 - Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Memphis, TN, 108 degrees at Macon, GA, and 105 degrees at Atlanta, GA, established all-time records for those three cities. The high of 110 degrees at Newington, GA, was just two degrees shy of the state record. (The Weather Channel)

1982: Lightning struck a woman in Chesterfield County, VA . She was sitting on a metal swing set in her back yard, and though she could hear thunder, she did not go indoors. She heard a loud noise and felt pain. Lightning struck the swing set and traveled through her body to the ground. Her shoes were blown off her feet and she received burns on her back and legs.  (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

1987 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed across the Midwest. Ten cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Casper, WY, with a reading of 39 degrees. By way of contrast, record heat was reported in the eastern U.S., with highs of 93 degrees at Burlington, VT, and 101 degrees around Miami, FL. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - There were just three reports of severe weather across the country, and just one record high temperature reported. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to the Tennessee Valley area, producing nine inches at Senatobia, MS. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - A thunderstorm at Albany, GA, produced 1.40 inches of rain in forty minutes, along with wind gusts to 82 mph. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Corpus Christi, TX, 110 degrees at Tucson, AZ, and 114 degrees at Phoenix, AZ, equalled records for the date. Greenwood, MS, reported 55.65 inches of precipitation for the year, twice the amount normally received by mid July. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

1993: Heavy rains of 3 to 5 inches in an hour caused flooding of streets and roads at Dodge City, KS. Standing water of one and a half to two feet was reported in southwestern Dodge City. In south central Kansas, heavy rains in Kiowa County caused widespread flooding and as much as 8 inches of rain was reported in portions of the county. The Rattlesnake Creek was out of its banks throughout the county and was reported to be as wide as five miles near the Edwards county line. Railroad tracks were washed out south of Kiowa County Lake. The water subsided around 5 AM the next day.  Major flooding on the Mississippi River produced a record river crest at Quincy, IL of 32.3 feet; eclipsing the old record of 28.9 feet set in April 1973. At mid-month, only 5 of 28 bridges that cross the river into Illinois were open. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1995: Many daily record high temperatures and three all time record highs were recorded as the deadly July 1995 heat wave continued unabated from the Midwest to the Atlantic coast. All time highs set included: Genoa, WI: 109°, Milwaukee, WI: 108°, La Crosse, WI: tied at 108°, Chicago, IL: 106°, Necedah, WI: 104°, Trempealeau, WI: 103°, Decorah, IA: 102° and Guttenberg, IA: 102°. Heat indices soared to well over 120° in many areas and close to 130° at Chicago, IL & Cedar Rapids, IA as dew point temperatures were in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. 553 people died in Chicago alone from the heat. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1996: Annandale Weather Center had 2.11 inches rain in 24 hours from Hurricane Bertha. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records - KRIC)(Ref. More information about Hurricane Bertha)

2002: Winds up to 80 mph swept through Kingman, AZ damaged or destroyed dozens of homes. Four people were also injured from flying debris. In Chloride, winds were estimated at 100 mph which caused significant damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2004: A violent tornado quickly developed across Woodford County, Illinois during the mid afternoon. This tornado was at F4 intensity as it demolished a manufacturing plant four miles west of Roanoke. Although 140 people were inside at the time, all escaped injury by reaching storm shelters a few minutes before the tornado's arrival. Steel beams and metal siding from the plant were found approximately three quarters of a mile east in a farm field.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2008: A streak of 24 consecutive days (ending August 5th) of 90° or higher began on this date at Denver, CO. This shattered their previous record of 18 days established in 1901 and 1974. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

[NEG NAO]

[TriPol]

2 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

Shocked that they're only going with a heat advisory and not a warning.

[SACRUS]

80 now

 

 

[Brian5671]

8 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Shocked that they're only going with a heat advisory and not a warning.

May change later....

[gravitylover]

These little passing showers are annoying 

[BxEngine]

Pretty awful short term forecast  model bust today…have seen the sun for maybe 10 mins. 

[NEG NAO]

30 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

Pretty awful short term forecast  model bust today…have seen the sun for maybe 10 mins. 

Not the first time Upton  has busted on the cloud cover forecast - happens quite often.....

[Brian5671]

Clouds are shrinking a bit in coverage now.  Still cloudy here, 79

[MANDA]

This is old news by now but there was quite a bit of damage with those holiday weekend storms.  No wonder it took so long to get the power back.

Next hurricane of substance that blows through the tri-state is going to be a big problem.  Some people around my part of NJ were without power for a week.  Something that affects the entire area with 60-80 mph winds is going to be a nightmare in terms of power outages.  Not a matter of if but when.

[donsutherland1]

A brief push of heat from an impressive heat dome over the Central and Northern Plains that sent the mercury to all-time records of 109° at Salt Lake City and 110° at Billings, MT could send temperatures into the 90s tomorrow through Thursday. The potential exists for Newark to approach 100° at the height of the short period of heat. Friday will also be very warm before the temperatures ease for the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -38.53 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.360 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.7° (1.2° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

[SnoSki14]

We're fortunate those 850s temps peak at night otherwise we would've seen another round of 105+ temps. All time state records would've been on the table. 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs
 

TEB: 90
EWR: 88
New Brnswck: 87
PHL: 86
LGA: 85
TTN: 85
BLM: 84
NYC: 84
ACY: 83
JFK: 82
ISP: 81

[Stormlover74]

Euro and gfs hinting at rain Saturday..Hopefully holding off til at night

[TheClimateChanger]

Going to be getting real smoky soon.

 

[TheClimateChanger]

Looks like most of it stays aloft tomorrow.

[TWCCraig]

Smoke from wildfires in Ontario and Minnesota near the border will make its way into the area tomorrow. This smoke is mostly elevated so it'll make tomorrow's skies more gray than blue. Wednesday's heat potential is significant for coastal locations. Decent WNW wind could allow temps near 100 right to the beaches

[TheClimateChanger]

12 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

Smoke from wildfires in Ontario and Minnesota near the border will make its way into the area tomorrow. This smoke is mostly elevated so it'll make tomorrow's skies more gray than blue. Wednesday's heat potential is significant for coastal locations. Decent WNW wind could allow temps near 100 right to the beaches

Looks like maybe more surface smoke on Wednesday if the RAP is correct. Will have to watch out for this, as this could hold back high temperatures some.

[TheClimateChanger]

Wow, this looks quite bad.

[jm1220]

Well-wildfire smoke wasn’t quite what I expected to keep it below 100. 

[gravitylover]

AQI numbers are still in the mid 60s, like yesterday morning, but it's different. It's like the air is "heavier". 

[NEG NAO]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Well-wildfire smoke wasn’t quite what I expected to keep it below 100. 

Wednesday the smoke could reach all the way to the surface in some areas- that combined with the very hot temps could make it the most dangerous day of the season so far..........

[steve392]

Gorgeous morning.  Nice breeze bringing in that ocean air smell into Meadowlands in Kearny, seagulls laughing. Close you eyes you could almost envision being at the shore. 

[FPizz]

21 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Gorgeous morning.  Nice breeze bringing in that ocean air smell into Meadowlands in Kearny, seagulls laughing. Close you eyes you could almost envision being at the shore. 

Beats the usual smells in that area