June 2026

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Near to record start to the severe season in that area. Illinois has seen some of the biggest increases in tornadoes over the years. Hopefully, the models are correct and the worst storms stay north of Chicago for your vacation. 
 

 

Thanks. Either way not looking forward to the scorcher. Looks like it could be pushing 100 with ridiculous dews that happen in the Midwest. 

[WX-PA]

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

Right now 95°-99° like the GFS and GEM looks like the floor. The ceiling is probably around 100°+ like the Euro has. Unfortunately, this will continue to dry things out. 
 

 

There goes  the 1997 anolog..July 97 was cool.July 82 was warm..seems like 82 might be a better one..but who knows.Weather does whatever it wants

[MANDA]

3 hours ago, Picard said:

Another drencher last night - I had 1.8" the Lafayette gauge and 1.85" in the gauge here.
Nice training thunderstorms.  Too bad they didn't make it further south.

Had .63" here overnight for a total of 3.55" this week.  Going to be some winners and losers in the June rainfall tallies.

[psv88]

0.18" overnight

[MANDA]

Rainfall from overnight and for the week.

 

Click to enlarge

[SACRUS]

Seems like board probkems persist, or just me?

 

 

Up to 83 here some breaks in the clouds with the sun pushing up temps.

[qg_omega]

Pouring buckets, bye bye drought

[Dan76]

24 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Seems like board probkems persist, or just me?

 

 

Up to 83 here some breaks in the clouds with the sun pushing up temps.

It's screwed up for days NE forum complaining to

[NEG NAO]

[FPizz]

1 hour ago, Dan76 said:

It's screwed up for days NE forum complaining to

Board is messed up

[donsutherland1]

It will be mainly cloudy tomorrow. Some showers are possible tonight into tomorrow.

A warming trend could commence on Sunday. The guidance increasingly suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June and start July. Some of the guidance suggests that the region could see its highest temperatures so far this summer during the middle of next week. Baltimore, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC will all likely see the temperatures peak at or above 100°. 

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -13.92 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.710 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 97% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.4 (1.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[MANDA]

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Seems like board probkems persist, or just me?

 

 

Up to 83 here some breaks in the clouds with the sun pushing up temps.

Terrible.  Wish they would fix it.  Takes forever to get logged in if you even can get logged it.  Glad I'm not the only one having issues.

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs

ACY: 89
New Brnswck: 85
BLM: 84
EWR: 84
PHL: 84
TEB: 84
LGA: 84
TTN: 83
NYC: 80
JFK: 79
ISP: 78

[Picard]

5 hours ago, FPizz said:

Board is messed up

I'm having all sorts of issues too.  Almost gave up reading anything tonight as it was taking forever to load.  I got a "Bad Gateway" error also.

[bluewave]

18 hours ago, WX-PA said:

There goes  the 1997 anolog..July 97 was cool.July 82 was warm..seems like 82 might be a better one..but who knows.Weather does whatever it wants

We knew back in May when NJ hit 100° that we were on a much warmer summer super El Niño track than what we have seen before. The floor now looks like 102°-104° at the  usual warm spots as the GFS and CMC have. The Euro is really going bonkers over 105°+. This is about  as warm as we have seen all 3 major models  go within a 7 day forecast. 
 

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

We knew back in May when NJ hit 100° that we were on a much warmer summer super El Niño track than what we have seen before. The floor now looks like 102°-104° at the  usual warm spots as the GFS and CMC have. The Euro is really going bonkers over 105°+. This is about  as warm as we have seen all 3 major models  go within a 7 day forecast. 
 


 

If this verified, which it looks more and more likely, it’s going to be a potentially dangerous situation. We have several hundred thousand people coming to jones beach for the 250th special air show and fireworks.


.

[SnoSki14]

32 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We knew back in May when NJ hit 100° that we were on a much warmer summer super El Niño track than what we have seen before. The floor now looks like 102°-104° at the  usual warm spots as the GFS and CMC have. The Euro is really going bonkers over 105°+. This is about  as warm as we have seen all 3 major models  go within a 7 day forecast. 
 

 

How are dews looking? 

[forkyfork]

i'm so glad climate change is not letting us have a cool nino summer

[TriPol]

Good thing I have no air conditioning!

[SACRUS]

75 / 67 clouds - showers.  Less than had been expected earlier in the week with general showers, light rain and occasional quick heavy shower with .10 - 0.45.  Clears out tomorrow then the ridge buillds in by later Monday now centered a bit east with 850 temps >20c Tue - Sat peak heat 850 MB temps >22C Tue - Sat  upper 90s / low 100s.  Ridge >594 DM in the period with a bit of a pull back towards the late 4/5th but overall remaining warm - hot 7/5 - beyond.   The risk of isolated or scattered showers the holiday weekend but overall 90% looking good.  beaches and coast the seabreeze keeps the worst heat just back.   

[SACRUS]

Records:
 

Highs:

EWR: 101 (1966)
NYC: 101 (1966)
LGA: 97 (2003)
JFK: 98 (1963)


Lows:

EWR: 52 (1940)
NYC: 55 (1940)
LGA: 56 (1972)
JFK: 54 (1965)

HIstorical:

 

 

 

1881: Intense downpour of 2.34 inches in Washington, DC. was recorded in 37 minutes.
 

1901 - There was a rain of fish from the sky at Tiller's Ferry. Hundreds of fish were swimming between cotton rows after a heavy shower. (David Ludlum)

1915 - The temperature at Fort Yukon AK soared to 100 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

 

1923" Boston, Massachusetts recorded its lowest pressure 29.26 inches of mercury for the month of June. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

1957 - Hurricane Audrey smashed ashore at Cameron, LA, drowning 390 persons in the storm tide, and causing 150 million dollars damage in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi. Audrey left only a brick courthouse and a cement-block icehouse standing at Cameron, and when the waters settled in the town of Crede, only four buildings remained. The powerful winds of Audrey tossed a fishing boat weighing 78 tons onto an off-shore drilling platform. Winds along the coast gusted to 105 mph, and oil rigs off the Louisiana coast reported wind gusts to 180 mph. A storm surge greater than twelve feet inundated the Louisiana coast as much as 25 miles inland. It was the deadliest June hurricane of record for the U.S. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1978: Worst thunderstorm in 20 years wind gust greater than 70 mph in the Washington, DC. with over 1000 trees down in DC. and 100,000 homes with no power. (The Washington Post)

1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of Nebraska produced severe weather in north central Kansas after midnight. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph damaged more than fifty camping trailers at the state park campground at Lake Waconda injuring sixteen persons. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Beloit and Sylvan Grove. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - The afternoon high of 107 degrees at Bismarck, ND, was a record for the month of June, and Pensacola, FL, equalled their June record with a reading of 101 degrees. Temperatures in the Great Lakes Region and the Ohio Valley dipped into the 40s. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Ohio Valley to western New England. Thunderstorm spawned six tornadoes, and there were 98 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Tropical Storm Allison spawned six tornadoes in Louisiana, injuring two persons at Hackberry. Fort Polk LA was drenched with 10.09 inches of rain in 36 hours, and 12.87 inches was reported at the Gorum Fire Tower in northern Louisiana. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992: A severe thunderstorm dropped hail to golf ball size near the top of WA’s Sherman Pass; accumulations to 8 inches. 2 motorcyclists were injured in separate accidents due to the hail-clogged highway. Several cars slid into ditches. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

1994: Waste Isolation. Pilot Plant, New Mexico: High temperatures in the Southwest as New Mexico sets its hottest temperature ever: 122°F the state record.All-time record temperatures for the state tied at Tipton, Oklahoma: 120°F.
 

1995: The Madison County Flood on June 27, 1995, was the worst flash floods Virginia had seen since the remnants of Camille dropped up to 30 inches of rain one night in Nelson County in August 1969. The Nelson County flood ranked as one of the nation's worst flash floods of this century and resulted in the deaths of 117 people. The Madison County flood killed one person.


1999: June 27, 1999 (Scottsbluff, Nebraska area): Large hail caused extensive damage to crops and property. Twenty-five people were injured as large hail broke car windshields. The Scottsbluff zoo reported injuries to many animals, particularly birds. (Ref. Hail Events by Michael Mogil)

2010: The maximum temperature today at the Richmond International Airport was 102 °F which not only broke the record high temperature for the date, but was close to the 104 °F record maximum for the month of June. Only three June days have been hotter: (June 30, 1937 103 °F) (June 19, 1944 103 °F) (June 26, 1952 104 °F ) June 2010 also had 19 days of 90 °F or hotter temperatures the record was 20 in 1943. The Richmond International Airport reported the mean temperature for June was 81.1 °F which was a new 113 year record. This breaks the old record of 79.2 °F set in 1943 and was a +8.7 °F departure from average. June had 8 new daily temperature records and all were for heat. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC)

[SACRUS]

[weathermedic]

Upton's AFD regarding the heat mid-late week:

A highly anomalous amplified upper flow will be featured across
the country from mid to late week, with a trough out west and a
a high centered over the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Heights
are greater than 594 dm, about 2 SD above normal, and 85H temps
on Thursday on the latest 00Z GFS are at or just above 22C.
There is still some uncertainty with the upper ridge strength
and magnitude as disturbances round the ridge across the
Northeast. The 00Z GFS is still supporting a convective complex
dropping across the Northeast Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, sending a back door cold front through the area.

NBM temperatures for the long term were a few degrees too warm,
especially for Thursday and Friday, most notably with a 105
high temperature near KTEB on Thursday. This seems too high
with the aforementioned 22C at 85H. More realistic highs for NE
NJ are upper 90s to lower 100s, slightly lower for NYC with the
rest of the area in the middle to upper 90s, except cooler at
the immediate coast. Slightly cooler readings are expected
region-wide Friday. Record highs during this time are mainly
100 plus. So some pretty stout records are in place. If the NBM
highs pan out however, they would tie or break records for
Thursday.

Max heat index values reach Heat Advisory criteria (95-99 for
two days, 100-104 for one day) by Wednesday, with isolated
readings reaching Extreme Heat Warning criteria (105+).
Thursday will see widespread 105+ across the forecast area.
Lower max heat index values expected Friday, with Heat Advisory
possible for most places except NE NJ, NYC, and western Long
Island, where Extreme Heat Warnings may be possible once again.

[winterwx21]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

We knew back in May when NJ hit 100° that we were on a much warmer summer super El Niño track than what we have seen before. The floor now looks like 102°-104° at the  usual warm spots as the GFS and CMC have. The Euro is really going bonkers over 105°+. This is about  as warm as we have seen all 3 major models  go within a 7 day forecast. 
 

 

Hard to imagine the actual temp hitting 110. Gotta believe the Euro is overdoing it a little bit. But 100 to 105 seems likely -- this is looking like one of our worst heat waves ever. 

[mikeysed]

Radar looks pretty wet, yet sun is out here in NNJ. 30% chance from NWS but futurecast radar looks like a decent soaking is coming... any short range models showing anything for this afternoon to evening?

[Stormlover74]

Hrrr shows a half inch for parts of north jersey

[SACRUS]

25 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Hard to imagine the actual temp hitting 110. Gotta believe the Euro is overdoing it a little bit. But 100 to 105 seems likely -- this is looking like one of our worst heat waves ever. 

Not sure we'll beat last years late June heat or 2021 late jun heat but could be close.

[Stormlover74]

13 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Not sure we'll beat last years late June heat or 2021 late jun heat but could be close.

If liberty was here he'd be talking about the great heat wave of 1993