mikeysed Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 13 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: Congrats central NJ Yeah futurecast looks like a central NJ special. Anyone have any short range models now through midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Just got home and pretty lame total here so far. Only .20”. Radar looks sad to my west and west-southwest. NWS doubled down on Flood Watch into early tomorrow. We’ll see I guess. Certainly not seeing anything heavy up my way for next several hours at least. CNJ looks to do best over the next few hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 14 minutes ago, MANDA said: Just got home and pretty lame total here so far. Only .20”. Radar looks sad to my west and west-southwest. NWS doubled down on Flood Watch into early tomorrow. We’ll see I guess. Certainly not seeing anything heavy up my way for next several hours at least. CNJ looks to do best over the next few hours. Only .10 here. Best stuff north first, now south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 .01” here. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 29 minutes ago, mikeysed said: Yeah futurecast looks like a central NJ special. Anyone have any short range models now through midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Through 6 pm, rainfall amounts included: Bridgeport: 0.78" Islip: 0.07" New York City: 0.58" Newark: 1.00" White Plains: 0.50" Showers and periods of rain will likely continue into early tomorrow. Some locations could experience a thunderstorm. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. Some locally higher amounts are possible. Following the storm, readings will reach the middle and upper 70s tomorrow. Wednesday through Friday will likely see highs in the lower 80s. Some showers are possible as a warm front moves across the region on Friday. A warming trend could commence during or after the next weekend. Some of the guidance suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -19.68 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.029 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Good batch of moderate to heavy rain here over the last half hour. Close to a half inch for the day, so I'm glad it hasn't been a bust here. Models show a good soaking for tomorrow too, so overall this is the best event since Memorial Day weekend. Desperately needed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Through 6 pm, rainfall amounts included: Bridgeport: 0.78" Islip: 0.07" New York City: 0.58" Newark: 1.00" White Plains: 0.50" Showers and periods of rain will likely continue into early tomorrow. Some locations could experience a thunderstorm. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. Some locally higher amounts are possible. Following the storm, readings will reach the middle and upper 70s tomorrow. Wednesday through Friday will likely see highs in the lower 80s. Some showers are possible as a warm front moves across the region on Friday. A warming trend could commence during or after the next weekend. Some of the guidance suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -19.68 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.029 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Nice total for EWR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 0.51" On and off showers and a few rumbles of thunder. Birds seem happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 30 minutes ago, FPizz said: Only .10 here. Best stuff north first, now south. Yep .19 imby from 2 rounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 And yet another bust as they fell apart approaching my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 North and South mostly for me also so far...just had some moderate rain so up to 0.23" for day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Finishing the day with .80” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Upton mentions a wave on the front tonight/tomorrow which will bring more rains especially east of NYC .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The chance for showers has been expanded Tuesday as a wave of low pressure develops along a departing cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 News 12 reporting some 2” amounts in northern nassau can’t anyone confirm? Seems way overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 .22 here in Sheepshead Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 0.70” for Syosset & 0.65” for Muttontown so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Radar says some 2-2.5” amounts just to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 maybe some trainingish rains building in CNJ though they aren’t exactly on a line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Finally some heavy rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 0.40" here for the day. Better than nothing, but well under some of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Pouring again. Very pleased. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: Pouring again. Very pleased. Should be here momentarily 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Everyone's going to win with this one...several more rounds before it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 We'll need soakers like this once or twice a week for a month or two more to finally kill the on and off 2 year long drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 Heavy downpour in progress from a very small fast moving shower. Will check the gauge in the morning but probably pushing .35” I’m guessing at this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 68 degrees with a dewpoint of about 67.9999 lightning flashing in the cell over union county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Radar says some 2-2.5” amounts just to my south. radar estimate is way off. has me at nearly 2". cannot go by that today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 2 minutes ago, Santa Claus said: 68 degrees with a dewpoint of about 67.9999 lightning flashing in the cell over union county Fog is quite dense here. About 1/4 mile visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 11 minutes ago, MANDA said: Fog is quite dense here. About 1/4 mile visibility. deep moisture, been a minute since one of these climate max PWAT events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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