Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,669
    Total Members
    43,813
    Most Online
    tmcandrew
    Newest Member
    tmcandrew
    Joined

June 2026


 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Near to record start to the severe season in that area. Illinois has seen some of the biggest increases in tornadoes over the years. Hopefully, the models are correct and the worst storms stay north of Chicago for your vacation. 
 

IMG_6770.jpeg.f04d90edf8dc4948f9ae4bae8b188b1c.jpeg
 

IMG_6771.thumb.png.539060631aa11dadb0270063932dc92d.png

Thanks. Either way not looking forward to the scorcher. Looks like it could be pushing 100 with ridiculous dews that happen in the Midwest. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

Right now 95°-99° like the GFS and GEM looks like the floor. The ceiling is probably around 100°+ like the Euro has. Unfortunately, this will continue to dry things out. 
 

IMG_6763.thumb.png.83d057e6ee32dd0a4053e04d3d6726f7.png

 

IMG_6762.thumb.png.b914e712ea56325a5b3d81b6b099b830.png

IMG_6761.thumb.png.e3831520a3f326701be7af53cef113c9.png

There goes  the 1997 anolog..July 97 was cool.July 82 was warm..seems like 82 might be a better one..but who knows.Weather does whatever it wants

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Picard said:

Another drencher last night - I had 1.8" the Lafayette gauge and 1.85" in the gauge here.
Nice training thunderstorms.  Too bad they didn't make it further south.

Had .63" here overnight for a total of 3.55" this week.  Going to be some winners and losers in the June rainfall tallies.

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Seems like board probkems persist, or just me?

 

 

Up to 83 here some breaks in the clouds with the sun pushing up temps.

It's screwed up for days NE forum complaining to

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It will be mainly cloudy tomorrow. Some showers are possible tonight into tomorrow.

A warming trend could commence on Sunday. The guidance increasingly suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June and start July. Some of the guidance suggests that the region could see its highest temperatures so far this summer during the middle of next week. Baltimore, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC will all likely see the temperatures peak at or above 100°. 

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -13.92 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.710 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 97% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.4 (1.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 hours ago, WX-PA said:

There goes  the 1997 anolog..July 97 was cool.July 82 was warm..seems like 82 might be a better one..but who knows.Weather does whatever it wants

We knew back in May when NJ hit 100° that we were on a much warmer summer super El Niño track than what we have seen before. The floor now looks like 102°-104° at the  usual warm spots as the GFS and CMC have. The Euro is really going bonkers over 105°+. This is about  as warm as we have seen all 3 major models  go within a 7 day forecast. 
 

IMG_6777.thumb.png.558a723a8a51f9cb4c6e250e42e55fe3.png
IMG_6778.thumb.png.18848f6ecff60528dddf2f80b4ef4282.png

 


IMG_6776.thumb.png.68879f2419670f85182620b599ebce27.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...