June 2026

[MANDA]

[WeatherGeek2025]

18 more days and days start getting shorter @MJO812

[Brian5671]

26 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

18 more days and days start getting shorter @MJO812

yeah by like 5 second a day at first

[winterwx21]

23 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah we'll see as we get closer but a total washout seems unlikely 

I see the Euro now doesn't give us much rain on Sunday. This drought is just gonna get worse over the next couple weeks. I hope it turns around during the summer. 

[FPizz]

28 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I see the Euro now doesn't give us much rain on Sunday. This drought is just gonna get worse over the next couple weeks. I hope it turns around during the summer. 

CMC and AIFS have pretty much nothing, icon too

[Brian5671]

48 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I see the Euro now doesn't give us much rain on Sunday. This drought is just gonna get worse over the next couple weeks. I hope it turns around during the summer. 

Looks like a cold frontal passage with limited moisture-we are starting to get out of the season of stratiform rains.    Too bad it was a holiday weekend but we really needed that big dump back then

[JerseyWx]

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

yeah by like 5 second a day at first

And as if the days getting shorter means it's going to get cooler or something.

[Brian5671]

27 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

And as if the days getting shorter means it's going to get cooler or something.

It's not until around August 10th or so when sunset slips below 8pm that it's all that noticeable.

[psv88]

I would take today for the next 3 months. 85 and sunny. Perfect 

[donsutherland1]

A warming trend is now underway. Tomorrow should see temperatures top out in lower 80s and perhaps middle 80s. Friday and Saturday will be very warm days with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Should Central Park reach 90°, 2026 would become the first year on record that New York City had a high of 80° or above in March and highs of 90° or above in April, May, and June.

Saturday will remain warm before somewhat cooler air arrives to conclude the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -34.80 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.384 today. 

 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks like a cold frontal passage with limited moisture-we are starting to get out of the season of stratiform rains.    Too bad it was a holiday weekend but we really needed that big dump back then

Yep. As much as it sucked it's good we got the rains over Memorial Day Weekend. Here on out we rely on daytime T-storms or whatever organized T-storms, or tropical system which will be rare during this oncoming very strong Nino. Lawns will be crispy in a few weeks. 

[[email protected]]

There are growing signs that there could be severe heat in the June 12th-14th time frame.

[MANDA]

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Yep. As much as it sucked it's good we got the rains over Memorial Day Weekend. Here on out we rely on daytime T-storms or whatever organized T-storms, or tropical system which will be rare during this oncoming very strong Nino. Lawns will be crispy in a few weeks. 

Could be seeing crisping lawns by the weekend.  Areas of my yard not reached by the sprinklers are already starting to crisp.  The entire yard was lush green as of late last week.  Flower pots in full sun and community garden bed need watering pretty much every two days.

[TriPol]

7 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

18 more days and days start getting shorter @MJO812

If we get a Super, record breaking El Nino for autumn 2026... we could have an amazing fall foliage year.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

13 hours ago, JerseyWx said:

And as if the days getting shorter means it's going to get cooler or something.

Not really, there is something called seasonal lag, which is why the hottest days on most years are deep into July, sometimes in early August.

Besides, the days have noticeably stopped getting longer, especially on the morning side. At night, it is still getting light later. By around June 13-14, most places in this area will have seen their max daylight (it might still be technically getting longer by a second or two, but that's junk change when you have 15 hours of daylight), and that will go on until about June 26-27.

[bluewave]

Very warm early June pattern with 90s next few days then a pullback and more 90s next week. As we saw with the early 100° heat back in May, this is warmer going into at least the early summer than past super El Niño events

The extensive nature of the +30C warm pool from the IO over to the PMM region has resulted in competing Niña-like and Nino-like influences. The warmest days are what we typically see with La Niña early in the summer. The recent cooler from the Memorial Day weekend to a few days ago were more Nino-like.  But the warmer days were of a higher magnitude than the cooler days were. Some spots set or tied their all-time May monthly maximum temperatures.

It could also be the drought feedback across the CONUS is contributing to this unusual early summer warmth for a super El Niño. Along with the -PDO and continuing warm pool east of Japan. Plus these are our first super El Niños only 3 years apart leading to another global baseline temperature jump over such a short period of time. 
 

 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Very warm early June pattern with 90s next few days then a pullback and more 90s next week. As we saw with the early 100° heat back in May, this is warmer going into at least the early summer than past super El Niño events

1991 is the only one of the high-end el nino events that really compares. There was a heat wave at the end of May, and that really set the tone for the entire summer. 2015, to a lesser extent, but we didn't have the warmth in June, but rather in the back half of the summer into September. Both of those years had a borderline warm neutral/weak el nino leading up to it. We didn't have that in the lead up to this year.

I expected this summer to be a textbook pre-nino summer that was cooler than recent summers, like 1972, 1982, 1986, 1997, 2009, and 2023. If we can't get even get a cool summer in this setting, I wonder what it will take to get one. (Short of a major volcanic eruption, like Pinatubo in 1991, which caused 1992 to be notably colder, I probably don't see it happening any time soon, if not ever.)

[JerseyWx]

2 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Not really, there is something called seasonal lag, which is why the hottest days on most years are deep into July, sometimes in early August.

Besides, the days have noticeably stopped getting longer, especially on the morning side. At night, it is still getting light later. By around June 13-14, most places in this area will have seen their max daylight (it might still be technically getting longer by a second or two, but that's junk change when you have 15 hours of daylight), and that will go on until about June 26-27.

Right, which was my exact point, it was sarcasm..

[forkyfork]

On 6/2/2026 at 9:46 AM, Stormlover74 said:

Sunday looking wet now

gone. ugh

[forkyfork]

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

gone. ugh

 

[Stormlover74]

[SACRUS]

80 / 49/  For some the start of the next heatwave 2nd, for most mid upper 80s.  Fri - Sat and potentially Sunday get 90 - 95 range.  Cut off ULL more offshore so less rain , unsettled weather Sunday and Monday.  Heat pushes back in next week and overall warm to at times hot into mid month and beyond.

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (1943)
NYC: 99 (1925)
LGA: 96 (1943)
JFK: 91 (1971)


Lows:

EWR: 48 (1964)
NYC: 48 (1926)
LGA: 51 (2023)
JFK: 49 (2023)

 

Historical:

1814: A severe weather outbreak occurred across portions of Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana. The tornado in Wabash County was reportedly a mile wide, and crossed into Indiana. Damage from this tornado in forested areas was reportedly still visible in 1876. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1825 - A hurricane struck Long Island NY leveling trees and causing damage to ships. The early season hurricane, which originated around Cuba, caused major damage along the Atlantic coast from Charleston SC to New York City. Many were lost at sea. (David Ludlum)

 

1825: A severe storm of tropical origin swept up the Atlantic Coast during the first week of June 1825 with reports of significant damage from Florida to New York City. Shipping logs told of a disturbance at Santo Domingo on May 28th and Cuba on June 1st. Gales were reported at St. Augustine, Florida on the 2nd. The Norfolk and Portsmouth Herald reported "undiminished violence" from the gale force winds for 27 hours, ending on June 4th. The effect of the storm reached well inland. Washington had cold, heavy rain all day on the 4th with high winds laying the crops in the vicinity. The wind also tore up trees by the roots in front of the State House in Philadelphia. This storm impacted the New Jersey Coast and the Long Island area as well with high winds and a two-foot storm surge. A Columbian frigate was driven ashore as were many smaller boats. The largest loss of life occurred along the Long Island shore when a schooner capsized. The entire crew of seven was lost.

1860 - Iowa's Commanche Tornado , with wind speeds estimated in excess of 300 mph, was unquestionably one of the worst experienced by early settlers, with nearly a million dollars damage. (The Weather Channel)

1877: A tornado of estimated F4 intensity touched down just west of Mt. Carmel, Illinois and moved east-northeast, devastating the town. 20 businesses and 100 homes were damaged or destroyed. At least 16 people and as many as 30 were killed, with 100 others injured.

1885: Pittsburgh, PA & Cleveland, OH received up to 10 inches of rain that caused serious flooding. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1892: A rare June snowfall occurred at Cheyenne, WY with 8 inches reported also in 1937 Cheyenne, WY reported 3 inches of snow.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1945: Several locations in the upper Midwest had their coldest June temperatures on record. La Crosse, WI and Waukon, IA dropped to 32°. This was their latest spring freeze and coldest June temperature. Other locations recording their coldest June temperature were Mondovi, WI: 29° and Richland Center, WI: 31°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1958: An F4 tornado tracked 32 miles through St Croix and Dunn Counties in Wisconsin, killing 20 people and injuring 110 others.
(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1982 - A four day storm began over New England which produced up to 14 inches of rain in southern Connecticut breaching twenty-three dams and breaking two others. Damage was estimated at more than 276 million dollars. (David Ludlum)

1987 - Early morning thunderstorms in south Texas produced 6.5 inches of rain at Hockheim, and five inches at Hallettsville, in just a few hours. Afternoon thunderstorms in Virginia deluged northern Halifax County with 5.5 inches of rain in two hours. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 76 mph at Dusty WA, and wind gusts to 88 mph at Swanquarter NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A dozen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temp- eratures for the date, including Atlantic City NJ with a reading of 40 degrees. Fifteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Glasgow MT and Havre MT with readings of 102 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Southern Plains Region and the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern Atlantic Coast Region during the day and into the night. Just four tornadoes were reported, but there were 87 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1993: Lynchburg had 70 mph winds, 95% of city lost power, 21 million damage. Severe thunderstorms were widespread from Missouri and Arkansas eastward to the Mid Atlantic states with more than 260 reports of severe weather, including over two dozen tornadoes. An early morning mesoscale convective complex over southern Missouri and north Arkansas moved eastward and evolved into a vicious derecho, traversing eastward across Kentucky in excess at 80 mph at one point. Wind gusts reached 100 mph near Elizabethtown, KY. Damage was widespread. 30 homes and mobile homes suffered major damage in Butler County. Over 75% of the roads in the county were blocked due to downed trees. 4.5 inch diameter hail fell at Smith Mountain Lake, VA. Total damage from the high winds at hail in Virginia was $60 million dollars, with $21 million of that occurred in the city of Lynchburg. 3.5 inch inch diameter hail was reported in Davie County in North Carolina. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1998: The temperature at Williston, ND dropped to 26° to establish a monthly record for June. Neillsville, WI also reported their coldest June temperature as they dropped to 22°. The mercury dropped to 24° in Tower, MN as winter made one last call across the northern Plains. 2 to 3 inches of snow fell in portions of South Dakota and 7 inches fell in portions of Wyoming. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2002: An individual in Fancy Gap, VA was injured slightly by lightning. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)
 

[NEG NAO]