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May 2026 Obs/Discussion


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11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Keep looking deep into the modeling rectum for the coldest maps you can find. 

 

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT really really struggling as we now enter HHH season. Time to accept and enjoy and get after it 

Most models have it at some point next weekend.. 

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Might not even install pretty meh overall

Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 80. West wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday
A chance of showers after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near 88. West wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. North wind 3 to 5 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. North wind 3 to 6 mph.
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9 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Don't get me wrong I like the warm weather, but now I feel like stein is going to dig his mits in like a stubborn dog tick.  Which is annoying for my non irrigated lawn

There’s Trade offs with everything lol.  You’ve had a cool damp run out there lately..enjoy the nicer weather. 

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10 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Yes, the last real multi-year drought in New England was in the 1960s, and yet the media has turned the word "drought" into a fear-mongering term, acting like its very existence is somehow atypical.

Every time we get into a extended period (up to 6 months) dry here, it always seems to correct itself after this time.  But that's not good for the fear-mongers, they just invented "weather whiplash" to still be negative/gloom and doom.  What, do they expect gentle April showers all the time and no drought conditions ever?

The 1960s drought in the Northeast 'peaked' in 1965.  Thay year was the driest on record for all 3 SNE states, plus NJ, PA, DE.  NY's record occurred in the drier region in the Allegheny Plateau, but the NYC records picture the drought clearly:
1931-60 norm:  44.24"  
Driest ranks, 1869-on:
1962   37.15"    21st
1963   34.28"   5th  (4"+ event in November prevented a new record.)
1964   32.99"   2nd
1965   26.09"   1st   (Remains of Camille doused one VA town with that much in 5 hours.)

1966 was tracking close to 1965 thru August.  Then 5.54" fell on 9/21/66, the beginning of the drought's end.
           JAN-AUG    SEP-DEC
1965     19.05"         7.04"
1966     19.79"       20.21"

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3 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

Might not even install pretty meh overall

Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 80. West wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday
A chance of showers after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near 88. West wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. North wind 3 to 5 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. North wind 3 to 6 mph.

Yeah but the non-ventilated warehouse is going to be sizzling...stay hydrated

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The usual doubts apply but mentioning it anyway:

KEY MESSAGE 3...Strong to severe thunderstorms possible by Tue with
perhaps a better potential by Wed but a lot needs to be sorted out.

Quite the ways out there...especially for a convective forecast.
That being said...there are some signals for potentially strong to
severe thunderstorms later Tue and perhaps a better chance by Wed.
This will be dependent upon the timing of a cold front...but given
anomalous/near record warmth the potential is there. In fact...much
of our machine learning guidance indicates some modest severe
weather probabilities for a Day 4-5 forecast...so this is certainly
something to watch.
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