March Madness

[WxWatcher007]

4 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Another 6” between 8:30am and 4pm.

Storm total 9” so far.  Heavy snow.  Depth at 3,000ft back up from 52” to 61”.

 

Doing better here right now—fits the nighttime fluff theme I’ve noticed my first year here. 
 

Edit: up to 2.5” storm total so far. 

[cmillzz]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Reading the blizzard warnings in these. would be epic to experience one of these midwestern blizzards one day. True blizzard stuff

Honestly so much bust potential with this though. If the defo band fails to materialize, going to bust hard in many spots.

[Typhoon Tip]

My brother-in-law’s out nearSturgeon Bay right now. 
He was saying that the grocery stores are sack run on even for those hardy folk up there

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 hours ago, tunafish said:

I used to think our locations were simpatico on being the relative BN screw-holes.  Basically from you up the coast to PWM.  

I'm curious how you stand relative to your climo over the same stretch?  

Yea, I hadn't sniffed within 10" of average since 2017-2018 until this year.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, cmillzz said:

Honestly so much bust potential with this though. If the defo band fails to materialize, going to bust hard in many spots.

It's like that with any large event...

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 hours ago, dendrite said:

I don’t think so. NOHRSC barely has anything over the border. He must have a fairly shaded sheltered spot. 

No, it's not sheltered in the sense that it's shaded....MBY gets decent sun. I think the cold just pooled here well on Thursday AM...if you look at that map, that little appendage to the south, just N of KWLM, is right over me.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Wife had maternity shoot in Marshfield today. Man was it brutal out. Wind was howling 

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

It could depend on your yard too this time of year. There’s a house at the bottom of our hill that has full pack right now on almost all sides except one. It’s deep too. At least 6-8”. Almost everyone else is bare ground with just piles. It’s tucked into the hillside just a bit so it prob catches all the cold dense drainage and maybe a little extra shade…but I think the former is the better explanation. Plenty of other shaded areas have less or just patches. 

Yes, exactly the case here. It's not shade...my front yard faces north, and it has less because a lot of the snowfall is blocked by the pine, so it's mostly melted out. MBY faces south, it totally open, and has the 6-8".

[Ginx snewx]

Places like Iron Mt Michigan with 3.75 to 4 qpf all snow winds to 60mph .4ft within the windows of potential. Pretty epic 

[Ginx snewx]

11 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

It could depend on your yard too this time of year. There’s a house at the bottom of our hill that has full pack right now on almost all sides except one. It’s deep too. At least 6-8”. Almost everyone else is bare ground with just piles. It’s tucked into the hillside just a bit so it prob catches all the cold dense drainage and maybe a little extra shade…but I think the former is the better explanation. Plenty of other shaded areas have less or just patches. 

Tucked neighbors in the valley in the pines sandy soil

[The 4 Seasons]

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Places like Iron Mt Michigan with 3.75 to 4 qpf all snow winds to 60mph .4ft within the windows of potential. Pretty epic 

Yeah I was looking at Iron Mountain. They are gonna get whacked. Historic blizzard

[dendrite]

NAM is still pretty wild with that LLJ…pushing 100kt at 925. It’s a little inverted on soundings, but we could be pushing 60/58 type air over the interior. Other models are a little more tame so the NAM is probably overdone. It’ll be interesting to see how much we can mix down. Getting those dews near 60° in March wouldn’t normally worry you about being inverted. 

[H2Otown_WX]

Ditty finally gets his siggy damaging wind event?

[Damage In Tolland]

21 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Ditty finally gets his siggy damaging wind event?

Hoping for 60+, but probably will end up 50-55mph here and 60-70 out East 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Birds are now here in full effect. Also noticed the peepers a couple nights ago.

only the largest snowbanks are left here. No ground cover.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Birds are now here in full effect. Also noticed the peepers a couple nights ago.

only the largest snowbanks are left here. No ground cover.

Was wondering if peepers would get going soon

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Was wondering if peepers would get going soon

Ours came out last week the first day of that warm spell. I heard it just a few the first day of the I'm warm spell... The next day it was like a symphony. 

[Modfan2]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hoping for 60+, but probably will end up 50-55mph here and 60-70 out East 

You might be closer to 45-50

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr a little more tepid. Last time it did this is was closer to correct. We’ll see if it ramps up as we get closer. 

[BrianW]

Great Irish like day for the New Haven parade...

 

[cmillzz]

9 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's like that with any large event...

never said otherwise, but it’s especially important for this event. Good thing that doesn’t look to be the case here (with the first band anyhow), though seems to be setting up a bit farther south than modeled, so the heart of the TC metro may miss out on the biggest totals.

[kdxken]

Too cold.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Too cold.

It was very convenient to be clear most of the night and immediately cloud up at sunrise to lock the cold in.

27.7° now off of a min of 24.7°

We do the dews tomorrow. Remaining packs cryin’ for their mama.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

You might be closer to 45-50

These always gust 50-55 EOR and especially with elevation. . 60 is magic number for those that want damage 

[dendrite]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

These always gust 50-55 EOR and especially with elevation. . 60 is magic number for those that want damage 

Thawing ground and S-SE flow could result in some Phil. I’d like to see some models other than the NAMs ramp it up though.

[ineedsnow]

Might have to check this out of its still around tomorrow 

3.) How widespread heavy rainfall will be to cause minor flooding of rivers, streams and urban areas along with any ice jams causing issues with flooding. An ice jam on the Millers River in Athol, MA reported and photographed by a SKYWARN Spotter will be monitored for any flood potential if the heaviest rain develops in that area.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Might have to check this out of its still around tomorrow 

3.) How widespread heavy rainfall will be to cause minor flooding of rivers, streams and urban areas along with any ice jams causing issues with flooding. An ice jam on the Millers River in Athol, MA reported and photographed by a SKYWARN Spotter will be monitored for any flood potential if the heaviest rain develops in that area.

Freshets…LFG

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Thawing ground and S-SE flow could result in some Phil. I’d like to see some models other than the NAMs ramp it up though.

Hcubed does have 50-55 EOR and S of 90, but not as wild as NAMs. Ground here was thawed underneath the snow . It never really froze. Ground is somewhat firm especially in sunny areas 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hcubed does have 50-55 EOR and S of 90, but not as wild as NAMs. Ground here was thawed underneath the snow . It never really froze. Ground is somewhat firm especially in sunny areas 

I noticed that too. Ground was not frozen. But I know earlier in Feb it definitely was. I think warmer temps and solar insolation even through the snow helps thaw.

[jbenedet]

27 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Too cold.

Will live or die by the overcast here today. A crap day or a decent day if there’s consistent breaks.

It is very thin and sun beating through but still shrouded. In the east, we have a chance a mostly cloudy…we’ll see.