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March Madness


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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Reading the blizzard warnings in these. would be epic to experience one of these midwestern blizzards one day. True blizzard stuff

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Honestly so much bust potential with this though. If the defo band fails to materialize, going to bust hard in many spots.

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7 hours ago, tunafish said:

I used to think our locations were simpatico on being the relative BN screw-holes.  Basically from you up the coast to PWM.  

I'm curious how you stand relative to your climo over the same stretch?  

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Yea, I hadn't sniffed within 10" of average since 2017-2018 until this year.

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9 hours ago, dendrite said:

I don’t think so. NOHRSC barely has anything over the border. He must have a fairly shaded sheltered spot. 

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No, it's not sheltered in the sense that it's shaded....MBY gets decent sun. I think the cold just pooled here well on Thursday AM...if you look at that map, that little appendage to the south, just N of KWLM, is right over me.

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9 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

It could depend on your yard too this time of year. There’s a house at the bottom of our hill that has full pack right now on almost all sides except one. It’s deep too. At least 6-8”. Almost everyone else is bare ground with just piles. It’s tucked into the hillside just a bit so it prob catches all the cold dense drainage and maybe a little extra shade…but I think the former is the better explanation. Plenty of other shaded areas have less or just patches. 

Yes, exactly the case here. It's not shade...my front yard faces north, and it has less because a lot of the snowfall is blocked by the pine, so it's mostly melted out. MBY faces south, it totally open, and has the 6-8".

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11 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

It could depend on your yard too this time of year. There’s a house at the bottom of our hill that has full pack right now on almost all sides except one. It’s deep too. At least 6-8”. Almost everyone else is bare ground with just piles. It’s tucked into the hillside just a bit so it prob catches all the cold dense drainage and maybe a little extra shade…but I think the former is the better explanation. Plenty of other shaded areas have less or just patches. 

Tucked neighbors in the valley in the pines sandy soil

20260308_133152.jpg

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NAM is still pretty wild with that LLJ…pushing 100kt at 925. It’s a little inverted on soundings, but we could be pushing 60/58 type air over the interior. Other models are a little more tame so the NAM is probably overdone. It’ll be interesting to see how much we can mix down. Getting those dews near 60° in March wouldn’t normally worry you about being inverted. 

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