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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread


Maestrobjwa
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Just now, 87storms said:

Multiple caution flags leading in…it’s late February, not late January; it was mild yesterday; there was no strong high to the north; it was a Miller B; we were relying on the NT that is probably not well understood by most ppl here; and the euro (aka the best model in the world) was meh on this system all week.

We need things to be simpler. This one simply requires too many things to go right.


 

Definitely not a Miller B. Never had a low or associated precip over the Midwest into Pennsylvania. Not every snow that fringes us is Miller B. I'd argue it was more of a Miller A, but not all winter storms are one of the two, and it's not a really binary classification.

 image.png.b7a1efad4d37f0f2b895f7ca474fb710.png

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9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:
Slightly sketchy drive back into DC until you get to the DC line… then it’s like nothing happened.

Probably 3”+ at home with that last push and literally just over a T on my deck in downtown. Friends don’t let friends move into DC


da2f8556e9a08459d0e204142e7f3c2b.jpg

Wonder if Arlington pulls off another inch. Radar and HRRR look productive. Will check spotters and @MN Transplant tomorrow, lol

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5 minutes ago, Nomz said:

Definitely not a Miller B. Never had a low or associated precip over the Midwest into Pennsylvania. Not every snow that fringes us is Miller B. I'd argue it was more of a Miller A, but not all winter storms are one of the two, and it's not a really binary classification.

 image.png.b7a1efad4d37f0f2b895f7ca474fb710.png

It was a redeveloping coastal. Definitely more miller B than A.

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10 minutes ago, Nomz said:

Definitely not a Miller B. Never had a low or associated precip over the Midwest into Pennsylvania. Not every snow that fringes us is Miller B. I'd argue it was more of a Miller A, but not all winter storms are one of the two, and it's not a really binary classification.

 image.png.b7a1efad4d37f0f2b895f7ca474fb710.png

Absolutely more of a B than a A though, but mostly agree 

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1 minute ago, Dendrimer77 said:

Absolutely more of a B than a A though, but mostly agree 

The closed surface contours came out of the Gulf Coast and really deepened off the SC coast. Miller Bs have a low cross Kentucky or Tennessee and don't really explosively deepen as much as this one will.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/ma_archive/action5.php?BASICPARAM=pmsl.gif&STARTYEAR=2026&STARTMONTH=02&STARTDAY=23&STARTTIME=00&INC=-48

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1 minute ago, Nomz said:

The closed surface contours came out of the Gulf Coast and really deepened off the SC coast. Miller Bs have a low cross Kentucky or Tennessee and don't really explosively deepen as much as this one will.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/ma_archive/action5.php?BASICPARAM=pmsl.gif&STARTYEAR=2026&STARTMONTH=02&STARTDAY=23&STARTTIME=00&INC=-48

Ehhhh the H5 setup is more B than A. Honestly it’s a freak setup where the jet streams aren’t doing what they should be for a miller storm but they manage to still get positioned correctly 

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