Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

NAM 3k winning on temps I think, temp has dropped here last hour to 36.

[clueless]

What will be the call for schools and local governments tomorrow?

[Eskimo Joe]

Camp David reporting heavy snow and an indefinite sky. Might be a decent sign that it's cold right off the surface and we won't waste *too* much time flipping once heavier returns get in here.

While the Camp David ASOS is around 1,800 feet, the Thurmont mesonet site is in town at a much lower elevation and they're about to hit 32 degrees. Looks like the colder air might be trying to win out?

[Terpeast]

6 minutes ago, bncho said:

The new HRRR run is much better for the area.

It doesn’t flip us until 22z (5 pm) and still gives us 6” give or take

[davidjd1114]

Bncho’s submissions usually require a parents signature to ensure the model reads are on point. 

Lmao thanks for the heads up


.

[stormy]

First flakes at 8:15 at 34.6.    115 miles wsw of D.C..

[Imgoinhungry]

36 and steady rain in SE frederick.


.

[CAPE]

37 and 0.12" of rain so far

What's the weenie rule for wet, warm ground? Subtract a couple inches?

[NorthArlington101]

4 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Plows took forever to clear the roads here from the last storm. Downright snowcrete was breaking plows. 

Milford diner is a good place to eat if you stop by. or the magnolia restaurant in magnolia.

Well, I'd be hoping this is an easier plow. But thanks. Might dissuade me. 

[WVclimo]

Rates are winning right now.  All non-paved surfaces are covered.  Down to 34°.

[Wxtrix]

feathers falling. 35.

[Imgoinhungry]

What will be the call for schools and local governments tomorrow?

Dc metro schools closed id think. WSW warning through 10am


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[87storms]

Light accumulation of puddles here.

[midatlanticweather]

Looks like the short term are seeing the norlun here. It seems to have shifted east since last night but was about there on the Euro as well. 

[snowfan]

 

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

It doesn’t flip us until 22z (5 pm) and still gives us 6” give or take

 

[Chris78]

32 in Smithsburg now with snow mixing in.

I'm at about 750ft in elevation. 

Looks like the Catoctins are getting hammered right now.

[Jebman]

Lots places in DE/NJ once you get inland are forecast to get 18-25 inches, along with some strong winds.

Man DailyLurker, I envy you with all my heart.

[CAPE]

10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

You got any experience with how they plow out Milford? I’ve been eyeing it this morning. Or any of our DE folks. Hoping I could maybe get out Tuesday evening but ideally Monday lol

Dude just go to Rehoboth. There will be plenty of snow there, and actually places to go for good food and drinkies. You will get great shots and vids walking down Rehoboth Ave to the beach. And ofc right at the beach. I'm telling ya. Book it and go now.

[SnowtoRain]

37.4 0.17"

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

37 and 0.12" of rain so far

What's the weenie rule for wet, warm ground? Subtract a couple inches?

Well, that could be offset by the other weenie rule:  coming out of an extended cold period where the ground was covered in a glacier, add those couple inches back?  So you sort of break even?   You'll have to send some photos of your place (like your avatar picture), with what you get later today and tonight!

[Jebman]

2 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Looks like the short term are seeing the norlun here. It seems to have shifted east since last night but was about there on the Euro as well. 

Are you kidding me? Dale City is gonna get a Norlun? We're talkin HISTORIC times.

[mappy]

33 and precip to my south. Rained at some point earlier given wet ground. mPING reports of a mix to my west, and snow north of me in PA. Expecting a mix or all snow when precip comes north 

[ibawahu]

Big sloppy flakes here in Marshall, 35 degrees. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Ridgley mesonet site already sustained 13 mph. This coastal is starting to crank.

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, mappy said:

33 and precip to my south. Rained at some point earlier given wet ground. mPING reports of a mix to my west, and snow north of me in PA. Expecting a mix or all snow when precip comes north 

I think you get 6" - 10". You're sitting in a really good spot.

[NorthArlington101]

5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Dude just go to Rehoboth. There will be plenty of snow there, and actually places to go for good food and drinkies. You will get great shots and vids walking down Rehoboth Ave to the beach. And ofc right at the beach. I'm telling ya. Book it and go now.

Beach and food and drink is cool but I'll I'd be trying to do is be trying to leave late Monday (doubtful) or Tuesday and ideally not lose power while being sorta close to DC and on a main road. 

doubt i do it anyway. just kinda torturing myself

[JakkelWx]

2 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Well, that could be offset by the other weenie rule:  coming out of an extended cold period where the ground was covered in a glacier, add those couple inches back?  So you sort of break even?   You'll have to send some photos of your place (like your avatar picture), with what you get later today and tonight!

2 + 2 - 2 + 0.67 * .333.

[psuhoffman]

9 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

NAM 3k winning on temps I think, temp has dropped here last hour to 36.

Was gonna say good news is temps look like the colder guidance right now. 32 at my house. Warmer guidance had me at 35-36 right now. 

[mitchnick]

Steady light, but not yet accumulating, snow

[DJnVa]

Daughter is at JMU, said there was some big thick flakes already.