CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Yeah euro is pretty far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 EURO still not biting on big numbers up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Euro can kiss my ass. Shades of January 2022. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Euro sort of meh. That H7 low is awfully far southeast. Not much change from 00z/06z tho. Prob a Cape to SE MA/RI jackpot on that run. Still an impressive look though overall but not quite as crazy as 06z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Might have to archive this: Sunday Night Snow, mainly after 7pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Patchy fog after midnight. Areas of freezing fog after 5am. Low around 23. Blustery, with a northeast wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. Windy, with a north wind 22 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible. Monday Night Snow likely, mainly before 1am. The snow could be heavy at times. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Why does anyone care what Euro shows? It didn’t have the storm 2 days ago. Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 What’s the euro qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 6 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Yeah.. the NWS has us ( you ) with the WSW and is calling for 8-13 inches. There being conservative to say the least. Btw... I saw some of the nerves come out last night with some posts with the 00z runs. Of course everything's looking fine this morning. I'm truly feeling it for this. It's easier to not have "nerves" when you don't put yourself out there with a map. I'm not trying to sound like an ass, but if you bother to put a lot of time into something like this, it' either 1) You depend on it for your livelihood ...and/or 2" Are extremely passionate about it and want to hone and display your understanding by putting forth a quality map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 12 minutes ago, DomNH said: I understand keeping it conservative at this lead time, but still that’s warning snows and likely a high impact event for some of the CWA and not even a watch yet. Just strikes me as odd. that map gives me 4”. You hate to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Why does anyone care what Euro shows? It didn’t have the storm 2 days ago. Who cares Lol you’d care if it showed 30”+ for you. I agree it’s not the North Star but it still guidance with good skill overall and you never know if it will regain its mojo as we get closer. Reggie looked like the euro too…just a little east. So it’s not like it’s by itself there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob a Cape to SE MA/RI jackpot on that run. Still an impressive look though overall but not quite as crazy as 06z. I wonder if we are seeing one of this on hour/off hour pattern of fluctuations again....00z/12z are more tempered, and 6z.18z more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: What’s the euro qpf? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: what a cave 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Euro sort of meh. That H7 low is awfully far southeast. Not much change from 00z/06z tho. What happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Lol you’d care if it showed 30”+ for you. I agree it’s not the North Star but it still guidance with good skill overall and you never know if it will regain its mojo as we get closer. Reggie looked like the euro too…just a little east. So it’s not like it’s by itself there. Shouldn’t we be going with Mesos at this point? I mean it starts in 24 hours or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 It's hard to fathom what winters like this are like for people who aren't weather enthusiasts. My good friend is pissed about the upcoming storm and is blowing a gasket over the prospect of shoveling out their spot, and I can't relate whatsoever. The amount of joy this hobby has brought me over the years is unreal. Learning about atmospheric science and forecasting, the excitement of tracking big storms, model watching and nowcasting - it's just so peak. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What happened? in terms of the general trough amplitude and tilt, it definitely caved to the other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS is a bit more aggressive with amounts, but the gradient is pretty similar....they aren't night and day... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What happened? Too early for the messenger shuffle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Definitely a little subdued compared to everything else. Most guidance is 2”+ liquid here and that’s like 1.5” something monitor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 4.5".....still snowing...iced up same over here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I wonder what the models would've showed if 1978 happened today 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: in terms of the general trough amplitude and tilt, it definitely caved to the other guidance Yea that’s what matters imo. I find the euro is too weak with qpf on coastals. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS is a bit more aggressive with amounts, but the gradient is pretty similar....they aren't night and day... No, the euro is like 25% less than most other guidance. Still an incredible storm, but probably the difference between “hell of a system” and “potential all timer” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 In the past I’d be a bit concerned with the euro but given how bad it’s been and being kind of alone…not putting much weight on it. But watch it bite me in the weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 We may or may not get anything signif9icant, but the grandkids in SNJ (about 25 miles SSE from PHL) are progged for 10-16. With 2 decent storms already and the cold (especially Jan into Feb) they've probably had more days with snow cover of any winter since moving there in 2015. Three years ago, their total "cover" was a flurry that turned the grass to light green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea that’s what matters imo. I find the euro is too weak with qpf on coastals. WNE/NYC Metro Juno QPF has entered the chat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, weatherwiz said: In the past I’d be a bit concerned with the euro but given how bad it’s been and being kind of alone…not putting much weight on it. But watch it bite me in the weenie If Skynet were in agreement I’d pause a little, but it’s not so I’m not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 5-6" even up here... Not terribleSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Euro can kiss my ass. Shades of January 2022. Can someone remind me what the deal is with January 2022? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I don't see how there isn't insane fronto near that northern and western gradient... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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