February Discobs 2026

[MN Transplant]

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Deep winter weekend, no way to argue that, but the extreme temp forecasts definitely underperformed. 

The GFS has outperformed the Euro on temps for the globals, and the NAM has been much better than the HRRR.

One thing that I noticed that was not surprising was that the AI models did not handle the wind gusts well.  They were too muted, as is to be expected with more extreme events.

[kgottwald]

When it gets back into the mid-forties on Tuesday it's gonna feel like midsummer. Might wear shorts and a T-shirt.

[pazzo83]

6 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

The GFS has outperformed the Euro on temps for the globals, and the NAM has been much better than the HRRR.

One thing that I noticed that was not surprising was that the AI models did not handle the wind gusts well.  They were too muted, as is to be expected with more extreme events.

feels like they do well at a lower resolution (getting the big picture right), but at a higher resolution (getting the details), they are quite poor.

[pazzo83]

low was 14F at DCA, 12.2F here.  Central Park did hit 3F, and Watertown NY was -36F.  So the extreme cold was up there lol.

[CAPE]

High of 19 after a low of 9.

Currently 17

Forecast low of 7 tonight. Got a fire going and sipping a stout and watching the mostly annoying SB pregame crap.