It's coming 1/31-2/1

[deathstar9]

8 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

I went back to read the fish storm bomb thread on page 21 and you could cut and paste a lot of these posts from today. 

Hoping we can get that shifted 50 miles or so west.  Being pretty far inland never had so many 40+ mph gusts in a 4-5 hr period with moderate snow falling.  7” plus some prior snow made 2-3 ft drifts.

[TJW014]

Hard to see, but this makes or breaks our storm.
Aircraft recon are out doing missions off the west coast.

 

[NJwx85]

Early on the GFS looks a little better.

[Principal McVicker]

44 minutes ago, deathstar9 said:

Looks like a Jan 2018 redux shifted 25 miles east.  I would take it - probably best 7” I ever had with the extreme winds.

"I would take it - probably best 7” I ever had"

[CentralNJSnowman]

Just now, Principal McVicker said:

"I would take it - probably best 7” I ever had"

That's what she...

[nycsnow]

AIGFS looked like it wanted to tuck into the coast for a min

[Joe4alb]

definite improvements at 500 on GFS. lets see how that transitions to the surface

[Prue11]

If you’re sitting west of NYC I can see the stubbornness. Suffolk county is in a decent spot right now for this storm for even a 1-3” event 

[Joe4alb]

GFS is close to something big if this can get a bit more tilt.

[weatherpruf]

14 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

I went back to read the fish storm bomb thread on page 21 and you could cut and paste a lot of these posts from today. 

well it might as well have been a fish storm up here...anyway i remember seeing some stuff about ots before boxing day as well. my two cents, it's probably too much to expect a big one after this so soon, or even at all, based on my observations over the years. i hope to reload with a few more 6-8 inch deals, which i think is realistic. 2010-11 did see 3 monsters, though only two were direct hits out here, and the 19 inch one wasn't really forecast to drop that much; it also mixed to rain before flipping back. since it came on the heels of boxing day, it kind of got lost in the archives....

[Franklin0529]

GFS about to go boom again 

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

AIGFS looked like it wanted to tuck into the coast for a min

Weird 2 low thing there-just missing the phase

[Joe4alb]

going negative??

[NJwx85]

Slightly better

[NJwx85]

Still South of ideal on the closed ULL

[Jersey_Snowhole]

Easy guys it the gfs don’t fall for it. I’ll pin this for later

[Joe4alb]

better overall but still much room for improvement

[TJW014]

NASA's NURTURE Aircraft (GLF3) is also doing sampling of the TPV

[NJwx85]

It’s kind of weird how Boston gets snow Sunday morning while we get flurries.

[Brian5671]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

It’s kind of weird how Boston gets snow Sunday morning while we get flurries.

not really they are further east

[Franklin0529]

Players are still on the field. Got 4 days to get this right. This was closer to something big 

[Joe4alb]

I want to see the UKIE come around, its 12z run was horrendous. 

[MJO812]

Just now, Franklin0529 said:

Players are still on the field. Got 4 days to get this right. This was closer to something big 

Exactly. Pattern supports it also. 

If this doesnt hit then we will have more storms .

[NJwx85]

The low SLP moves almost due East from OBX. 

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Joe4alb said:

I want to see the UKIE come around, its 12z run was horrendous. 

I think it was on a cruise back home

[Franklin0529]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

The low SLP moves almost due East from OBX. 

Kicker boots it out. Still got plenty of time. See what the euro shows. 

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

not really they are further east

Yeah but you would think there would be a more expansive precip shield on the NW side. I know its occluding but it does deepen from 982 to 966 in 12 hours while just South of the area.

[NJwx85]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

Kicker boots it out. Still got plenty of time. See what the euro shows. 

The kicker was weaker this run.

[Franklin0529]

Just now, NJwx85 said:

The kicker was weaker this run.

Strong enough to kick it out

[Franklin0529]

Just now, Franklin0529 said:

Strong enough to kick it out

I think that will trend weaker an this climbs