snowfan Posted Sunday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:49 PM Just now, TSSN+ said: You posted 12z and 6z maps lol. 12z was way worse than 6z It was already corrected before you posted this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted Sunday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:01 PM If anyone has an interest in coming out to the mountains next weekend, looks like we're going to get a solid upslope event. Conditions at the resorts are absolutely ideal as I'm sure you can imagine and stand to get even better after this week. Heading out soon to get some pics of the frozen waterfalls (another below zero night last night) at Swallow Falls and then on to Blackwater Falls. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Sunday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:14 PM Icon now shows 1/2-1” over us Wednesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted Sunday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:14 PM Thanks to all who share their educated analysis and historical tidbits. Very appreciated! I've been learning a lot by reading this forum. Learning that El Niño can help, but it isn’t the make-or-break factor I originally thought for major snowstorms, as the 1996 event showed. I also heard that the Knickerbocker Storm occurred without an El Niño, and look at the impact it had. There are clearly other factors at play, so it really comes down to timing. Large-scale patterns such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and similar climate oscillations also play a role. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Sunday at 03:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:19 PM The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Sunday at 03:21 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:21 PM Just now, MN Transplant said: The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. Wrong board. This board is looking for snow mayhem. Sorry for banter 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Sunday at 03:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:25 PM 5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. We were hoping for 20”+ storm. I don’t think we care about the mess from a 1-2” snow lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:27 PM 6 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. You've been away from Minnesota too long! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:27 PM 2 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said: 6z gfs advertises the fear; cold dry followed by warm and rain in the extended, Since when is the GFS ever right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:28 PM 8 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. Who cares about the mess bring on the snow 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted Sunday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:31 PM 11 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. Black ice every morning this week will present its own challenges for some. Throw on some powder wed morning = fun commute. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Sunday at 03:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:37 PM 16 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Wrong board. This board is looking for snow mayhem. Sorry for banter 12 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: We were hoping for 20”+ storm. I don’t think we care about the mess from a 1-2” snow lol 9 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Who cares about the mess bring on the snow You are big dog hunting in the wrong place! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 03:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:39 PM Just now, MN Transplant said: You are big dog hunting in the wrong place! If ur worried about the mess made by snow maybe u need to move to Florida lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Sunday at 03:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:42 PM 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: You are big dog hunting in the wrong place! I did that the first week of January on the Tug. 100" in 4 days thank you lol. I'm hunting wintery conditions to last as long as possible. We do warm a safe roads 99.9% of the year. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 03:58 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 03:58 PM WB 12Z 12K NAM 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Sunday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:59 PM 12z GFS more north edit: and east as well 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:00 PM Just now, bncho said: 12z GFS more north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 04:01 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:01 PM Midweek 1-2; 1-3 would be great; we will see what happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Sunday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:05 PM 25 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: If ur worried about the mess made by snow maybe u need to move to Florida lol Funny thing about that is even Pensacola got a better snow (10") last year than we have had in 10 years here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:07 PM 43 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Wrong board. This board is looking for snow mayhem. Sorry for banter Yeah its all about the snow. Not more road salt on your vehicle or yet another day schools will close lol. I don't think there is any room for more salt on my Jeep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Sunday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:13 PM 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Yeah its all about the snow. Not more road salt on your vehicle or yet another day schools will close lol. I don't think there is any room for more salt on my Jeep. Science: Road salt doesn’t work well below 15 degrees. NWS: Tonight’s low will be 3. Tomorrow’s high will be 12. DOT: We should put down more salt. On topic, I’d gladly take a 2” powder coating on Wednesday. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:14 PM Probably should be a thread for the @WxUSAF weak ass frontal snow thing. Its something to track, just about in the short range, and for those who freak out over a jinx, the 'risk' is probably a coating to an inch. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Sunday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:17 PM My father in law who is here from Maine is befuddled by the salting. He says up there they mix in sand and only liberally salt slopes. Here MDOT and MCDOT are like the Romans after the third punic war. That's banter. Aside, I agree we need a thread for the slop on weds 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted Sunday at 04:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:25 PM 1 hour ago, katabatic said: If anyone has an interest in coming out to the mountains next weekend, looks like we're going to get a solid upslope event. Conditions at the resorts are absolutely ideal as I'm sure you can imagine and stand to get even better after this week. Heading out soon to get some pics of the frozen waterfalls (another below zero night last night) at Swallow Falls and then on to Blackwater Falls. Looks like its gonna be effin cold next weekend 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Sunday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:26 PM 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: The problem with this Wednesday thing is that any new snow is going to throw this area back into a mess, even with some melting on Tuesday. It's a small price to pay for more snow. Others must learn to sacrifice for our glory. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Sunday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:26 PM I think the gfs is on its own for a northern band, there is cold press on the other models that will keep it central or south. Upside is what the NAM is showing, not surprisingly. Still a C-2” event, but whatever falls will stick immediately and be a more impactful event than if there was just bare grass on the ground. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 04:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:27 PM 7 minutes ago, Paleocene said: My father in law who is here from Maine is befuddled by the salting. He says up there they mix in sand and only liberally salt slopes. Here MDOT and MCDOT are like the Romans after the third punic war. That's banter. Aside, I agree we need a thread for the slop on weds That's because they have way more events and sand much less expensive. And it's also messier. Not saying one is better than the other just talking what the facts are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Sunday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:28 PM 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: We were hoping for 20”+ storm. I don’t think we care about the mess from a 1-2” snow lol Big difference between 1-2 on bare grass and 1-2 on a mini glacier that will have barely melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 04:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:31 PM 28 minutes ago, mitchnick said: You trust that right, yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDSnow93 Posted Sunday at 04:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:46 PM 29 minutes ago, CAPE said: Probably should be a thread for the @WxUSAF weak ass frontal snow thing. Its something to track, just about in the short range, and for those who freak out over a jinx, the 'risk' is probably a coating to an inch. To anyone who's superstitious on a science based forum - Your pennies are no good anymore, go find every fountain in the area and toss them in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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