January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!

[cbmclean]

Just now, ravensrule said:

It’s very questionable about Uccenelli. Chicago got 2” and i got 10.5”. He definitely knows his stuff, but he wasn’t exactly right here. 

What exactly did Mr. U say?

[Chris78]

@poolz1 @Bubbler86

What did you all end up with?

I had just under 7" prior to the switch over and atleast 1.5" of sleet. Maybe a little more

Thinking I'm going with 8.5 

[ravensrule]

Just now, cbmclean said:

What exactly did Mr. U say?

That he would rather be in Chicago for this storm a few days ago. 

[jayyy]

Oh yeah, NAM definitely whiffed the QPF. 
Maybe I don't remember correctly, but didn't GFS have a lot higher totals?
And yeah, Chicago didn't get more snow than most of us, but still actually got snow. 

GFS had me at 11.4 last night 00z. I ended up over 11”. NAM had me at 7.5. NAM had DC at like 3-4”

It busted pretty badly on totals. It got thermals correct but completely missed the initial thump.

[Eskimo Joe]

3 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

What exactly did Mr. U say?

His quote was taken out of context. He said at a conference earlier this week that, "I'd rather be in Chicago", meaning he was worried the primary low was going to cut further west and persist longer than the guidance was initially forecasting. Ultimately, he was right.

[Chris78]

46 minutes ago, nj2va said:

I’ve lived here for about 18 years and I don’t remember a storm quite like this - between the snow, heavy sleet, and now freezing rain with temps in the teens/20s.  Very neat.

Very 1994ish 

[ErinInTheSky]

I have to say - decently impressed with the AI Euro. Had me at 10.2, I'm at 9.8 with the snow 10:1 ratio (if I'm counting sleet as snow, there's no sleet panel in the AI Euro)

[diatae]

Glacier level unlocked. Everything is iced over now.

[GreyHat]

Our power is flickering now. Dam that freezing rain. Good thing I have a hybrid F150 with a 7.2kw generator.

[Amped]

Backfilling, hopefully not for long.

[EHoffman]

Always nice to have another big threat to track immediately after a major storm, and not at like day 12 either.  This storm was great, had some awesome rates overnight with a couple hours of elite snow growth, historic sleet bomb, true arctic cold.  Rare to see around these parts.

[GreyHat]

32F

 

Pressure continues to fall 29.51

 

Freezing rain passing .34" and still coming down.

[WxUSAF]

Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 

I got my ass kicked by BWI!!

[KAOS]

1 minute ago, diatae said:

Glacier level unlocked. Everything is iced over now.

Cold smoke/powder... check

Ridiculous rates/amounts of sleet/ice/snow beads... check

Blue snow/sleet... check

ZR/Glacier... check

Super Weather Friends Bonus Level Unlocked.

100,000,000 Weenie Points Awarded.

 

[Yeoman]

Just now, GreyHat said:

32F

 

Pressure continues to fall 29.51

 

Freezing rain passing .34" and still coming down.

posts in an obs thread but doesn't bother adding location

[Snowciopathic Snow Bro]

The storm is over in Gainesville.

 

[mattie g]

22 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

So what did we learn from this?

• NAM thermals are still king.
• GFS is a JV model that should just be tossed if it's on an island.
• Sleet isn't so bad if 4 inches of it falls. 
• Nina still screws up the northern stream
• Uccenelli knows what he's talking about 

Who is Uccenelli?

[osfan24]

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 

I got my ass kicked by BWI!!

Wow, I think if BWI could have reached a foot or so, it would have been a top 20-25 snowstorm all time there.

[WhiteoutMD]

Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 
I got my ass kicked by BWI!!

It looks like a foot outside in annapolis I know it probably is not but we have drifted pricing 2 feet of sleet as many do. Now everything is iced over and it continues


.

[GreyHat]

Heavy freezing rain continues to move through Delaware. This is not good.

https://eldoradoweather.com/radar/dox/dox-dover-loop.php

[mob1]

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 

I got my ass kicked by BWI!!

What did DCA report at 7?

[ravensrule]

5 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Who is Uccenelli?

The U part of KU. 

[WxUSAF]

1 minute ago, mob1 said:

What did DCA report at 7?

6.8” I think. Haven’t seen IAD or RIC

[baltosquid]

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 

I got my ass kicked by BWI!!

I can believe it. So much sleet. ~7 inches of snow up this way before changeover and then the constant heavy sleet… 4 inches of it doesn’t seem unreasonable depending on their banding. Especially with proper measurements, unlike my deck lol. There is so much sleet on the ground it is nuts.

[H2O]

Went for a night walk. Glaze on everything. Solid crust on top of sleet on top of snow. Any road plowed is slick as snot. Sirens all over. Dumbass people trying to drive when they shouldn’t. 

[MillvilleWx]

1 hour ago, Wxtrix said:

 

i wanted sleet. and i missed out on all of the heavy stuff. oh well.

Yeah. It seemed like moderate to MAYBE bordering heavy for a brief time today with precip, but it mainly remained moderate for an extended time. Still a solid storm for out here. So pretty

[jayyy]

Unconventional double digit storm but I’ll sure as shit take it. Especially since we’ll be able to enjoy it all week. Models have lows falling to near zero 3-4 days this week. Going to be a great week leading up to our storm next weekend (hello 18z euro)

[WxUSAF]

9.5” is my final spotter report. And I reported a trace of ZR/FZDZ. Crusty out there. Really hard to walk through the yard

[PrinceFrederickWx]

Up to 32 degrees, heard the sump pump running earlier.

[GreyHat]

13 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

posts in an obs thread but doesn't bother adding location

I have put it before and others aren't  stating. 

Magnolia Delaware south of dover by 15 minutes.