January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!

[mdguy429]

59 minutes ago, mappy said:

BCPS emailed to say they are sending devices home with kids today in the event they are out of school for 4 days next week. Kids get 3 actual snow days before virtual learning kicks in. 

Better than MCPS who builds exactly 1 (!) snow day into the schedule.  It takes days for them to reopen for 3-4 inches, so why can they never build in an appropriate amount of snow days?

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, ErinInTheSky said:

I'm really wondering about MCPS right now. Trying to make a decision of if I'm going to travel next week, but I'll only do it if they shut down school for the week. The potential for 10+" of snow and 3" of sleet make me think its a possibility. 

Schools will close or delay for cold these days - of which there will be plenty regardless of a sheet of ice and snow. I find it pretty unlikely most of our wimpier districts have school next week. But tbd

[Fozz]

38 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

I dont know that I have ever seen this much of the country covered by a WSW at the same time before. Nuts.

That is nearly the entire state of Texas in either a winter storm or extreme cold watch or warning. And maybe half the country.

[wxdude64]

7 minutes ago, GATECH said:

Absolutely!  In the lates 80s had a sleet bomb in Atlanta that produced about 5 inches of sleet.   It’s interesting to watch it poor off roofs, it behaves like a liquid and piles up.  

Yep. In the 02/14/2007 storm the sleet ran down the chutes/ravines on Rt 220 between Clifton Forge and Iron Gate and closed the road! It was 3-4 feet deep and took VDOT about 4 hours to get both lanes opened again. 

[mattie g]

Hate to say it, but I'm beginning to lose interest in this storm. It'll be cool when the snow comes in hot and heavy, but it'll flip during the day on Sunday, which kinda sucks (rather it flip at night if it's going to flip at all). Also doesn't help that we've been tracking this thing for like a week and we've seen such drastic changes for the worse over the last few days.

I'm already looking forward to the next big-dog window, so at least there's that!

[ErinInTheSky]

I remember in like 2017 we had a sleet storm. Was like 3” snow and 2.5” sleet. That was wild. Literally saw a car drive backwards over a snow rut in the parking lot from the plow and get stuck like a seesaw. If this ends up being 6” snow and 4.5” sleet like NAM don’t undercount how crazy a weather event that will be.

[RDM]

1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

It’s loud, I can tell you that much. Have been through a couple. Friends at college went through VDay 2007 up in PA with 5+” of sleet. They said it sounded like a barrage of BB’s for hours on end hitting the house. Crazy 

Will never forget the sleetfest on VD 2007.  It poured sleet all night until morning, and shut down the DMA.  My family and I departed IAD the morning of the 14th to move to Bangkok.  It was rough getting a taxi big enough to carry us from Tysons to IAD, which was closed until late morning.  Our flight to Narita on UA was the first flight that took off after IAD opened the first runway.  There were thousands of people in the terminal, which overflowed with people standing outside.  Was beyond chaotic.  

[eaglesin2011]

20 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Hate to say it, but I'm beginning to lose interest in this storm. It'll be cool when the snow comes in hot and heavy, but it'll flip during the day on Sunday, which kinda sucks (rather it flip at night if it's going to flip at all). Also doesn't help that we've been tracking this thing for like a week and we've seen such drastic changes for the worse over the last few days.

I'm already looking forward to the next big-dog window, so at least there's that!

That’s a real boneheaded thing to say..  Your “losing interest “ in a storm that could change how half the country operates for at least a week.
The time it’s flipping has nothing to do with the (time of day ) it’s going to depend on how much it develops on the coast & how much cold are gets pushed away or remains …

Hell nobody really knows what will exactly happen happen yet .lol

[clskinsfan]

16 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

I remember in like 2017 we had a sleet storm. Was like 3” snow and 2.5” sleet. That was wild. Literally saw a car drive backwards over a snow rut in the parking lot from the plow and get stuck like a seesaw. If this ends up being 6” snow and 4.5” sleet like NAM don’t undercount how crazy a weather event that will be.

Agree. And dont forget the extended cold we are going to have as well. It is going to be here for a long time. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

Main thread hit it's 3rd iteration. When was the last time that happened?

[bncho]

NYC is screwed.

[baltosquid]

Can I get credit for this?

 

[clueless]

I’m not so invested in how much snow mby gets but the impact a few inches of sleet that will pile on.  You’ll need a jackhammer to clear anything.  

[2015Wrx]

Westminster is an absolute mad house today. This will be my first storm up in Westminster after having lived in Woodbine for a long time as a kid. Excited for whatever happens as we have had a rough stretch up here since I moved here in 2017. 

[H2O]

I am literally fascinated at the idea of sleet in inches.  This storm could be epic

[Wxtrix]

Just now, H2O said:

I am literally fascinated at the idea of sleet in inches.  This storm could be epic

right? think of how cool thundersleet would sound.

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, H2O said:

I am literally fascinated at the idea of sleet in inches.  This storm could be epic

You and @mattie g need to step into a cage match and settle the is sleet cool discussion or not

[caviman2201]

I don't understand why LWX posts this map in 3 different places on their site
- https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter#tab-1
- https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter#tab-2
- https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter#tab-3

... and they're never the same map. You literally have to click all 3 tabs and look at all 3 versions' timestamp to find the latest one. Why don't they just post the latest one in one spot!?

[H2O]

6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

You and @mattie g need to step into a cage match and settle the is sleet cool discussion or not

Done.  I can finally do my Ric Flair impersonation with flabby moobs and leathery skin.  And instead of WOOOOO I'll be saying OWWWWWWW My back!

[Wxtrix]

2 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:

I don't understand why LWX posts this map in 3 different places on their site
- https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter#tab-1
- https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter#tab-2
- https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter#tab-3

... and they're never the same map. You literally have to click all 3 tabs and look at all 3 versions' timestamp to find the latest one. Why don't they just post the latest one in one spot!?

 

they show 3 different things. 

and not one of them will make a difference as to what happens during the storm.

 

[yoda]

@NorthArlington101 did you have a Snickers? 

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, yoda said:

@NorthArlington101 did you have a Snickers? 

I said I’d be good but I lied. Still sweating the NAMs. If the NAM can get me back to 5” I’ll be okay 

[Nomz]

Making hot chocolate again. Are we still cliff diving?

[EHoffman]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

I said I’d be good but I lied. Still sweating the NAMs. If the NAM can get me back to 5” I’ll be okay 

Just think of it this way, it could be worse.  We could be sleeting and it could be 32 degrees at the surface.

[aldie 22]

54 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Hate to say it, but I'm beginning to lose interest in this storm. It'll be cool when the snow comes in hot and heavy, but it'll flip during the day on Sunday, which kinda sucks (rather it flip at night if it's going to flip at all). Also doesn't help that we've been tracking this thing for like a week and we've seen such drastic changes for the worse over the last few days.

I'm already looking forward to the next big-dog window, so at least there's that!

I just let myself get a bit bummed that it has turned into a 6-10" storm at best but whatever

[WxUSAF]

Freezing spray advisory issued for the Bay and Potomac!! Where you at @yoda!?!?

[Amped]

I know we're supposed to be respectful to the nws but that computer generated snowfall graphic updating every 10 minutes is the most blankity blank blank thing.

[North Balti Zen]

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I said I’d be good but I lied. Still sweating the NAMs. If the NAM can get me back to 5” I’ll be okay 

as jumping jeebus is my witness, STOP sweating the NAMs. 

[WxUSAF]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I think the euro improvement, when taken along with all the rest of the 12z guidance...was more than just noise.  Keep in mind we are not going to see some massive jump every 6 hours from here on it, not on the euro anyways...not this close in.  But the changes I see on the euro are consistent with the changes I saw across the rest of the 12z guidance, so I think even though its an incremental change...its safe to say it's not just noise.  

Increment me 6 more times daddy!

[yoda]

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Increment me 6 more times daddy!

No... just... no...