TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, LP08 said: CMC slightly less amped through 93 The primary goes over Ohio lol 1 1 4 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS dumps a foot of snow on basically the entire MA and NE (sorry Maine). One for the ages. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, LP08 said: CMC slightly less amped through 93 Canadians have a north bias 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just bigtime LOL that the GFS just 24 hours ago gave us all an areawide 0.0" . Just good stuff from that model. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Just bigtime LOL that the GFS just 24 hours ago gave us all an areawide 0.0" . Just good stuff from that model. Yup and everyone hugging it now lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, bncho said: Sorry y'all, I'll let Randy do his thing next time. There's no need for all of that. You can do pbp, I'm just saying...when I made that post it WAS drier vs 6z run at the same exact time. I'm a shit poster and pbp is horrible to mid, but it's the one thing here I do take kinda seriously. Got PTSD from the old days when people would say great things about a model and BOOM and OMG to then actually see the model and it was some straight up shit. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 BTW I wonder if it's not a coincadence that all the major guidance systems come out in inverse of their verification scores ICON, GFS, GGEM, UKMET, EC I know there used to be something to the delay in the euro and its accuracy, they used an initialization process that took longer but was significantly better. I have not kept up to date with the details of the various guidance over the last 10 years so I can't say for sure this is still true, but it seems odd that basically the longer the model takes to generate, the more accurate it is. ETA: Odd meaning maybe not a coincidence 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 CMC train wreck. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: The primary goes over Ohio lol Looks like a pretty solid thump before sleet/dryslot... can start mentally trying to get comfortable with that as a "worst" case outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: The primary goes over Ohio lol H5 was wild with where it started to where it got too...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, TSSN+ said: CMC train wreck. Literal disaster. Dry front end then a flip to zr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 CMC is a complete disaster. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Yeah CMC drives that primary to WV and sleet gets well into PA, still a decent front end thump though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, IronTy said: GFS dumps a foot of snow on basically the entire MA and NE (sorry Maine). One for the ages. The entire DC-BOS corridor gets clobbered with 12-18”+ with generous totals well into the interior. We haven’t had a storm like this in ages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Quasievil said: CMC is a complete disaster. foot of snow 10:1 in DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Fozz said: The entire DC-BOS corridor gets clobbered with 12-18”+ with generous totals well into the interior. We haven’t had a storm like this in ages. CMC - Hold my beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Quasievil said: CMC is a complete disaster. It gives us like 10 inches of snow and we never sniff surface temps above the 20s. So I'll take that as the disaster scenario. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Wait, a primary into Wheeling, WV isn't a good thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Fozz said: The entire DC-BOS corridor gets clobbered with 12-18”+ with generous totals well into the interior. We haven’t had a storm like this in ages. yeah, been well over a decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Quasievil said: CMC is a complete disaster. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Seriously how could we fail at this point? Nine times of of ten we fail because of BL temps/sun angle/rates/DST/lack of moisture. Here we have mega cold (up to 750mb) and moisture transport galore. The other times we fail because we're relying on a coastal that just doesn't get its act together in time or is shunted south at the last minute. No so here we are 6-12 before the coastal really gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 The GFS is garbage so certainly taking it with a grain of salt but CMC being too amped is also something it likes to do. Just show me the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 the primary is checking in on the Steelers' coaching search. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I hope the cmc was the classic rug pull run we always see before a big one. It can't be that sloppy of a storm, right? RIGHT!!!!!??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: The GFS is garbage so certainly taking it with a grain of salt but CMC being too amped is also something it likes to do. Just show me the Euro Finally a post that has merit compared to all the backyard bs post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 The CMC is out on an island enjoying a cold drink. Just leave it alone. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Well goddamn CMC. I mean thats about as opposite a solution as the crazy ass drunk GFS was showing with suppression the other day. Sad thing is that you can't discount because it is a model that gets weighted. I just hope its a burp and similar to its tropical bias with Katrinas up the Chessie every summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: My snow mats did the trick!!!!! Yeah... I am trying to get the snow and ice to melt off my driveway from this past weekend's event. I want to start fresh on Saturday/Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 13 minutes ago, bncho said: Sorry y'all, I'll let Randy do his thing next time. And the time after that please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts