Kay Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 A friendly suggestion that when we want to anticipate, in advance, the dumb things people are going to do, think, and post next, we do it in the banter thread. We know they're going to do, think, and post those things, because they (we) always do lol. We can just deal with it when they do. Or ignore it. Posts anticipating the dumb things are...a bridge too far, maybe just me, sorry guys 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 EPS looks fantastic, def trended slightly NW with the precip and a little more QPF from its 0z run. Wiggle room. Probably not a ton of whiffs in the members if I had to guess. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Wxbell stuck at 45… anybody got eps precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Kay said: A friendly suggestion that when we want to anticipate, in advance, the dumb things people are going to do, think, and post next, we do it in the banter thread. We know they're going to do, think, and post those things, because they (we) always do lol. We can just deal with it when they do. Or ignore it. Posts anticipating the dumb things are...a bridge too far, maybe just me, sorry guys We should have a banter threat for any one storm instead of a catch all! I LOL so many times from some of the posts... I want to hone in on them for the storm! Just saying! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, T. August said: Wxbell stuck at 45… anybody got eps precip? 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Who said it was meh/awful? I see now....the first slug went SE and some people got excited. You were fine! I am setting my expectations for at least 6 inches; more than 12 inches and a 0 degree low would exceed expectations. But so much can happen in 6 days....long week ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Love to see less southern outliers on the ENS 12z 6z You can also see a stronger Tennessee valley handoff signal as well on 12z. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: I see now....the first slug went SE and some people got excited. You were fine! I am setting my expectations for at least 6 inches; more than 12 inches and a 0 degree low would exceed expectations. But so much can happen in 6 days....long week ahead. Gonna be a long but very enjoyable week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: That’s one solid mean for 4/5 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 If we set expectations to 8-12 with the outside hope of a HECS....i think we will all be satisfied...... except for me:) 10 1 12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Love to see less southern outliers on the ENS 12z 6z You can also see a stronger Tennessee valley handoff signal as well on 12z. A little deeper on the mean and more hugging the coast, as well. Looks good all around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I,m just hoping we can get 1" liquid out of this thing. Kind of feels like weak sauce if we don't. 2010 and 2016 were close to 2-2.5" liquid equivalent if I remember correctly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12z Korean with WELL OVER 1" of QPF regionwide 2 1 7 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12z Korean with WELL OVER 1" of QPF regionwide The KMA?? Who knew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Has there been any updates in the data today as to potential onset time? Ive heard from noon Saturday to overnight Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 13 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Love to see less southern outliers on the ENS 12z 6z You can also see a stronger Tennessee valley handoff signal as well on 12z. That looks really good to me?? More tucky tucky, more northern edge members, fewer OTS? 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, AdamHLG said: Has there been any updates in the data today as to potential onset time? Ive heard from noon Saturday to overnight Sunday. Depending on the model it’s anywhere from Saturday night to Sunday afternoon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I really wouldn’t want to be someone living in northern GA, W NC, or E TN right now. The ice storm some of these models are spitting out is insane. QPF above 2” too. Devastating if correct. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 12 minutes ago, Ji said: If we set expectations to 8-12 with the outside hope of a HECS....i think we will all be satisfied...... except for me:) I'm staying with 6 to 10...maybe 12 if we're lucky. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Looking at the individual EPS members (nice WxBell maps incoming) it's pretty clear the only reasonable cause for concern is suppression. Northern stream running out too far ahead of the southern stream (ULL slowing down) would be my specific concern with what we're seeing but hopefully we've got some room. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm staying with 6 to 10...maybe 12 if we're lucky. I've been telling my non-weather friends 6-10 in your honor but I've also added some "+++" to the end just to keep the hype alive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 This is the point and click for Westminster. 80% at day 5 is wild Sunday Snow. High near 19. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 20 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Love to see less southern outliers on the ENS 12z 6z You can also see a stronger Tennessee valley handoff signal as well on 12z. Aka the most important signal for us northern tier folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, AdamHLG said: Has there been any updates in the data today as to potential onset time? Ive heard from noon Saturday to overnight Sunday. Don’t think it’ll be Noon Saturday unless you’re outside this area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, jayyy said: I really wouldn’t want to be someone living in northern GA, W NC, or E TN right now. The ice storm some of these models are spitting out is insane. QPF above 2” too. Devastating if correct. The totals for metro Atlanta are absolutely bonkers. They gotta pray this is overdone at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Median outcome pretty sexy. Essentially a hold from 06z. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Looking at the individual EPS members (nice WxBell maps incoming) it's pretty clear the only reasonable cause for concern is suppression. Northern stream running out too far ahead of the southern stream (ULL slowing down) would be my specific concern with what we're seeing but hopefully we've got some room. And basically that has to do with how that Baja low rejects, right? (Nervous about that part, lol) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Saw this elsewhere but looks like sounding flights are planned 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Median outcome pretty sexy. Essentially a hold from 06z. Hold? Dude that's better! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, jayyy said: I really wouldn’t want to be someone living in northern GA, W NC, or E TN right now. The ice storm some of these models are spitting out is insane. QPF above 2” too. Devastating if correct. Yea ice storms are garbage. Zero interest in them. I can go ice skating if I desire ice lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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