January 16-18th: Rolling the dice

[North Balti Zen]

1 hour ago, mitchnick said:

Just lt snow now. There's a heavy band incoming but it'll just clip me or miss altogether. Again, to my east will get hit. I suspect Mappy should get another 2"+ out of this. 

It’s just rain in Fallston as of 6:15 am.

[goodwidp]

Finally starting to changeover here (central Balt. county). Noticeable uptick in the amount of snow mixing in during the past 10 minutes or so. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

It’s just rain in Fallston as of 6:15 am.

I have some big flakes starting to mix in. It seems to be changing over here. 

[RevWarReenactor]

Nws is hilarious they call for a rain snow mix today and 35 with 1-2 inches. How do you get 1-2 inches with a rain snow mix at 35?

Then you click on the wwa and it says 2-4 inches.

i guess they are covering all their bases. 
 

I think this is mostly a rain storm the HRRR is already wrong they said we would be 15 minutes of rain with the change over to snow and we’ve been waiting for about an hour so it’s already Wrong. 

[weatherCCB]

Doing what we do best

35 and rain

[NorthArlington101]

I don’t claim to know better than the NWS often, but what a questionable WWA. Would love to hear the breakdown. Guess they could still be bailed out by a more impressive coastal portion then expected but that also seems quite unlikely…

[mitchnick]

Just about over here. Lt snow that radar misses, as is often the case up here I have found, should be ending soon. Roads and sidewalks basically wet with only a few snowy patches. I'll be shocked if I measure an inch on my car, but definitely not over an inch.

Iow, you really didn't miss anything of consequence. 

[aldie 22]

Doesn't appear anything happened here...darn

[mappy]

1 hour ago, goodwidp said:

A few flakes appear to be mixing in, but otherwise 98% cold rain in central Baltimore county. Good times. 

Drive north. Snowing at my house 

[Solution Man]

Rain 34

[87storms]

Looks like whatever fell ended as a cartopper of something frozen here.

[WxUSAF]

Snowing in central Harford county (Forest Hill) based on pics from my family. Side roads covered.

[mappy]

Just over a half inch of new snow. 

[Ellinwood]

14 hours ago, Ellinwood said:

Final map for Sunday... only notable change was to drag the 1-2" contour southward into the Raleigh metro region. Richmond northward is essentially the same as the initial forecast with just a few very minor adjustments.

Was hoping the models would bring the PM snow more in line with my track, but looking more like now this will be lower-end/under my forecast in the DMV region. I wasn't really relying on this morning's activity to do much south of the MD/PA border, but would have liked to see at least a coating IMBY by now instead of rain/mix.

[Jeff B]

Moderate snow
32°
4 miles west of Hunt Valley

[Wxdavis5784]

Woke up to a nice coating

[Stormchaserchuck1]

[Scraff]

Here’s some good news. It’s snowing in Georgia. Rain here. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Just now, Scraff said:

Here’s some good news. It’s snowing in Georgia. Rain here. 

Winter Storm Warning in Florida panhandle! 

[mitchnick]

21 minutes ago, mappy said:

Just over a half inch of new snow. 

Thought for sure you'd end up at 2". 

[Interstate]

Good flakes in this last band.   All roads caved instantly  

[TSSN+]

Ground is white again so that’s a win. 

[ChillinIt]

NW Cecil County 30.5 degrees moderate snow about .75 of an inch so far.  Roads covered sticking to everything. 

[Terpeast]

Big fat zero here

[Interstate]

I am not complaining. 2 days in a row of accumulating snow. That is a win in my book. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Two days in a row with snow. Nice.

[mappy]

13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Thought for sure you'd end up at 2". 

I had no expectations. Precip east of me now so unless it back builds later, it’s a half inch or so. 

[mappy]

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Two days in a row with snow. Nice.

What did Parkton Mesonet report? I see it has 2.8” snow depth. There was decent melting yesterday in sunny spots so not sure how much had melted to know new snow depth

[87storms]

2 minutes ago, mappy said:

I had no expectations. Precip east of me now so unless it back builds later, it’s a half inch or so. 

That was yesterday for me. Waking up and looking out the window to an unexpected snow globe was pretty cool. This system is an example of why we need blocking here. Flow is just too progressive making it hard to get more than these light events.

[osfan24]

Big bust here. Nothing even on the grass. All hail the NAM. Can’t believe they are dumping it. It’s more useful than the GFS.