FatherNature Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Guess I’ll set up a tee time for Saturday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 No reason to give up just yet especially w the GFS and Canadian giving us some snow. We have the most important ingredient for snow in the cold airmass and the general synoptic setup is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Ji said: maybe its the start of its west trend. Its never one snapshot...its always the trend. And did you know the GFS handles the northern stream better in La Nina winter storms than the ECMWF? Ji please keep your kids from posting from your account. This must be one of your smart ones, takes after the mother. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Ji said: maybe its the start of its west trend. Its never one snapshot...its always the trend. And did you know the GFS handles the northern stream better in La Nina winter storms than the ECMWF? Did it really handle the NS better with the last storm? Or could we call that one more SS-oriented? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, FatherNature said: Guess I’ll set up a tee time for Saturday. In 17 degree weather? I don't think so bro. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Ji said: maybe your boy trump can invest some money into it Tell him we need it to track the weather in Greenland, or Venezuela, or whatever is randomly on his mind that day and we may be in business 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FatherNature Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, bncho said: In 17 degree weather? I don't think so bro. I should of mentioned at a golf simulator 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Closer Four FEET in Salisbury? GFS you wanna share what you are smokin'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 How many times have we seen this? I'm not saying it is going to happen, but remember Jan 3, 2022? That storm was in the long range, disappeared in the mid-range, then Ji brought it back from the dead. I think the GFS saw it first, but I'm not sure. I know that most fantasy storms disappear, but it is not unusual for the Euro to see storms a week or 2 out, lose them, and bring them back 3-4 days before. I'm always optimistic, or just crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's deflating, but imma hang in there till 0z, including 18z later when the GFS hilariously does a full cave in 6 hours. Our model really does suck ass. Hang in there indeed lol. A "Folks" can't be ruled out entirely, even though things aren't looking the best rn. We've seen the unexpected happen before lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I fucking hate kickers so much. I fucking hate poor wave spacing so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Did it really handle the NS better with the last storm? Or could we call that one more SS-oriented? i have no idea but everytime we have a NS event---someone brings it up. So its become tradition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Tell him we need it to track the weather in Greenland, or Venezuela, or whatever is randomly on his mind that day and we may be in business DMV is Greenland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: How many times have we seen this? I'm not saying it is going to happen, but remember Jan 3, 2022? That storm was in the long range, disappeared in the mid-range, then Ji brought it back from the dead. I think the GFS saw it first, but I'm not sure. I know that most fantasy storms disappear, but it is not unusual for the Euro to see storms a week or 2 out, lose them, and bring them back 3-4 days before. I'm always optimistic, or just crazy. Thursday night or bust lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: How many times have we seen this? I'm not saying it is going to happen, but remember Jan 3, 2022? That storm was in the long range, disappeared in the mid-range, then Ji brought it back from the dead. I think the GFS saw it first, but I'm not sure. I know that most fantasy storms disappear, but it is not unusual for the Euro to see storms a week or 2 out, lose them, and bring them back 3-4 days before. I'm always optimistic, or just crazy. If that’s true, it better start making a move because we are four days out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 My sister just sent me a link to Jay’s Wintry Mix on Facebook asking me about the possible storm this weekend. I’m sort of speechless, tbh. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I haven't seen a forecast this cold in a long time, maybe since 2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 I wonder if the higher chance for us is that this thing just shifts north and the ULL snow, that’s currently down in the Carolina’s becomes ours? Haven’t seen that on guidance yet but I don’t think it’s totally crazy 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, IUsedToHateCold said: I haven't seen a forecast this cold in a long time, maybe since 2014 What happened to Global Warming? LMAO 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Dr. No strikes again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, IUsedToHateCold said: I haven't seen a forecast this cold in a long time, maybe since 2014 I think this may surpass 2014 if it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 JV GooFuS trend 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Bastardi is hyping the more western solution of the AIs. We're in good company. If he found an analog from 1943 that mirrors it then I would say it is a slam dunk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 14 minutes ago, bncho said: It's actually better than 6z by a not insignificant amount. Yep, it did not trend east on this run. Actually came back W slightly and rakes OBX. Still for the fish mostly. Curious to see EPS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 We're in fuckin purgatory. Not close enough to get excited, not far enough to not care. Bleh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Looking at 108h on the 12z Euro, I see: - surface low 100 miles west of 06z - 996 mb on the 12z, 1004 mb on the 06z Also at 102h, I see a 500mb low that is over 100 miles southwest of 06z, as well as being less positively tilted and better organized. What am I missing? Sure it's not enough, and not as good as the runs from a couple of days ago, but I don't think it's time to throw in the towel yet. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 14 minutes ago, FatherNature said: Guess I’ll set up a tee time for Saturday. Good -you can use the any water hazards as actual fairway since they'll be frozen over! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, bncho said: JV GooFuS trend Nice to have the GFS in our side. Need the NOGAPS to come around 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I wonder if the higher chance for us is that this thing just shifts north and the ULL snow, that’s currently down in the Carolina’s becomes ours? Haven’t seen that on guidance yet but I don’t think it’s totally crazy That's the middle ground I've been thinking about. That or the lead shortwave doesn't dig as far. There's plenty enough on the table to keep us interested in tracking some snow in the area. A big bomb has never been likely but some sort of accum event isn't off the table either 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I wonder if the higher chance for us is that this thing just shifts north and the ULL snow, that’s currently down in the Carolina’s becomes ours? Haven’t seen that on guidance yet but I don’t think it’s totally crazy Had the same thought it would have far less upside but would be cold powder on top of our glacier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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