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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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The CMC parallel is going to replace the cmc soon. I’ve been looking at it for this upcoming Sunday event. It has been absolutely consistent in showing the phase and the primary running farther N than every other model for days now.

Last night’s 00z run blew up the 1/30 wave.

End of 6z euro had more sagging to the back side of the ULL. We’ll see if it’s able to dive far enough S to develop a strong coastal.


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The CMC parallel is going to replace the cmc soon. I’ve been looking at it for this upcoming Sunday event. It has been absolutely consistent in showing the phase and the primary running farther N than every other model for days now.

Last night’s 00z run blew up the 1/30 wave.

End of 6z euro had more sagging to the back side of the ULL. We’ll see if it’s able to dive far enough S to develop a strong coastal.


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CMC parallel? There any where to see it?

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

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10 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

That's nuts.  Have you ever seen a 40 day departure look like that?

I have to wonder what Feb 2015 and Dec 1989 would have looked like if this product existed. Both of those were months of -10 anomalies.

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12 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

That's nuts.  Have you ever seen a 40 day departure look like that?

Can't recall seeing that as a forecast, but we've had at least 3 stretches of 40-day BN temps in Maine.

Gardiner (9 miles south from AUG):
Nov 22-Dec 30, 1989: 13.2 BN
Dec 26, 1993-Feb 3, 1994: 11.5 BN

New Sharon (western Maine foothills):
Jan 26-Mar 6, 2015:  12.7 BN

ariof noted 2 of those 3.  :D


A shorter (25 day) run was Dec 14, 2017 thru Jan 8, 2018:  15.9 BN

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7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Its back on the 12z GFS, Down to 966mb in the GOM on 02/01.

That is an absolute bomb. Storm center goes from 1003 off of the Outer Banks to 972 over ACK in 24h. Pressure at ACK falls 53mb in 24h. Cold airmass in place, coastal front setting up, just textbook. Lock it in / inject it into my veins.

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Just now, ariof said:

That is an absolute bomb. Storm center goes from 1003 off of the Outer Banks to 972 over ACK in 24h. Pressure at ACK falls 53mb in 24h. Cold airmass in place, coastal front setting up, just textbook. Lock it in / inject it into my veins.

Super bomb. A lot of mets used super bomb as slang for a storm that dropped more than 2mb per hour for extended period of time. 

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Super bomb. A lot of mets used super bomb as slang for a storm that dropped more than 2mb per hour for extended period of time. 

"It's bombogenesis, baby!"

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