First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[Typhoon Tip]

well   heh, not to be a dink but this thing isn't likely to be more than manageable in my eyes, and never was.  middling middling middling.

it's moving too fast.  barely below 995 ... all of it.   but i get it that 4" of paste can bring down power lines but that's like climo hassle level stuff

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

So are you

I dunno man CT Mets are pushing the snow wayyyy NW

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I volunteer. And to promote my candidacy, I will promise hourly videos, and on the ground reports.  
It’s the 700 mbar low that we’re focused on here. Is that right?

Yeah, You want to be NW of that.

[Spanks45]

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

As long as I can get a covering here…it’d be a win this early. Hopefully that’s still in the cards. 

I think we are cooked down here....I'm worried we won't even get on the board here, especially at my lower elevation.

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hey if I can pick up a covering, that’ll be a win. But I was just told zero snow here in CT, so whatever.  

I would wager that you have decent odds at getting your covering and maybe even around 0.5" or so. I think some of the guidance is too aggressive with warming sfc temperatures so quickly. I understand too its the temperatures aloft which are a concern too but I think they will still be cold enough initially to support snow. But at the surface, dewpoints will still be into the upper 20's and probably some room to wet bulb at the initial onset of precipitation which should help to keep temperatures just cold enough. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Wow, this one was fun to track, but all over the place. Not to give Kevin a big head, but I have to give him credit. He's stuck to his guns from the beginning. I'll be happy if I get an inch.

Not too disappointed, as it's early and I don't usually see much snow around this time frame. I would start getting more anxious by the middle of the month. But even then, as we say for the last several years, we still have January, February and March. Hopefully we'll look back on this conversation by March and say what a winter it was!

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Wow, this one was fun to track, but all over the place. Not to give Kevin a big head, but I have to give him credit. He's stuck to his guns from the beginning. I'll be happy if I get an inch.

Not too disappointed, as it's early and I don't usually see much snow around this time frame. I would start getting more anxious by the middle of the month. But even then, as we say for the last several years, we still have January, February and March. Hopefully we'll look back on this conversation by March and say what a winter it was!

He was talking Snow in his backyard yesterday.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

He was talking Snow in his backyard yesterday.

Ya…he thought 2-4” anyway.  Heh, these models can jump back the other way a tad too..so it ain’t a done deal yet. 

[H2Otown_WX]

18 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

I won't. That thing is dead nuts.

Welp, this aged poorly :/

[ineedsnow]

Still thinking 6 to 9 unless this warms more

[tamarack]

GYX 90/50/10 percents for Farmington (and here) are 0.5"/7"/14".  Guessing that the models remain far apart.  P&C forecast is 3-5 tomorrow and 2-4 tomorrow night.

[CoastalWx]

Where is the pic of Ray dropping the toaster into Kevin‘s bathtub? Is that possible?

[Prismshine Productions]

Still thinking 6 to 9 unless this warms more

I am still baffled at no warnings, 5-11" is a big range 18 hours out

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Where is the pic of Ray dropping the toaster into Kevin‘s bathtub? Is that possible?

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Where is the pic of Ray dropping the toaster into Kevin‘s bathtub? Is that possible?

Glad you’re getting enjoyment from this . Noted 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Glad you’re getting enjoyment from this . Noted 

So we can’t have some fun? I have a lot of experience with this since 2022. Just have to go along with it. At least it’s 12/2 and not 2/2.

[Typhoon Tip]

I'm trying to figure out what Ray's doin' in the same bathroom where Kevin's taking a bath

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

So we can’t have some fun? I have a lot of experience with this since 2022. Just have to go along with it. At least it’s 12/2 and not 2/2.

Yeah right.  Because the pattern ahead is offering so much opportunity . This one hurts 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah right.  Because the pattern ahead is offering so much opportunity . This one hurts 

Ray is on the line too. I know it’s tough. I hate to see anyone get screwed. But can’t let it get to you. If it did, I’d be 6 feet under.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So we can’t have some fun? I have a lot of experience with this since 2022. Just have to go along with it. At least it’s 12/2 and not 2/2.

Pretty soon, it will be. Winters fly…

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ray is on the line too. I know it’s tough. I hate to see anyone get screwed. But can’t let it get to you. If it did, I’d be 6 feet under.

Or at the very least a few more snowblower purchases.

[jbenedet]

The ARW’s are very warm as well. I understand them overall biased cold so I find that interesting.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Fast moving, not super dynamic and marginal temperature profiles in early December. Not the greatest recipe for widespread SNE snows. 
We’ll see what happens, but the GFS sort of had this one sniffed out. I’m hoping the mesos don’t continue to warm the mid levels.

[weatherwiz]

18 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

I won't. That thing is dead nuts.

meh how'd those physics work out for you

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So we can’t have some fun? I have a lot of experience with this since 2022. Just have to go along with it. At least it’s 12/2 and not 2/2.

I love how he says it like you’ve cleaned up recently lol.