December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z NAM in clown range looking pretty decent again for Sunday night. Maybe we can slowly trend this into at least a measurable event for a lot of folks. Beats nothing. 

 

I'll take "Words never uttered before  by Will" for $1000, Alex.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2F for the forecast low here tonight.  Howling winds.  Fresh snow

winter says howdy

[Typhoon Tip]

The 10th/11th doesn't have sturdy legs under it from the indices, but the 8th does.   its interesting.. as obviously the intriguing curvatures are hourglassing the flow more so for that latter of the two.  

It appears the hemisphere is attempting to slip back into an N. Pac favorable pattern after having relaxed for the last 5 days.  I'm seeing the WPO is in -delta. The progs from all major ens systems are almost as low as it was 2 to 3 weeks ago.    The EPO appears to be completely restructured into a hefty NVA up there and this seen in the spatial layout of the EPS and all of them really, with high coherence.  I showed that chart around mid month above...  

These don't really correlate well with a +PNA at first, and that does nicely ( statistically) explain why the PNA does goes below neutral later next week after Monday's minoring spike.  

I think this sets the stage for a very cold 10th to Solstice...  When the WPO has a modest negative correlation with the PNA, which connotes -WPO eventually subtends to +PNA given time; to some varying degrees of either.   -WPO with a alternating EPO and balancing +PNA intervals is    

fuck it ...no one's following this.  look it's going to be a lot colder between the 10th and the 20something than we were led to think this time last week.   snowier too follows

[Baroclinic Zone]

Gonna have to dig into the archives to find the last time we had lows in the single digits the first week of December.

 

[WxWatcher007]

23 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

SLK at 5F… haha @WxWatcher007 in a different world now.

3.4 with a breeze still. Good chance of a midnight jebwalk tonight. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gonna have to dig into the archives to find the last time we had lows in the single digits the first week of December.

 

Looks like two chances of that here this weekend 

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Front means bidness. 18.1°

your not kidding. 10 degree temp drop in less than 30 mins here. and that squall meant business as well. Traffic around MHT was dumb.

[DavisStraight]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gonna have to dig into the archives to find the last time we had lows in the single digits the first week of December.

 

1989 I think

[kdxken]

18 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

They love him. 

https://twitter.com/CapeAnnWeather/status/1996710869364101141?t=xw0bh92Nz0-y6ZfsWPKO_A&s=19

[HIPPYVALLEY]

8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gonna have to dig into the archives to find the last time we had lows in the single digits the first week of December.

 

Time to break out the ice fishing gear!

[Go Kart Mozart]

When is CC going to give us Richmond's climate?

[CoastalWx]

23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I’d probably see more rain verbatim .. let’s get the to nuke earlier 25 miles south 

At least verbatim cold is pressing south.

[Lava Rock]

16f. Will be chilly in the morning

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[DavisStraight]

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

When is CC going to give us Richmond's climate?

Hopefully Sunday night.

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

When is CC going to give us Richmond's climate?

On Christmas Day.

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

When is CC going to give us Richmond's climate?

At least we aren’t watching Pensacola FL get a blizzard like last year. 

[SouthCoastMA]

I didn't like it verbatim, even at 12z. Leaving some room for this to dig further south, but not holding my breath for additional positive trends. Just watching 

[MJO812]

Barney cold on the gfs

[Damage In Tolland]

20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Gonna have to dig into the archives to find the last time we had lows in the single digits the first week of December.

 

Every year it used to happen . December used to be 2nd best winter month .  For many , many years 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

At least we aren’t watching Pensacola FL get a blizzard like last year. 

Ya them and Alabama and New Orleans too…foot plus with blizzard conditions right on the beaches…and also 40 miles or so off shore into the gulf.   

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every year it used to happen . December used to be 2nd best winter month .  For many , many years 

Many many beers

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every year it used to happen . December used to be 2nd best winter month .  For many , many years 

No. It didn’t.  Just look at the normals.  But it has at times-Like this year. We take. 

[CoastalWx]

18z euro just totally meh Sunday night.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Many many beers

Definitely. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

18z euro just totally meh Sunday night.

Shoot that POS. 

[SouthCoastMA]

How and when were January and February ever not the top two? Outside of random years I guess

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Every year it used to happen . December used to be 2nd best winter month .  For many , many years 

 

I'm watching The American Revolution, too!!

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

How and when were January and February ever not the top two? Outside of random years I guess

When you have multiple IPA’s…that’s when. 

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Barney cold on the gfs

Who’s Barney? 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Many many beers

Yes and yes