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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...


Typhoon Tip
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46 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GEFS caving to EPS with that trough setting up in the west post Thanksgiving. 

Yeah I expect that tendency. What we need to see is some NAO ridging which does show some signs at the end of the run. I don’t expect us to have legit threats until after first week of December. Anything before is gravy.

 

I’m not the biggest fan of seeing that Bering Sea ridge. It’s not a bad thing, but it’s far enough west to keep the PNA negative too. Personally just would like  to see it more east.

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30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I expect that tendency. What we need to see is some NAO ridging which does show some signs at the end of the run. I don’t expect us to have legit threats until after first week of December. Anything before is gravy.

 

I’m not the biggest fan of seeing that Bering Sea ridge. It’s not a bad thing, but it’s far enough west to keep the PNA negative too. Personally just would like  to see it more east.

Ya that's been sneakily trending West.. I don't mind pushing back to Dec 10 if we can have some real winter Dec 10 to Dec 31 for a change.. 

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