Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)

[WxWatcher007]

No hurricane is coming lol, but the trend with 98L has been further south and west given its overall structure.

I do think there’s a legitimate chance that some moisture gets entrained in the end of month trough swinging in from the west, but we’re an eternity away from all that. 

[ineedsnow]

23 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

No hurricane is coming lol, but the trend with 98L has been further south and west given its overall structure.

I do think there’s a legitimate chance that some moisture gets entrained in the end of month trough swinging in from the west, but we’re an eternity away from all that. 

So that 941mb member on the GEFS about to move in day 8 won't happen? 

[ineedsnow]

@WxWatcher007 Euro might be interesting

[ineedsnow]

Or not gets kicked out

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Or not gets kicked out

It’s highly unlikely to impact the U.S. but if the trough taps into the moisture feed or even better somehow 98L gets partially absorbed into a big trough we could get some interesting wx, but more boredom is most likely. 

[H2Otown_WX]

21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Or not gets kicked out

When you gonna realize the main reason it's so expensive here is that there are no hurricanes or tornadoes And it doesn't feel like you live on Venus half the year like south of 35N.

[ineedsnow]

31 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’s highly unlikely to impact the U.S. but if the trough taps into the moisture feed or even better somehow 98L gets partially absorbed into a big trough we could get some interesting wx, but more boredom is most likely. 

 

11 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

When you gonna realize the main reason it's so expensive here is that there are no hurricanes or tornadoes And it doesn't feel like you live on Venus half the year like south of 35N.

EPS is interesting though.. I've seen two tornadoes in my life so can't say none 

[CT Rain]

Euro drops like 20" of rain in DC lol

[BrianW]

On 10/19/2025 at 7:35 AM, CoastalWx said:

I see zero signs of any cold to start November. Gonna need a major patter shift. Might come mid to late month. 

Still haven't even been in the 30's here. Looks like another mid November or later first frost for BDR. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

I picked 3 medium sized bell peppers, 1 banana pepper, a handful of cherry tomatoes and 3 regular tomatoes today. Still some green ones left on the vines and flowers blooming. The lack of sun probably prevents much new growth . But with zero cold anywhere in sight.. summer marches on .

[HoarfrostHubb]

Local PWS is at 0.99” for the day.   I need a hundredth. 

[ma blizzard]

36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I picked 3 medium sized bell peppers, 1 banana pepper, a handful of cherry tomatoes and 3 regular tomatoes today. Still some green ones left on the vines and flowers blooming. The lack of sun probably prevents much new growth . But with zero cold anywhere in sight.. summer marches on .

Thats incredible .. most of my plants got nuked when it hit 29 on the 10th. Still got some beefsteak and roma tomatoes going strong that were planted in the ground though! 

2 years ago had peppers, tomatoes, eggplants, etc go strong til 11/1! 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

Thats incredible .. most of my plants got nuked when it hit 29 on the 10th. Still got some beefsteak and roma tomatoes going strong that were planted in the ground though! 

2 years ago had peppers, tomatoes, eggplants, etc go strong til 11/1! 

These are all in the ground . The only issue they’re  right in the path of leaf blowing and I had to tiptoe around them on Saturday . Imma give them another week or so and see if anything blooms into fruit and if not , I’ll yank them . But I get no freeze here till early- mid Nov 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Local PWS is at 0.99” for the day.   I need a hundredth. 

Wow, half that here. 

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I picked 3 medium sized bell peppers, 1 banana pepper, a handful of cherry tomatoes and 3 regular tomatoes today. Still some green ones left on the vines and flowers blooming. The lack of sun probably prevents much new growth . But with zero cold anywhere in sight.. summer marches on .

Still getting some beautiful raspberries down here. 

[powderfreak]

At 1.15" here.

The western slope communities east of BTV in Chittenden County have gotten crushed.  They got trained by several narrow bands of heavy rainfall and now the ULL and upslope flow is cranking.

There are spots over 3" and pounding rain east of BTV.  They could do 4"+ in this event.

[alex]

1.35” so far. The incredible part is that with 3” of rain in the past 2 weeks the river has barely risen. In spring we’d be at flood stage. 

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, alex said:

1.35” so far. The incredible part is that with 3” of rain in the past 2 weeks the river has barely risen. In spring we’d be at flood stage. 

Same here and we've had a lot more rain. Even in the low spots my woods which rarely don't have water... nada

[mreaves]

3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Local PWS is at 0.99” for the day.   I need a hundredth. 

I ended up with .97”. 

[tunafish]

1.38" today.

Praise Jah.

4.50" since 8/1 - enough for me to stop caring.

[Typhoon Tip]

34 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

At 1.15" here.

The western slope communities east of BTV in Chittenden County have gotten crushed.  They got trained by several narrow bands of heavy rainfall and now the ULL and upslope flow is cranking.

There are spots over 3" and pounding rain east of BTV.  They could do 4"+ in this event.

just imagine if there was no global warming 

[tunafish]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

At 1.15" here.

The western slope communities east of BTV in Chittenden County have gotten crushed.  They got trained by several narrow bands of heavy rainfall and now the ULL and upslope flow is cranking.

There are spots over 3" and pounding rain east of BTV.  They could do 4"+ in this event.

 

1 hour ago, alex said:

1.35” so far. The incredible part is that with 3” of rain in the past 2 weeks the river has barely risen. In spring we’d be at flood stage. 

I have to imagine there's some water level rising in the area PF described.   Impressive if not.

[tunafish]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

just imagine if there was no global warming 

Easy to see how - as others have said - Freshwater flooding is going to be the most impactful (costliest, deadliest) weather event related aspect of AGW.  Probably already is.