FPizz Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 1 minute ago, steve392 said: Wtf lol Next run will send it west into Vancouver... Watch out Oregon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 2 minutes ago, FPizz said: Watch out Oregon! Maybe it will redevelop in the Pacific 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Definitely wasn't expecting a sunny warm day. What a model bust It's already 82 here. Might hit 86 or 87 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 83 / 53 more sun than projected. Mid 80s today, maybe the warmest to next spring. Onshore entourage continues keeping it near normal overall the next week. We'll see if any of the potential tropical system in the GOM and Upper low bring the rain. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Hung up stuck up patterns yielding scenarios leaning to a cutoff near the northeast later next weekend and weekend potentially or more of the same sustained overall dry - perpetual onshore flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Weekly rain back to nil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Tropics (GOM) the focus in the next 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Fantasy range but GFS has a strong cane into Tampa (yeah right) and the CMC is into the dakotas as noted above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 An unusual strom track is always possible when we get such extreme near record Greenland blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Just now, bluewave said: Some type of unusual track is plausible when we get these near record Greenland blocks. Agreed. However a well positioned trough moving eastward under the block could have a lot to say about how this eventually evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Definitely wasn't expecting a sunny warm day. What a model bust The models were downright shameful for this week. Not even worth looking at. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 85 degrees here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 That block above would be perfect in the winter it's not too far south like alot of the winter blocking we've see lately 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 38 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: 85 degrees here. After I mow later I'm probably jumping in the pool. I have the heater set at 82, but its at 84 now since it sits it the full sun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 2 minutes ago, FPizz said: After I mow later I'm probably jumping in the pool. I have the heater set at 82, but its at 84 now since it sits it the full sun. Mow what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Now up to 87 here. Feels like the middle of summer, but with low humidity. Beautiful day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 44 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: That block above would be perfect in the winter it's not too far south like alot of the winter blocking we've see lately Straight west to east flow off the Pacific means maybe we’d get a colder rain if a storm could even form since the flow is so fast. No cold air source. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Mow what? I'm trying to grow grass so have my irrigation system running daily. My lawn looks a little out of place compared to most the neighborhood by being so green lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 JFK and BDR got to within 3° of the record high today as the +8 to +11 departure will continue to shrink the monthly cool departure. CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 432 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2024 ................................... ...THE KENNEDY NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 19 2024... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2024 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 87 259 PM 90 1983 75 12 76 MINIMUM 69 709 AM 47 1956 60 9 59 1959 AVERAGE 78 67 11 68 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 432 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2024 ................................... ...THE BRIDGEPORT CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 19 2024... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2024 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 85 259 PM 88 1983 74 11 74 MINIMUM 65 618 AM 42 1959 59 6 57 AVERAGE 75 67 8 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 It will be variably cloudy tomorrow and somewhat cooler tomorrow and Saturday. A few showers are possible on parts of Long Island and eastern Connecticut. A fresh shot of cooler air could arrive for Sunday. Boston picked up 0.01" of rain today. That ended its 29-day stretch without measurable precipitation, which was tied for the 4th longest on record. Records go back to 1872. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around September 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.10°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was +8.44 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.558 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 59% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.8° (0.7° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 83 the high here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 7 hours ago, forkyfork said: can't remember a gulf storm going straight nnw into north dakota I saw that when I woke up this morning and laughed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 Stinks that Boston lost the record over .01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 19, 2024 Share Posted September 19, 2024 83 today. Beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 20, 2024 Share Posted September 20, 2024 84/65 split today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted September 20, 2024 Share Posted September 20, 2024 This is the third straight mid/late week timeframe where the models had several runs suggesting serious rainfall for NJ/NYC. The first two did not materialize, the ridge won out. Next Wed-Thu we will try again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 20, 2024 Share Posted September 20, 2024 I know it’s dry, but this has been the nicest September I can remember in some time. I mean gem, after gem. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted September 20, 2024 Share Posted September 20, 2024 8 hours ago, SACRUS said: 83 / 53 more sun than projected. Mid 80s today, maybe the warmest to next spring. Onshore entourage continues keeping it near normal overall the next week. We'll see if any of the potential tropical system in the GOM and Upper low bring the rain. https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif I'm getting a feeling of an extremely warm second period in October from around the 6th-10th. We'll see, lots can and will change. WX/PT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 20, 2024 Share Posted September 20, 2024 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted September 20, 2024 Share Posted September 20, 2024 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Better than the last 2 winters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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