Lava Rock Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 This sub has been infiltrated. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 Even ACK has been in the 20s. That’s seems strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Even ACK has been in the 20s. That’s seems strange. His area is always a complete anomaly with regard to higher temperatures…very weird. Something isn’t right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 12/14 and 12/7 BDR was 25 or below. .. BDR dropped below 30 degrees 8 times since November 1.. Found a few stations on the water in Branford and they dropped below 30 the past 2 days as well as well below 30 on 12/14 and 12/7 and 6 times in November .. First one being November 2nd.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 GON has hit 22°. There’s no way he hasn’t had 20s. Even all 3 NYC sites have had 20s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 If we can decouple, might get mid teens here overnight but I think wind is going to be an issue off and on so expecting more like 20ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 12/14 and 12/7 BDR was 25 or below. .. BDR dropped below 30 degrees 8 times since November 1.. Working on HVN now, Found a few stations on the water in Branford and they dropped below 30 the past 2 days as well as well below 30 on 12/14 and 12/7 and 6 times in November .. First one being November 2nd.. I think his temp sensor is near his septic tank… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 36 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i would pay money for this to verify. luckily, the better pattern has moved forward in time. doesn’t seem like a head fake GEFS and EPS both recently have been trying to get the Atlantic involved as we go deeper into the first week or January. I think we’ll definitely want that because the N PAC may try and reshuffle mid-month but a good Atlantic would keep us shielded from that somewhat hopefully long enough for when PAC gets favorable again (likely during the peak El Niño climo of late Jan and Feb) 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GEFS and EPS both recently have been trying to get the Atlantic involved as we go deeper into the first week or January. I think we’ll definitely want that because the N PAC may try and reshuffle mid-month but a good Atlantic would keep us shielded from that somewhat hopefully long enough for when PAC gets favorable again (likely during the peak El Niño climo of late Jan and Feb) the SPV is also getting wrecked. helps blocking prospects as we enter the main window in late Jan into Feb 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Snow is needed badly. Still weeks away. 2 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 18 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Still weeks away. It looks like there is decent confidence the pacific lets up only for a brief period toward January 7-15 ish then we need decent Atlantic to offset that during what is approaching peak climo and then after that El Niño seasonal favorability kick in. Just give me snow in NNE lol , if the stars align in SNE earlier great . So basically January seems entirely up in the air with very wide goal posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 43 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If we can decouple, might get mid teens here overnight but I think wind is going to be an issue off and on so expecting more like 20ish. 25 already. Not that far to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 The light snow tonight feels strangely exciting lol. Like life is returning back to normal after this ridiculous stretch 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep and this isn’t the forum to debate every attribution. Anyone who has read a lot of the attribution literature when it comes to patterns and actual weather events knows it’s not a very cut and dried part of the science…as say…long term temperature trends. The other stuff is constantly being debated in the literature and often changes. We’ll tolerate some tangential discussion in here when it’s somewhat relevant to the discussion but there’s a climate change forum if people want to post there. Agree and apologize for replying within the December thread. I almost always avoid getting into non relevant to thread topic posts... But this time my urge was to respond overwhelmed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, alex said: The light snow tonight feels strangely exciting lol. Like life is returning back to normal after this ridiculous stretch It’s made the white coating the past couple days at home feel like deep winter. We need to get back in the flow. It was a pretty good 3-week stretch in the NNE mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 29 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It looks like there is decent confidence the pacific lets up only for a brief period toward January 7-15 ish then we need decent Atlantic to offset that during what is approaching peak climo and then after that El Niño seasonal favorability kick in. Just give me snow in NNE lol , if the stars align in SNE earlier great . So basically January seems entirely up in the air with very wide goal posts Recall when the Atlantic was supposed to help us early and mid December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’s made the white coating the past couple days at home feel like deep winter. We need to get back in the flow. It was a pretty good 3-week stretch in the NNE mtns. Good luck to you guys! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 DT on board with a big pattern change 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 24 minutes ago, FXWX said: Agree and apologize for replying within the December thread. I almost always avoid getting into non relevant to thread topic posts... But this time my urge was to respond overwhelmed. No I thought your reply was good. I was really just speaking in general to those who want to keep obsessing with the attribution stuff can take it elsewhere since it always ends up cluttering the thread. This really should be a pattern/present wx thread and directly related topics. I think mentioning CC is fine when it’s directly relevant to the topic and has good factual basis with it…but it gets very tedious when it devolves into hyperbole or very debatable claims being passed off as fact. Those who want to debate those can do in the forum made for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: DT on board with a big pattern change Just f’ing great. The last thing we need is Dick T on board 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just f’ing great. The last thing we need is Dick T on board Cranky says basically same deal we got here major pattern change coming . 2 step downs . Post 28’th and post Jan 1 Says the only wild card is wether subtropical jet gets involved in the 27-28 system and will determine if it’s steady showers or a third straight disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Recall when the Atlantic was supposed to help us early and mid December? Just imagine how warm the rain would’ve been without the Atlantic’s help. That assist might have been what marginally tipped the scales pasty to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just f’ing great. The last thing we need is Dick T on board It’s pretty obvious at this point we’re getting a major pattern shift. As usual, details can’t be figured this far out. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 Complete BS https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxW6RRoachQbosxov8jvI1ievfWOpcsQPg?si=-FE5kzxPl0tW7ivi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 It’s rare to have a winter rain event raise the lake level on the “6th Great Lake” to a level above the spring melt. December never gets the highest water level of the year. Add it to the list of things we haven’t seen in a minute of history. Its been a wet year overall. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 56 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’s rare to have a winter rain event raise the lake level on the “6th Great Lake” to a level above the spring melt. December never gets the highest water level of the year. Add it to the list of things we haven’t seen in a minute of history. Its been a wet year overall. How much do you think snowmelt added to the rain? There wasn’t a huge pack below 2000’ but there was a lot of water in what there was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 25.1/12 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 3 hours ago, BrianW said: Looking forward for my first 20s of the season... Lows are expected to be in the low-20s/upper teens for most. The NYC metro will be be drop into the upper-20s while far interior areas may see mid-teens. These temperatures are only a few degrees to 5 degrees below normal, but still some of the coldest we have seen thus far this season. that’s odd in new haven/west haven we got a 29 on like november 2 i believe. it was an impressive frost edit missed the 10 comments on this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 12 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 25.1/12 here Ya' cold night. 24/12 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 18.8/11 NW 10mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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