CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That things are delayed until about mid month for any snow chances in SNE. Maybe the 2nd week things start to turn. With no blocking it’s just gonna be cut city until then in my eyes. I just hope it’s not one of those good 7-10 periods and you build up at least some pack , and then you wake up and people are already discussing the torch or coming warmup which totally ruins any good winter vibes and ability to enjoy the snow . I can see that happening It was delayed a week or so. But, the south did trend a lot cooler....we just didn't really get a polar airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 49 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Heading over to Costco , thinking if we will need an industrial size bottle of lube for January just in case It's cheaper ordering it from the jungle website... just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Seasonably cold and dry to warm and wet. Rinse repeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Seasonably cold and dry to warm and wet. Rinse repeat. Until it isn’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 13 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Seasonably cold and dry to warm and wet. Rinse repeat. Not necessarily 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Some snow for the Deep South at the end of the gfs run. Still crickets up here though, of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 I think everything is progressing nearly on schedule. I know Ray and I shared a lot of the same thoughts in our winter outlooks how we would see pattern evolution moving through December into January and everything seems to be on par. Everything seems to be progressing how you'd expect for a typical EL Nino, especially a stronger EL Nino. While our luck certainly isn't the best with stronger EL Nino's, we have had success with stronger episodes. But you can see that we're moving towards the emergence of the Aleutian Low. It also appears we should head into the direction of developing blocking. Everything is happening slow, but things are changing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Sneaky cold morning with the wind. Maybe I'm just not used to it since we haven't had much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Some snow for the Deep South at the end of the gfs run. Still crickets up here though, of course. Split flow with cold to the north should definitely get the south in on the action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Gorilla coming at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 This winter is already heading down a bad path, It better be a pattern in Jan of more then just 2 weeks before it gets hostile again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 This winter is starting shape up like the 23-24 Patriots. Hopes for something decent to begin. Hopes slowly fade. Now actively rooting against them, hoping for a better draft pick. Add another credit to the regression bank? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gorilla coming at the end. Damage? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Well I guess maybe fantasy storms put weenies in their footie pajamas....until those get taken from them?? I didn't see much wrong on the GFS. Next week probably sucks and has looked that way for awhile. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well I guess maybe fantasy storms put weenies in their footie pajamas....until those get taken from them?? I didn't see much wrong on the GFS. Next week probably sucks and has looked that way for awhile. Pattern looks good, who cares about a jackpot at hour 384.. We wait on the Gorilla and hope for the best.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well I guess maybe fantasy storms put weenies in their footie pajamas....until those get taken from them?? I didn't see much wrong on the GFS. Next week probably sucks and has looked that way for awhile. People want to see blizzards on OP runs at D12...if there is nothing being shown it's just winter cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well I guess maybe fantasy storms put weenies in their footie pajamas....until those get taken from them?? I didn't see much wrong on the GFS. Next week probably sucks and has looked that way for awhile. Still a large difference in some guidance for next week...esp in NNE....Canadian is quite icy for them while GFS is a torch. We'll have to see which way the Euro breaks today. But agreed on longer range GFS....that's a nice looking pattern overall, decent cold around and hopefully one of those many shortwaves can line up correctly for us. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gorilla coming at the end. In the mist? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Still a large difference in some guidance for next week...esp in NNE....Canadian is quite icy for them while GFS is a torch. We'll have to see which way the Euro breaks today. But agreed on longer range GFS....that's a nice looking pattern overall, decent cold around and hopefully one of those many shortwaves can line up correctly for us. I think the GFS is being a bit too aggressive with the warmth that far north but it's certainly possible that could happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: I wonder about NH heat this next warm season. let's do 1936. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It was delayed a week or so. But, the south did trend a lot cooler....we just didn't really get a polar airmass. Nope don’t want to hear anything about it being “delayed”. Either it’s going to happen or it isn’t. If it doesn’t happen when we expected, instead of moving the goalposts it makes sense to just give up and admit to being wrong. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Kev is gonna go into the reverse psych mode now…you can see it coming. Ironically things after Xmas week look pretty decent Actually, so I don’t get the angst at the moment? Not seeing cold air on the long range guidance. Even in the very long range the BN anomalies are confined to the south. NNE is AN. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: People want to see blizzards on OP runs at D12...if there is nothing being shown it's just winter cancel Yes we do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 I mean for fucks sake we haven’t had a BN winter since 2014-2015. Looks like we will have a decent chance at a 9th consecutive AN winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 The GFS looks cold enough to me in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: People want to see blizzards on OP runs at D12...if there is nothing being shown it's just winter cancel Yes, Every 6 hrs @hr384 because we know it will be a parade of them as we count down to hr0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still a large difference in some guidance for next week...esp in NNE....Canadian is quite icy for them while GFS is a torch. We'll have to see which way the Euro breaks today. But agreed on longer range GFS....that's a nice looking pattern overall, decent cold around and hopefully one of those many shortwaves can line up correctly for us. But yet we still have the same ingenuous people just constantly saying rinse and repeat..with persistence forecasting. When that is certainly not the case as we look forward. Nobody can guarantee anything, and sure, maybe we strike out again in a good pattern, that’s always possible. But it’s not the same, and it’s not rinse and repeat. It’s Trolling plain and simple. And it’s a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, George001 said: I mean for fucks sake we haven’t had a BN winter since 2014-2015. Looks like we will have a decent chance at a 9th consecutive AN winter. Dude…STFU! 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gorilla coming at the end. Gorilla’s live in the rainforest so…yea, more big rainers on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Wolfie what’s your B.P 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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