Stormsfury Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 47 minutes ago, GaWx said: Hopefully not. It appears that the center may be tracking inland of Savannah a decent amount, which would keep winds down somewhat vs how high they might have otherwise been. Combined with the quicker weakening vs NHC forecasts that I just posted about, that combination would be good news to keep winds down from how high it earlier appeared winds might get. I earlier thought outages would be widespread along with numerous trees down throughout the area. That may still end up being the case as winds are picking up and will get strong by late afternoon. But perhaps it won't be as bad as earlier feared. At 2 PM strongest winds I saw came from St Simon's, GA.. S 33 gust to 59! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
accountingdawg2012 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormsfury said: At 2 PM strongest winds I saw came from St Simon's, GA.. S 33 gust to 59! Almost 25% of the island appears to be without power. There's about 15K that live there and outages are already over 3200. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djtwayne Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 27 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: See you guys here on page 60 of the thread next week I saw this trend too, it looks like she goes out into the Atlantic, gets herself back together and comes back for more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The sweeping out to sea cold front is still inNW PA. Could this allow for a more north and west move before abruptly turning east? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 29 minutes ago, accountingdawg2012 said: Almost 25% of the island appears to be without power. There's about 15K that live there and outages are already over 3200. That's crazy... 3pm St Simon's GA S 26 gusts to 66! Regional Weather Roundup National Weather Service Charleston SC 300 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2023 NOTE: "fair" indicates few or no clouds below 12,000 feet with no significant weather and/or obstructions to visibility. Not all stations are quality controlled. Use data with caution, especially dewpoint observations. SCZ027-030-031-034>040-042>050-302000- ...Southeast South Carolina... CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS N Charleston LGT RAIN 78 76 93 E23G29 29.58F FOG Waterfront Prk N/A 79 77 94 E17 29.46F Mount Pleasant HVY RAIN 79 79 100 E10G21 29.61F VSB<1/4 Johns Island CLOUDY 81 81 100 SE17G25 29.58F FOG HX 91 Pinopolis N/A 77 75 94 E8G15 N/A Moncks Corner HVY RAIN 75 73 94 E8 29.64F Summerville HVY RAIN 77 75 94 NE9 29.59F FOG Beaufort MCAS CLOUDY 82 80 94 SE13G25 29.48F HX 94 Beaufort Arpt N/A 81 77 89 SE14G26 29.49F Hilton Head Is NOT AVBL Walterboro RAIN 75 75 100 E16G31 29.56F Allendale LGT RAIN 75 75 100 E8G18 29.53F FOG ...Southern Midlands and Pee Dee... CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Georgetown HVY RAIN 73 73 100 E3 29.68F VSB 1/4 Kingstree LGT RAIN 77 73 88 E6 29.70F Orangeburg RAIN 75 75 100 NE13G22 29.62F FOG Barnwell HVY RAIN 75 75 100 NE21G26 29.58F VSB 3/4 Aiken HVY RAIN 74 72 94 NE21G30 29.66F FOG Manning LGT RAIN 73 73 100 MISG 29.68F Columbia RAIN 77 76 96 NE12G20 29.68F FOG Sumter HVY RAIN 77 76 95 NE12 29.69F VSB 1 Florence RAIN 81 78 91 NE12 29.72F FOG Myrtle Beach LGT RAIN 78 78 100 VRB7 29.72F N Myrtle Beach LGT RAIN 77 75 93 E6 29.73F $$ GAZ063-065-086>088-099>101-113>116-118-119-134>141-150-302000- ...Southeast Georgia... CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Savannah Arpt LGT RAIN 81 77 88 SE28G40 29.37F FOG Hunter AAF LGT RAIN 81 66 59 SE22G38 29.36F Fort Stewart CLOUDY 81 77 89 SE29G36 29.22F Statesboro HVY RAIN 76 73 93 NE12G18 29.42F Sylvania RAIN 76 76 98 NE9G17 29.47F Claxton HVY RAIN 80 78 95 E20G31 29.32F VSB 1/2 Millen RAIN 74 73 95 N13G22 29.53F FOG Metter HVY RAIN N/A N/A N/A NE16G24 29.36F VSB 1 Reidsville HVY RAIN 77 N/A N/A N15G26 29.27F VSB 3/4 ...CSRA, Central and far Southeast Georgia... CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Thomson RAIN 74 72 92 NE17 29.65F FOG Augusta-Bush HVY RAIN 73 72 96 NE21G29 29.59F VSB 1 Augusta-Daniel HVY RAIN 74 72 93 NE13G23 29.64F VSB 1 Swainsboro HVY RAIN N/A N/A N/A N15G29 29.48F Vidalia HVY RAIN 73 73 100 N16G30 29.37F Eastman RAIN 72 72 100 N17G25 29.49F Hazlehurst HVY RAIN 73 72 95 N28G41 29.26F Alma LGT RAIN 78 77 96 N15G28 29.11F Waycross CLOUDY 79 79 100 W23G33 29.13R Jesup NOT AVBL Baxley HVY RAIN N/A N/A N/A NE17G25 29.14F Brunswick NOT AVBL Saint Simons CLOUDY 86 76 71 S26G66 29.32F HX 96 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Tornado in Goose Creek from a band. Happened on St James Ave near US52. This is less than a mile from where I'm at. https://widgets.burst.com/fd2cb8d6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Tornado in Goose Creek from a band. Happened on St James Ave near US52. This is less than a mile from where I'm at.https://widgets.burst.com/fd2cb8d6 Looks like it’s been a rough day for my old stomping grounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gtg947h Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Downgraded to a tropical storm now (1700 EDT advisory) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 15 minutes ago, gtg947h said: Downgraded to a tropical storm now (1700 EDT advisory) Good to see although not surprising based on earlier trends. But right when downgrade occurred and after blinking on and off many times, I lost power (~20 min ago). I had a gust in the low 40s ~2 hours ago and a similar one recently, but nothing too bad so far. And it is moving more quickly than forecasted. As of 5PM NHC update, it was already due W of SAV (40 miles W) at 32.2N, 81.7W. That's nearly 3 hours ahead of what the 11AM NHC had as it had it due W of SAV not til 8PM (32.4N, 81.1W). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Man this place died off after landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 20 minutes ago, gtg947h said: Downgraded to a tropical storm now (1700 EDT advisory) So, the downgrade is 9 hours ahead of what the 5AM advisory had and 4+ hours ahead of what the 11AM advisory had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The only mildly interesting thing to watch is if Idalia gets off the coast earlier and / or unexpectedly depeens. Other than that the main show ended and everyone is decompressing I’m sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Man this place died off after landfall 6 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Not much to talk about Head back to the 2023 thread, got another MDR system coming in the models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 14 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Man this place died off after landfall Because the catastrophic storm that shut down the whole west coast of Florida was a relatively small, fast mover that hit rural swampland. I imagine GA and SC get it worse 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 28 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Looks like it’s been a rough day for my old stomping grounds Been off and on rapidly moving heavy bands, wasn't aware a spin up occurred just a mile away until it was all over the news. It was tornado warned though. Quite an interesting day, despite not much wind so far but that'll change within the couple hours or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I be willing to bet it turns back into a hurricane at some point even if short lived… once it gets off the coast.. 20 minutes ago, Normandy said: The only mildly interesting thing to watch is if Idalia gets off the coast earlier and / or unexpectedly depeens. Other than that the main show ended and everyone is decompressing I’m sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 This isn't very circular very more. Rectangular hurricane. Honestly I said that because the gap in the observations is a long rectangle. Well anyway, 988mb is still pretty low but believable as it has gone up about 48mb as a result of landfall and convergence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Downgraded to a TS on latest update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 26 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Because the catastrophic storm that shut down the whole west coast of Florida was a relatively small, fast mover that hit rural swampland. I imagine GA and SC get it worse I have family on Hilton Head island. What type of effects do you think we are expecting there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Downgraded to a TS on latest update.This was really well forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 hour ago, StantonParkHoya said: Man this place died off after landfall Not enough death&destruction 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Looks like Idallia should re-emerge off the coast just north of Hilton Head Island shortly by say 8-9 pm timeframe. High clouds have taken over the sky here in southeastern Pennsylvania sun shining through high clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HiltonHeadWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I have family on Hilton Head island. What type of effects do you think we are expecting there? I live on Hilton Head. I’ve recorded 2.4” of rain today, thus far, with a tad over 2” yesterday in three quick hitting thunderstorms. Winds were fairly light most of day, picking up in late afternoon, but here near Dolphin Head on the northern tip of the island (on Port Royal Sound), I haven’t seen any gusts over 45mph. The island takes hurricane threats very seriously and has a pretty good and thorough plan of action whenever a storm threatens. Many businesses, government offices, schools, etc all closed today, just in case earlier forecasts of hurricane winds and a 2-4 foot tidal surge came to pass. Fortunately, as is often the case, Hilton Head has basically dodged a bullet and I suspect most everything will be back to normal tomorrow. Here it’s pretty much “expect the worse, be prepared, and hope for the best”. Again, we apparently lucked out! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, HiltonHeadWx said: I live on Hilton Head. I’ve recorded 2.4” of rain today, thus far, with a tad over 2” yesterday in three quick hitting thunderstorms. Winds were fairly light most of day, picking up in late afternoon, but here near Dolphin Head on the northern tip of the island (on Port Royal Sound), I haven’t seen any gusts over 45mph. The island takes hurricane threats very seriously and has a pretty good and thorough plan of action whenever a storm threatens. Many businesses, government offices, schools, etc all closed today, just in case earlier forecasts of hurricane winds and a 2-4 foot tidal surge came to pass. Fortunately, as is often the case, Hilton Head has basically dodged a bullet and I suspect most everything will be back to normal tomorrow. Here it’s pretty much “expect the worse, be prepared, and hope for the best”. Again, we apparently lucked out! We did too. My highest winds were before 5PM. I had earlier thought per models/NHC that 5PM was to be the start of the worst. I think the main reason is that it got to its closest point just after 5PM instead of the previously expected 8PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 confirmed tornado near Wilmington NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Charleston at 9+ ft above MLLW about half an hour ahead of high tide: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/map/index.html?id=8665530 This event could slip between Matthew and Irma for #4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 17 minutes ago, Chinook said: confirmed tornado near Wilmington NC Bout crapped my pants. Was out on the porch watching and listening for the larger vortex to my southeast when another circulation formed and dropped less than a mile from me. Confirmed both by radar and law enforcement down the road from me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 wow, I didn't even think of it, but you can barely make out a supercell shape, even though the yellow/orange/red kind of dominates the image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 31, 2023 Share Posted August 31, 2023 Even have the outermost clouds up here on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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