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About shaggy

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  1. Apr 15 2018 severe weather thread

    Not saying this means we will have a tornado outbreak today or that it means we will have a hurricane later in the year but just showing that this date is significant in NC tornado history as we have seen major outbreaks on this date several times in the past.
  2. March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    For me, it depends on the expectations.This was never going to be a big event for us. If I had expected an earlier changeover that never happened to only have a burst of big flakes then yeah that would suck. However, this storm played out exactly as expected. Changeover around dark as the heavy band moved in and I was never expecting more than a dusting up until yesterday morning when they started mentioning an inch. I ended up with at least 1.5 here at the house. An overperforming blizzard of biscuit sized flakes was as good as this system could have been for us and I liked it!
  3. March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    Seen snow 4 times with 3 of them leaving snow on the ground. Went below zero in early January and had -4 readings on my vehicle and also my home station. Add tonight's epic flakes then it' a win... Especially with the Feb torch that provided us a nice break from the cold with still lots of snow for the winter.
  4. March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    I'm hoping us eastern guys get some help as that deform band forms and we can get a couple hours of the big fat heavy flakes.
  5. March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    Morehead city pretty bullish in their disco for a period of heavy snow tonight under the deform band
  6. 2018 Banter Thread

    Pics of boats being grounded in washington
  7. 2018 Banter Thread

    Great example of a wind tide going on right now. Go to the NWS rivers and lakes page and look at the gauges at little Washington and the obx. Major water level drops at washington and major rises on the sound side of the obx
  8. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    They looked good 10 days ago for a big cool down first week or two of February and that changed and now we are pushing it out to second half of feb....experience tells me that when we start pushing out the big cold pattern change it's bad sign.
  9. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Would have liked to have seen the 3k back it up but it really didn' at all.
  10. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Slower and sharper with the trough keeps increasing our chances
  11. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Us Pgv guys are getting the Raleigh screw job this go around. So 3 to 6 near Raleigh and now MHX comes out with this awesome disco for the coastal areas. Then, as energy transfers to a developing coastal low east of the Outer Banks, heavier snow will move over coastal sections of Eastern NC, generally east of HWY 17. The heaviest snow will fall along the Pamlico Sound from Carteret County to Hatteras Island/mainland Hyde County. Strong dynamics, thanks to a robust cutoff upper low, will allow the low to deepen quickly Wednesday night. This will produce moderate to heavy snow over the NC coast with a deformation band setting up somewhere. Mesoscale dynamics/factors could produce locally heavier snowfall of 4+ inches, and even a rumble of thunder.
  12. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    I'm sitting in a 1 county wide WWA with WSW warnings either side of me. One side is the for the piedmonts bigger totals and the one east of me is for the coastal that gets going. I wish there was a way for this "deepening stronger cutoff" (per Raleigh NWS) to not die and lose the qpf so fast as it moves east.
  13. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Didn't like seeing that dryslot over between 95 and 17 but hey can't win them all and we scored on the jan 3rd storm so I hope you guys score on this one. The hi res models have improved for me tonight so maybe that trend keeps up at 6z runs too.
  14. Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    I'm sitting between the two higher snowfall totals on the Rgem. There's 3-6 to my west and now 3-5 to my east as it pulls the coastal ever so closer. I had around 4.5 to 5 inches on Jan 3rd so its not life or death for my season I've already scored. Would be nice to see that low kick off 30 more miles west though and get me into those higher potential totals.
  15. Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    This could improve my totals hopefully. The RGem is close to throwing back some decent totals over me. Increased areas along highway 17 quite a bit and another 30 mile shift west on the coastal could put me in play for those totals. Hopefully if this digs further south and gets a better tilt it can pull that low closer to the coast for me.