August 2023

[mob1]

1.11" for the day (and counting) between this morning's rain and the weakening line just now. Nothing exciting in terms of severe obviously, which has been the theme all summer here. 

[Stormlover74]

Intensifying for LI

[SRRTA22]

Not too shabby. Impressive ctc and alright gusts fwiw

[Intensewind002]

I honestly forgot there was a severe threat today 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Damn looks like a cold pool aloft type precip shield. We will take the rain on the drought stricken south shore

[doncat]

A couple of loud cracks of thunder with 30mph gust and just some light rain, 0.12", to go along with this mornings 0.75". High temp of 83°.

[SRRTA22]

5 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Damn looks like a cold pool aloft type precip shield. We will take the rain on the drought stricken south shore

Haven't seen such a well defined mcs in a long while, i for sure thought it'd be a tad bit stronger than this on arrival (mainly in terms of lightning) 

[Allsnow]

22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Intensifying for LI

I don’t see that 

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

I don’t see that 

It looked like it briefly pulsed up

[qg_omega]

4 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Haven't seen such a well defined mcs in a long while, i for sure thought it'd be a tad bit stronger than this on arrival (mainly in terms of lightning) 

Had one a few weeks ago which was much stronger for NYC and the island

[winterwx21]

10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It looked like it briefly pulsed up

It did and is causing a rain delay at Citi Field, but even at that it was just some moderate rain. The evening part of this event ended up being a bust for most of the area, but we saw that coming. I don't get very excited about a severe threat when it's progged to hit this late at night. 

[SRRTA22]

8 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Had one a few weeks ago which was much stronger for NYC and the island

Lol few hours earlier and we'd have no power right now , that was a baby compared to this. 

NJ...only place where you can get a f2 tornado in the middle of winter but a dying line in the dead of summer 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

It did and is causing a rain delay at Citi Field, but even at that it was just some moderate rain. The evening part of this event ended up being a bust for most of the area, but we saw that coming. I don't get very excited about a severe threat when it's progged to hit this late at night. 

The only model that seemed excited about it was the euro. Ended up with .12" this round .8 for the day

[Intensewind002]

Jeez rain shield literally vanished from existence once it reached the nassau suffolk border

[lee59]

Strong southerly breeze all day put a lid on thunderstorm chances here. Have picked up about 2/3 of an inch on the day.

[SRRTA22]

Lol Delmarvas getting absolutely smoked line after line 

[SACRUS]

 

8/7

 

PHL: 88
New Brnswck: 85
TEB: 85
EWR: 84
TTN: 84
LGA: 82
BLM: 82
ACY: 82
NYC: 81
JFK: 79
ISP: 79

[Wxoutlooksblog]

9 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Lol Delmarvas getting absolutely smoked line after line 

They're actually in the warm sector.

WX/PT

[Allsnow]

1 hour ago, Rmine1 said:

Nothing? Like not a single drop?

Yup 

[Allsnow]

.20 total here 

.93 for the day 

[winterwarlock]

an embarrassing .14....56 on the day

[Intensewind002]

Not much from this batch of rain, only about 0.01”, 0.36” for the day here

[Cfa]

74 and windy, some of these gusts are pretty potent, I just had to avoid walking under some trees. Light rain fell apart on arrival, only sporadic raindrops at best.

High of 78, and a heavy rain induced low of 69. 1.05” today, all of it from this morning.

[psv88]

Poof 

[SACRUS]

8/7

 

Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2001)
NYC: 104 (1918)
LGA: 99 (2001)

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 57 (1948)
NYC: 57 (1994)
LGA: 61 (1975)

 

Historical:

 

1904 - A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds delaying trains as much as five days. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1918 - Philadelphia, PA, established an all-time record with a high of 106 degrees. New York City experienced its warmest day and night with a low of 82 degrees and a high of 102 degrees. Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Flemington NJ and Somerville NJ established state records for the month of August. (The Weather Channel) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

 

1924: A tornado caused estimated F4 damage moved southeast from south of Osseo, WI to Black River Falls, WI. One person was killed as a home was leveled and a boy was killed running to the storm cellar near the start of the path. Two people died as farm homes were swept away near the northeast edge of Black River Falls. Damage totaled $200,000 as 50 farms were hit and buildings were unroofed in the town of Northfield. The tornado followed the present route of Interstate 94.

1984 - El Paso, TX, normally receives 1.21 inches of rain in August. They got it in forty-five minutes, with four more inches to boot, during a storm which left Downtown El Paso under five feet of water. (The Weather Channel)

1986 - A rare outbreak of seven tornadoes occurred in New England. One tornado carved its way through Cranston RI and Providence RI causing twenty injuries. Rhode Island had not reported a tornado in twelve years, and three touched down in 24 hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1987 - Morning thunderstorms drenched Goldsboro, NC, with 3.37 inches of rain. Late morning thunderstorms in Arizona produced dime size hail, wind gusts to 50 mph, and two inches of rain, at Sierra Vista. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A dozen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Waco, TX, with a reading of 107 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees at Marquette, MI, was their twenty-third of the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin, with wind gusts to 81 mph reported at McCool, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Forty cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Valentine, NE, with a reading of 40 degrees, and Belcourt ND with a low of 37 degrees. Martin SD was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 30 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed over Florida and Washington State, with record highs of 100 degress at Daytona Beach, FL, 101 degrees at Walla Walla, WA, and 103 degrees at Hanford, WA. (The National Weather Summary)

[Rtd208]

Picked up 0.94" of rain for the day.

[SnoSki14]

GFS LR really wants to roast us but other models say hold on. In fact the WAR ends up being weaker with time, usually it's the opposite. 

So the jury's still out on any prolonged heat. 

[dmillz25]

1.13” on the day yesterday 

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging   79degs.(71/87) or +3.

Reached 79 here yesterday at 6pm.

Today:   77-82, wind w., m. cloudy, some sun late, 70 tomorrow AM.

71*(97%RH) here at 7am.       73* at 9am.      75* at 11am.      Reached 82* at 4pm.

[SACRUS]

73 / 69 about 0.75 in the bucket the last 30 hours or so.  pmostly cloudy now but some breaks in the clouds later today after some scattered / isolated showers move through.  Clearing out and drying out Wed (8/9) / Thu (8/10). Warm mid upper 80s.  850s are about 12C-14C so perhaps a stray 90 with enough sun but likely upper 80s does it.  By Thu evening the next round of storms is moving through as trough moves east and butts up against the W Atlantic Ridge.   Storms Fri (8/11) morning then clearing with a warmer weekend and looking mainly dry although scattered storms wouldnt surprise me coming back into the forecast,

 

The western atlantic ridge hit a delay west of Bermuda and the latest forecasts dont have the westward push prior runs had.  Mon (8/14) - Tue (8/15) trough moves through and lifts out. Strong heat skirts by the area to the south in pulses 24 hours out and repeat afew days later.

 

  Beyond that 8/17 and onwards later in the month - overall warm to hot (at times 90s a day or two), humid and storms chances.  The way beyond has the EC ridging but we'll need to track the seasonal tendency to adjust that west and the W. Atlantic Ridge nearby.