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Hurricane Ian


Scott747
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I’ll take a Sarasota landing from these latest runs at this point.  Especially if it comes in along near empty corridors and stays inland   I mean it’s going to be a terrible storm any way you slice it.  Might as well spare High cat 3 winds into Tampa Bay which has the highest population center of the entire west coast region. 

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118 
WTNT64 KNHC 270631
TCUAT4

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092022
230 AM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

...IAN BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER WESTERN CUBA SOON...

Earlier aircraft and more recent satellite data indicate that Ian 
has continued to strengthen. The maximum winds are now estimated to 
be 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts.

SUMMARY OF 230 AM EDT...0630 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 83.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF THE CITY OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA 
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM E OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown
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Posted this in the Mid Atlantic Thread:

2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Well, it finally happened. My parents moved into their new home near Sarasota (15 miles inland) and will be evacuating tomorrow to Ft Lauderdale. Looks like they will take a hit head on for their area. Their house is a fortress, so not too concerned about its integrity, but it'll certainly be an unwelcomed present. 

They moved in back in early May after getting it built near Lakewood Ranch. Tough intro to living down their permanently. Hopefully everything is okay when they get back. 

I've been working midnight shifts and keeping tabs on the storm. I was staying in touch with @WxWatcher007during his excursion to Nova Scotia earlier in my string of shifts. Glad everything went well there. Now for round two with Ian. Can someone turn off the Tropics please.....

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 Ian has made it to at least 83.7 W. The 0Z UKMET made it as far west as only 83.4. This along with it being the most SE track of any current model run makes me think that this run's track is likely too far SE with its landfall just north of Ft. Myers.

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