Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The 00z HRR has a large area of 1.0"+ QPF... with good ratios, that's a big time event.

So much wasted qpf. 

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Wtf href LOL.

It's probably using SLRs that are a bit too high and it is time lagged so that crazy ARW run from 12z is in there.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wtf href LOL.

Acting shocked lol

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

It's probably using SLRs that are a bit too high and it is time lagged so that crazy ARW run from 12z is in there.

Does it use a mean of the member SLRs or has a general one that's applied to each?

[OrangeCTWX]

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Just scoot that blob under Long Island north 40 miles. Is that so much to ask?

Ya it’s gonna be close here..

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

It's probably using SLRs that are a bit too high and it is time lagged so that crazy ARW run from 12z is in there.

There has been times when it’s been totallY overboard.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

If this was only 50miles NW, ugh. Of course if we had the tucky solution locked, models would have sent the h7 low over our heads and deformed the deep interior like Mar17. 

Where I am, amounts will probably double every 20-30 miles you go east of here.   Crazy. 

[Roger Smith]

I see a large crab attacking a giant lobster, and a few other good things. 

(this may update hour by hour so later readers may not see that at all) ...

http://www.weather.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_eusa_1070_100.jpg

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

There has been times when it’s been totallY overboard.

I could totally see 3 feet in CJ country Norwell Hanover area. Exactly where it has it 

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

Ya it’s gonna be close here..

I'm watching that big band south of Long Island. If we can get that past us, we'll be okay.

[bishbish777]

So...is the 18Z Euro the outlier here? Cuz that run was beautiful 

 

Edit: Latest HRRR (02Z) has completely gotten rid of the double-barrel low too. 

[IowaStorm05]

My hope is relative lack of blocking will truly wind this up a bit NW like many of yall want. It could happen this thing is a free bird.

[powderfreak]

 

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Where I am, amounts will probably double every 20-30 miles you go east of here.   Crazy. 

The largest band will form where the QPF gradient is in my opinion.  That seems to be the trend.  Depends on what model you look at though.  The 3km NAM seems plausible.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I'm watching that big band south of Long Island. If we can get that past us, we'll be okay.

you are making me sad

[Hoth]

Just now, JC-CT said:

you are making me sad

It is sad. It coulda been a contender.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I could totally see 3 feet in CJ country Norwell Hanover area. Exactly where it has it 

There won’t be enough time for that.

[weatherwiz]

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

There won’t be enough time for that.

She fast.

[OrangeCTWX]

5 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I'm watching that big band south of Long Island. If we can get that past us, we'll be okay.

“Okay”. Love the optimism..

[The Graupler]

Over to snow in Siaconset 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

IMG_8028.MOV

trying to upload your shower vid?

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

It is sad. It coulda been a contender.

steve told us to be patient and wait for his snow.

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

“Okay”. Love the optimism..

Optimism breeds disappointment. Keep the emotions in check until we're crushing 4"/hr thundersnow. Then it will be time for optimism.

[radarman]

1 minute ago, The Graupler said:

Over to snow in Siaconset 

Post some pics please tomorrow, sweet spot to ride this one out

[weatherwiz]

Just now, JC-CT said:

trying to upload your shower vid?

Did it not upload? I did the radar capture of RadarScope and saved video and uploaded. 

[OceanStWx]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wtf href LOL.

Talk about a CJ

[WeatherWilly]

If you want to believe in the goodness of mankind, don't go to the nyc metro forum.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Did it not upload? I did the radar capture of RadarScope and saved video and uploaded. 

We only saw steam. Try again but use cold water instead. 

[bristolri_wx]

GFS a little west, but not enough to make much of a difference.

[ice1972]

I don’t see any convection…..