Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[EastonSN+]

You guys I am AMPED the EURO and EPS is even further west.

This storm is gonna have lots of good surprises like NEMO I bet!

GFS looks like crap compared to all other models relatively speaking. Any cause for concern or toss?

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

I hear you. Our winds will be tempered from what they experience on the coast, so hopefully that will lessen that impact.

At the surface, but higher up it could present problems.    It is pretty low on my list of concerns though

[UnitedWx]

1 minute ago, WxFreak11 said:

I thought the NWS discontinued Blizzard Warnings years ago?

No more watches, they go straight to warnings now

[tunafish]

2 minutes ago, Digityman said:

@Lava Rock @dryslot 

For the first time in a while, I think @tunafish and I are liking being about a mile off the coast....

This helps make up for that all rain event on MLK day, that's for sure.

[NorEastermass128]

1 minute ago, WxFreak11 said:

I thought the NWS discontinued Blizzard Warnings years ago?

They discontinued Blizzard Watches. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

We rarely Jack . Only in small storms .That’s your area . You always Jack 

Lol, no. I've had a good run though. One of these years, april 97 will come walking through the door again.

[EastonSN+]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just had to split Tolland in 2 huh?  

My freaking town is split in two. 

[CoastalWx]

Man that area in the upper Cape may have all time epic conditions. If the NAM is right, nothing left standing there. 

There is a lot of uncertainty, especially HYA east. They may taint for a time, but it should go back to Paste+ there. But those winds. Woof.

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, drstuess said:

Messes up the SE fetch for waves. Trying to get a surf in Saturday afternoon if we can get some swell to fill in.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk
 

Sounds frigid

[DavisStraight]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We rarely Jack . Only in small storms .That’s your area . You always Jack 

The Mets that matter have us 18-24

[WxFreak11]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

No more watches, they go straight to warnings now

Thanks. Didn’t realize that. 

[EastonSN+]

14 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Already reports of steady light snow in Eastern PA.

You guys in CT should keep an eye on this.

On it 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that area in the upper Cape may have all time epic conditions. If the NAM is right, nothing left standing there. 

There is a lot of uncertainty, especially HYA east. They may taint for a time, but it should go back to Paste+ there. But those winds. Woof.

Every tree, every structure, every man down 

[HoarfrostHubb]

I wish Tropopause Fold (Phil) would stop by for this event

[CoastalWx]

I do feel like there will be a Juno band. That looks almost certain. Well, perhaps not if GFS is right, but going by gut. The question is how long does it last? That low bombing tries to constrict the lows in the aftn. 

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Was going to post this but didn't want to tease the bear.

Well we will see always some minima in between bands as you know. But when people started posting its unlikely we get to normal I bit my tongue.  I am intrigued by long term, oh my

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 15 had epic winds and it didn't matter 13 to 15 to 1

Yeah in my head I've just been using 14:1. Kuchie seems overdone but 10:1 is kind of useless too

[snowman21]

Very light snow here.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Well we will see always some minima in between bands as you know. But when people started posting its unlikely we get to normal I bit my tongue.  I am intrigued by long term, oh my

Well yeah...I think we get a week off, snowpack modulation be damned. But after that never looked terrible to me. I also ignore the weeklies because they suck.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

You guys I am AMPED the EURO and EPS is even further west.

This storm is gonna have lots of good surprises like NEMO I bet!

GFS looks like crap compared to all other models relatively speaking. Any cause for concern or toss?

No concerns anymore. 12-16” for wct, 16-20” cct, and 20-30” ect…locked and loaded.

[bristolri_wx]

6 minutes ago, WxFreak11 said:

I thought the NWS discontinued Blizzard Warnings years ago?

No more Blizzard Watch. They still have warnings.

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

You guys I am AMPED the EURO and EPS is even further west.

This storm is gonna have lots of good surprises like NEMO I bet!

GFS looks like crap compared to all other models relatively speaking. Any cause for concern or toss?

Oh you mean the model that had a half inch yesterday for areas expected to get 18+ yea no

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No concerns anymore. 12-16” for wct, 16-20” cct, and 20-30” ect…locked and loaded.

Lol you went from giving up the ghost to resurrected and filled with the weenie spirit.

Worthy of praise. 

[JC-CT]

8 minutes ago, radarman said:

 It`s possible this heavy band of snow may pivot as far
west as eastern CT/RI into the Worcester Hills.

Definitely seems like one forecaster is thinking Jan 2015.  If deffy doesn't get past ORH take em down in the valley.  I don't buy it though.  Expecting 10-14" here with mostly upside.  

It looks like a good initial push west though before that? If the ccb deform hits the same area as the initial push, that's where we could see some huge totals imho. But it might not get that far west/south.

[EastonSN+]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I do feel like there will be a Juno band. That looks almost certain. Well, perhaps not if GFS is right, but going by gut. The question is how long does it last? That low bombing tries to constrict the lows in the aftn. 

To me looking at NAM and EURO I see this wrt banding only. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

06z EURO doesn't look more amped and west to me...looks dead buts on 00z.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

To me looking at NAM and EURO I see this wrt banding only. 

I am seeing that, displaced east by anywhere from 15-50 miles. Because I generally ignore the NAM.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I'm feeling a Sharon/Foxboro/Stoughton MA jack for this one

[Baroclinic Zone]

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

06z doesn't loom more amped and west to me...looks dead buts on 00z.

It definitely was with the trough. But it does seem that we are at the point where meso low dynamics are equally/more important.