weatherbear5 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Let’s see if that deep convection that fired in the southern eye wall can wrap around the eye. Seems like it may be trying to ward off some dry air. If it can do so, it still has some room to strengthen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 This thing is as much a hurricane as Cam Newton is a good pocket QB 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Spaizzo said: (CT) Just drive from Derby to North Branford. To note grocery stores are packed. Gas lines are formed. Local gas stations running out of gas. Water is flying off the shelves. Madison and Groton areas are being told to evacuate. We had a hard time getting fast after sandy so I’m not shocked at the gas stuff.. Time to get a pistol and a case of sterno. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Oh I LOVE that cross-over product! man...geeks dream. That's really pretty cool SCP as a parameter can be overrated, but if nothing else, I like to see the crossovers and where CAPE/shear juxtapose with vertically veering wind profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstuess Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Strengthening has been indefinitely 24 hours away for the past 4 daysSent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, drstuess said: Strengthening has been indefinitely 24 hours away for the past 4 days Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk It's called steady state...its not going to dissipate, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 19 minutes ago, USCG RS said: The maintenence I was referring to was in regard to preventative maintenance. Too many trees are dead and are not taken away. Yeah, that and also ...I caught up with the retired Journeyman and had this conversation since - He was agreeing it is mostly a maintenance thing, but .. he said demographic/population swelling has augmented the negative aspect of bad maintenance. He's an old school republican - so it was interesting to hear him then say, ".. back before all these utilities became privately owned, this wasn't a problem so much..." He later extolled that money flowing is the rapacious goal and maintenance cost/takes a bit chunk out of that goal, so ... some argumentatives there... whatever. But, he was also right about the fact that technology has not kept pace. I mean ...humanities brain trust and capacity in general could have made power infrastructure almost indestructible - this 'advancing tech' to make thing better, is a virtue that stopped when cash for power began... so it seems. Some people want specific data to prove everything reality so taken for what it is worth. Typically, when it quacks like a duck, it's a duck - follow the money, usually finds the cause of lapses. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Here is some of that convection closer to the center. Animation: https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-16/mesoscale_02_band_02_sector_02&width=1000&height=1000&number_of_images_to_display=40&loop_speed_ms=80 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bruinsyear said: This thing is as much a hurricane as Cam Newton is a good pocket QB That would indicate that it used to be a good hurricane. This thing is more like Sam Darnold. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 I wonder if that's a quasi PRE axis arcing off the Del Marv/L.I. there. NWS PHL saying it is tangentially connected and calling it a inverted trough Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, bobbutts said: That would indicate that it used to be a good hurricane. This thing is more like Sam Darnold. Henri seeing ghosts? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, bobbutts said: That would indicate that it used to be a good hurricane. This thing is more like Sam Darnold. Nailed it. We are the Jets of tropical wx. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, alexderiemer said: NWS PHL saying it is tangentially connected and calling it a inverted trough Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk Shows up nicely at 700mb, especially later today. Definitely looks like an inverted trough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 It’s amazing just following this storm with all of it’s challenges with forecasting track, strength and hazards that might come into play. It’s why I love this hobby! With all the technological advances we’ve made to help forecast weather, there are just so many variables that come into play that still keep it an imperfect science. I just love the challenges that come with it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Quincy said: Shows up nicely at 700mb, especially later today. Definitely looks like an inverted trough. I mean it's been modeled for days...made a few posts on it. It's not really a classic PRE...but we have the trough/vortmax acting a bit on Henri and "pulling" back those isobars. With the tropical moisture plume working in and that inverted convergence zone to lift it there will be some copious QPF. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 You watch typhoon chasing videos from Taiwan or the Japanese islands, power often does not go out and building suffer little damage. If a typhoon is going to hit every 2 or 3 years, the millions of dollars per mile to bury power cables makes sense. For a once every 25 year tropical cyclone event in New England, it is harder to justify. That was the thinking behind not improving the Texas power grid after weaknesses became obvious in a fairly mild cold snap in 2011, the big February freeze was a once every 3 or 4 decade event. I assume the wind turbines will be winterized as they are elsewhere in America, and natural gas storage will increase, since cold weather increases the demand for gas for both home heating and power generation. But areas where extreme events are rare, someone makes a risk/reward calculation. In February, the risk turned out to be greater than the reward of money saved. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 The Delmarva feature is definitely aiding that outflow on the NW side as well: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 I was told this would be worse than Sandy…. I’m very disappointed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, salbers said: Here is some of that convection closer to the center: Watching the loops, it has been trying to close on eye on visible all day and coming close, but not really getting it done. Recon should be in shortly, I wonder if they will actually find a hurricane or a 55 or 60 knot storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 8 minutes ago, Quincy said: Shows up nicely at 700mb, especially later today. Definitely looks like an inverted trough. Norlun shows up six months too late. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I was told this would be worse than Sandy…. I’m very disappointed I don't think that person has posted in this thread in a while... lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: I don't think that person has posted in this thread in a while... lol... The fact that dude is ever allowed to post is crazy lol Your threads are generally the best on this board though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: I don't think that person has posted in this thread in a while... lol... They’ve evacuated and hunkered down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Storm looking better generally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 The plan is to still go disc golfing tomorrow at this point. Mehnri isn’t going to ruin my day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I was told this would be worse than Sandy…. I’m very disappointed That guy from Jersey is already dug deep into his foxhole. He'll emerge in a few decades like one of those Japanese fighters that didn't know the war was over. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaun Curry Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 58 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: One day Emass might get something interesting tropical wise. Basically missed all.of Sandy Irene Isiasis I had a roof blow off a 13 story building in Boston from Sandy (albeit right on the water). I will have to try to find the picture from the next morning of a bunch of fellow Facilities staff pulling the membrane as close to back in place as possible. That made the nor'easter that followed a week later tons of fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Recon should be there shortly! Can’t wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The plan is to still go disc golfing tomorrow at this point. Mehnri isn’t going to ruin my day. Devens disc golf with Tippy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The plan is to still go disc golfing tomorrow at this point. Mehnri isn’t going to ruin my day. Lol hole in 1 at 700 yrds downwind? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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