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drstuess

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Everything posted by drstuess

  1. drstuess
    Portland gauge at 14.37 ft which is above the 1978 record it seems. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  2. drstuess
    Ocean and buoys not nearly as angry as earlier in the week. Wate levels pretty high though. Within half a foot of the "record" for that station, but note there are 3 Preliminary" values in the last 4 weeks above the "record". Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  3. drstuess
    Ocean and surge is angry. From Matunuck Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  4. drstuess
    Block island buoy getting up there this am. Trying to recall if there was another winter stretch like this where we seem to hit > 20 ft every week. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  5. drstuess
    FWIW buoys of OBX running a touch above the GFS wave outputs. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  6. drstuess
    Walked the dog in the rain in Narragansett. Maybe a few pingers, but pretty wet. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  7. drstuess
    Thank you, i really appreciate it. I dont want to put words in your mouth, but applying your comments to the probabilistic maps, you think the NWS 10% high end maps showing And sorry I used "locked in" a bit loosely, I just wanted to understand the likelihood. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  8. drstuess
    Are P-type issues locked in for S coast RI? I am seeing people run with those 10:1 maps, but NWS 10% high end map is still ~1 inch. If so, people probably are in for some disappointment. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  9. drstuess
    Mid next week would be another big wave maker for the southcoast. S fetch down to the bahamas. Beaches are taking a beating. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  10. drstuess
    Pvd hit ~9 ft, or about 5 feet above the predicted high tide. 1938 was 12.67 feet above sea level. Overall looks like maybe #3 overall, and somewhere between once a decade and once a century? Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  11. drstuess
    Maybe McGulps will weigh in, but biggest seas I have seen in RI. Novelty waves breaking way up the bay and Block buoy was 30' all day. Ocean is mean. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  12. drstuess
    Out of curiosity, does this mean it is too high or too low? OP was saying he thought it was too high, but I would interpet negative errors as too low? Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  13. drstuess
    2018 late october did have a rocking noreaster though. Night of the Ocean Mist Halloween party. Sox won. Building shaking with each wave hitting and water shooting up between the floor boards. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  14. drstuess
    I was being sarcastic regarding post, hence the "average=sum". Adding /s si you don't lump me in with the poster I was quoting. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  15. drstuess
    No, they just take the cumulative value across the stations. Everyone knows average = sum. /s Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  16. drstuess
    Hurricane wind radii out close to 80 miles, which matches Bill. Should be solid wave wise, better than Franklin. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  17. drstuess
    It may be delusion and i have said it a few times in my head already, but last couple frames look like it's improving a bit from my naive view. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  18. drstuess
    XTRP intensity model has it getting to 250 kts /s Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  19. drstuess
    Structure got a lot better and strong RI signal. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  20. drstuess
    An aside. But I find the protected areas are better/bigger in RI during big winter storms and lower period. The big period makes it feel the bottom and refract and draws all the energy to the points. Very spot dependant and if big enough, the novelties will still break, but big offshore swells don't always translate. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  21. drstuess
    CIMSS AI RI probabilities increasing as expected... Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  22. drstuess
    Yeah, Bill had 80 mile hurricane wind radius, Franklin is currently only 20-30 miles? Wind field will expand, but will be interesting to see. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  23. drstuess
    CIMSS AI-RI showing highest likehood of 45 knots gain over 36 hrs. 1/3 chnace if much higher RI Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  24. drstuess
    Was with family in WI this week. Gfs consistently had 110+ forecasted 5 days out. Right idea and hit 100, but way overdone. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
  25. drstuess
    Visisting inlaws in central WI next week. 18z gfs has 116 on Monday. Seems drunk? Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
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