June 2021

[uncle W]

1 minute ago, ecovers94 said:

is it going to rain or what tonight?

what...

[Uniblab]

6 minutes ago, ecovers94 said:

is it going to rain or what tonight?

 It's going to or what. 

[ForestHillWx]

Just had a heavy shower come thru

round 2 now with wind. 

[ecovers94]

27 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

No

fantastic, the drought that keeps giving

[psv88]

49 minutes ago, Rjay said:

102.2 does not equal 103.  

You think Upton got it wrong in the rounding? One would think they know how to do it 

[dWave]

3 hours ago, nycwinter said:

so outside the park it was like 102

I saw Lee Goldberg referencing the high yday  saying..you know its really hot out if even the Park can get to 95.

[Rjay]

22 minutes ago, psv88 said:

You think Upton got it wrong in the rounding? One would think they know how to do it 

They round f to c then back to f.   Pretty sure.  

[donsutherland1]

It was another hot day across the region. New York City finished with a preliminary mean temperature of 74.3° (2.3° above normal). Temperatures rose into the lower and middle 90s in many places. 90° or above high temperatures included:

Albany: 90°
Allentown: 96°
Atlantic City: 94°
Baltimore: 99°
Bangor: 91°
Boston: 100° (old record: 95°, 1945) ***Tied June Record***
Bridgeport: 96° (old record: 94°, 1959)
Concord: 96°
Harrisburg: 98° (old record: 97°, 1901, 1964, and 1991)
Hartford: 98°
Manchester, NH: 96° (old record: 92°, 1931, 2001, and 2018)
New York City-JFK: 91°
New York City-LGA: 100° (old record: 97°, 1945 and 1964)
New York City-NYC: 98°
Newark: 103° (old record: 99°, 1964) ***New June Record***
Philadelphia: 97°
Portland: 95°
Poughkeepsie: 98°
Providence: 96°
Scranton: 93°
Trenton: 96°
Washington, DC: 95°
Wilmington, DE: 97°
Worcester: 93° (old record: 92°, 1964 and 1971)

Based on a statistical regression analysis based on high temperatures at surrounding sites, it is likely that had Central Park not had a tree issue, the mercury would have reached an even 100° there.

90° Days for Select Cities (through June 30):

Albany: 4 (2020: 13 days; 5-Year Average: 13.6 days)
Allentown: 10 (2020: 24 days; 5-Year Average: 27.6 days)
Baltimore: 14 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 44.6 days)
Boston: 11 (2020: 14 days; 5-Year Average: 17.2 days)
Bridgeport: 5 (2020: 11 days; 5-Year Average: 13.4 days)
Burlington: 7 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 13.0 days)
Harrisburg: 11 (2020: 35 days; 5-Year Average: 30.6 days)
Hartford: 11 (2020: 39 days; 5-Year Average: 29.0 days)
Islip: 2 (2020: 8 days; 5-Year Average: 9.4 days)
New York City-JFK: 5 (2020: 12 days; 5-Year Average: 10.2 days)
New York City-LGA: 9 (2020: 34 days; 5-Year Average: 29.4 days)
New York City-NYC: 8 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 18.2 days)
Newark: 16 (2020: 31 days; 5-Year Average: 31.2 days)
Philadelphia: 12 (2020: 36 days; 5-Year Average: 34.6 days)
Scranton: 9 (2020: 25 days; 5-Year Average: 16.4 days)
Washington, DC: 11 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 50.8 days)

New York City-Newark Average: 10 (2020: 22 days)
...Expected: 10 (based on regression equation tied to JFK-LGA-EWR data)

Cooler air will now move into the region. Tonight through Friday, there will be showers and thunderstorms, some of which can produce heavy downpours. A general 1.00"-2.00" rainfall is likely. Some areas could see in excess of 3.00" of rain.

Overall, July looks to be another warmer than normal month across the Middle Atlantic and New England areas.

Out West an unprecedented heat event shattered still more high temperature records. Preliminary high temperatures included:

Fort Nelson, BC: 88°/31.2°C (old record: 87°/30.8°C, 1982)
Fort Smith, NT: 104°/39.9°C (old record: 89°/31.7°, 1955) ***All-Time Record***
Hermiston, OR: 109° (old record: 105°, 2008)
Kamloops, BC: 116°/46.4°C (old record: 101°/38.5°, 2008)
Lewiston, ID: 113° (old record: 108°, 1924)
Lillooet, BC: 107°/41.7°C (old record: 99°/37.1°C, 2008)
Omak, WA: 114° (Old record: 107°, 1924)
Pasco, WA: 113° (old record: 104°, 2008)
Spokane: 104° (old record: 99°, 1924)
Walla Walla, WA: 108° (old record: 104°, 1987)
Yakima, WA: 108° (old record: 102°, 2008)

Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Further increases are likely in coming decades as the world's climate continues to warm.

In large part on account of Phoenix's recent extreme heat event, June 2021 became Phoenix's warmest June on record with a mean temperature of 95.3°. The previous record of 94.8° was set in 2013 and tied in 2016.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August.

The SOI was +10.75 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.365 today.

On June 28 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.700 (RMM). The June 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.693 (RMM).

In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer.

Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer.

 

[Rjay]

Maybe I'm missing the 103 here

 

 

[dmillz25]

13 minutes ago, dWave said:

I saw Lee Goldberg referencing the high yday  saying..you know its really hot out if even the Park can get to 95.

98 at the park lol impressive 

[SACRUS]

6/30

EWR: 103
LGA: 100
NYC: 98
New Brnswck: 98
TEB: 98
BLM: 98
PHL: 97
TTN: 96
ACY: 94
JFK: 90
ISP: 90

[ForestHillWx]

Line of storms moving from southwest to northeast. Seeing flashes every so often with rumbles. 

[Stormlover74]

Storms incoming 

Yankee stadium about to get rocked

 

[SI Mailman]

Yep, looks like relief is coming.  

[uncle W]

1 hour ago, uncle W said:

what...

there's a line of what that could get into the city later...

[jm1220]

28 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

It was another hot day across the region. New York City finished with a preliminary mean temperature of 74.4° (2.4° above normal). Temperatures rose into the lower and middle 90s in many places. 90° or above high temperatures included:

Albany: 90°
Allentown: 96°
Atlantic City: 94°
Baltimore: 99°
Bangor: 91°
Boston: 100° (old record: 95°, 1945) ***Tied June Record***
Bridgeport: 96° (old record: 94°, 1959)
Concord: 96°
Harrisburg: 98° (old record: 97°, 1901, 1964, and 1991)
Hartford: 98°
Manchester, NH: 96° (old record: 92°, 1931, 2001, and 2018)
New York City-JFK: 91°
New York City-LGA: 100° (old record: 97°, 1945 and 1964)
New York City-NYC: 98°
Newark: 103° (old record: 99°, 1964) ***New June Record***
Philadelphia: 97°
Portland: 95°
Poughkeepsie: 98°
Providence: 96°
Scranton: 93°
Trenton: 96°
Washington, DC: 95°
Wilmington, DE: 97°
Worcester: 93° (old record: 92°, 1964 and 1971)

Based on a statistical regression analysis based on high temperatures at surrounding sites, it is likely that had Central Park not had a tree issue, the mercury would have reached an even 100° there.

90° Days for Select Cities (through June 30):

Albany: 4 (2020: 13 days; 5-Year Average: 13.6 days)
Allentown: 10 (2020: 24 days; 5-Year Average: 27.6 days)
Baltimore: 14 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 44.6 days)
Boston: 11 (2020: 14 days; 5-Year Average: 17.2 days)
Bridgeport: 5 (2020: 11 days; 5-Year Average: 13.4 days)
Burlington: 7 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 13.0 days)
Harrisburg: 11 (2020: 35 days; 5-Year Average: 30.6 days)
Hartford: 11 (2020: 39 days; 5-Year Average: 29.0 days)
Islip: 2 (2020: 8 days; 5-Year Average: 9.4 days)
New York City-JFK: 5 (2020: 12 days; 5-Year Average: 10.2 days)
New York City-LGA: 9 (2020: 34 days; 5-Year Average: 29.4 days)
New York City-NYC: 8 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 18.2 days)
Newark: 16 (2020: 31 days; 5-Year Average: 31.2 days)
Philadelphia: 12 (2020: 36 days; 5-Year Average: 34.6 days)
Scranton: 9 (2020: 25 days; 5-Year Average: 16.4 days)
Washington, DC: 11 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 50.8 days)

New York City-Newark Average: 10 (2020: 22 days)
...Expected: 10 (based on regression equation tied to JFK-LGA-EWR data)

Cooler air will now move into the region. Tonight through Friday, there will be showers and thunderstorms, some of which can produce heavy downpours. A general 1.00"-2.00" rainfall is likely. Some areas could see in excess of 3.00" of rain.

Overall, July looks to be another warmer than normal month across the Middle Atlantic and New England areas.

Out West an unprecedented heat event shattered still more high temperature records. Preliminary high temperatures included:

Fort Nelson, BC: 88°/31.2°C (old record: 87°/30.8°C, 1982)
Fort Smith, NT: 104°/39.9°C (old record: 89°/31.7°, 1955) ***All-Time Record***
Hermiston, OR: 109° (old record: 105°, 2008)
Kamloops, BC: 116°/46.4°C (old record: 101°/38.5°, 2008)
Lewiston, ID: 113° (old record: 108°, 1924)
Lillooet, BC: 107°/41.7°C (old record: 99°/37.1°C, 2008)
Omak, WA: 114° (Old record: 107°, 1924)
Pasco, WA: 113° (old record: 104°, 2008)
Spokane: 104° (old record: 99°, 1924)
Walla Walla, WA: 108° (old record: 104°, 1987)
Yakima, WA: 108° (old record: 102°, 2008)

Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Further increases are likely in coming decades as the world's climate continues to warm.

In large part on account of Phoenix's recent extreme heat event, June 2021 became Phoenix's warmest June on record with a mean temperature of 95.3°. The previous record of 94.8° was set in 2013 and tied in 2016.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August.

The SOI was +10.75 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.365 today.

On June 28 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.700 (RMM). The June 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.693 (RMM).

In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer.

Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer.

 

Farmingdale 91 degrees today

[RippleEffect]

Thank God this heat is about to be over. My father has cancer and it’s AFIB and it’s been bothering his breathing a lot. He’s been home the past few days, yesterday he went outside for a little and it was a bad idea he was having trouble breathing. Very happy this weather is going to get cleared! Still 90 degrees outside, about to pour!

[WarrenCtyWx]

I can’t believe I have a high of only 68 forecasted on Saturday with only scattered showers and thunderstorms.

[dWave]

Lightning is insane!

[lee59]

Went down to Jones Beach this evening. You would never know we are in a heat wave down there. Some people actually had on long sleeve shirts. Meanwhile lots of lightning to my north.

[Intensewind002]

Only 89 for the high today here. Such is life on the south shore. Now I'm going to go vicariously watch that storm on the north shore from my backyard 

[weathermedic]

Winds northerly temp down to 88. No rain yet.

[Cfa]

81 with a strong breeze. Severe Nothingstorm Warning with that first storm, another Warning with this next one, maybe I’ll luck out this time.

[weathermedic]

Any hail with that storm that just blew up on the north shore?

[jm1220]

2 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Any hail with that storm that just blew up on the north shore?

Under a warning for it but the core of it might be headed just north of me. Guess I’ll find out soon. 

[lee59]

Fairly strong northerly winds here and a few rain drops. I think the wind is out flow from the storm about 5 miles to my north. They seem to be heading almost due east across the upper part of the Island.

[lee59]

Some storms just west of the city. If they hold together maybe the lower half of the Island can get some storms and rain a little later.

[Maureen]

Some decent flashes of lightning here in Carteret, and then the rain started. Not sure how long this is going to last, but coming down at a pretty good rate for the moment.

[SRRTA22]

Severe thunderstorm warning here. Pretty good looking gust front on TEWR 

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Fairly strong northerly winds here and a few rain drops. I think the wind is out flow from the storm about 5 miles to my north. They seem to be heading almost due east across the upper part of the Island.

Yes that was outflow. Moderate rain here now with the N Shore storm.