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NorthHillsWx

February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat

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Visible ice glaze this morning, most of the year by far.  But less than a degree below freezing so I would think we can avoid major issues.

I guess there could be some slick spots on roads though.

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3 minutes ago, JoshWeather said:

must just be a qpf issue for me, because i'm further north than you are and there is basically zero ice accumulation anywhere here

Definitely is. We’ve been just far enough East to catch this broken band all morning. I’m well over a half inch qpf since midnight. Obviously our temps are borderline here but we probably have 0.10 glaze now imby. I’d think wake forest/rolesvilla/Louisburg would have a pretty thick coating if we’re getting it just north of Raleigh. Our temps are rising now so we’re probably about done 

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its now thundering in north durham...lol

and we are apparently under a heavy band as it is now pouring rain....possibly hardest i've seen/heard this winter

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Anyone know how it is looking around Pilot Mountain/Hanging Rock? Looks like Roxboro might be a bust for drone shots given the QPF issues.

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11 hours ago, BooneWX said:

I’d probably toss models 4 hrs ahead of start time

Lesson- Never toss models that show the least snowy or icy solutions, even 4 hours before start time 

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12 hours ago, PantherJustin said:

You made it!!:o So Much for that EURO Run lmao 

That Euro run was the closest to being correct. The NAM was terrible and RDPS a joke. 

  • Weenie 1

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5 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Lesson- Never toss models that show the least snowy or icy solutions, even 4 hours before start time 

I’ll gladly eat my crow. Happy they were right on this one! I want a record breaking SER for Spring and some thunderstorms to track now.

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Lesson- Never toss models that show the least snowy or icy solutions, even 4 hours before start time 

*Only use models that show the least amount of frozen precipitation inside of 4 hours.
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6 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:

1/10” here in Mooresville but I think that’s about gonna be it....JOKE

I wouldn't say so just yet. This storm still has some juice left!

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The 12Z HRRR shows overnight temps getting down to 33 in Wake with lingering precip.  I read earlier in this thread that HRRR overestimates temperatures..  So based on that, should we expect temps to dip down to freezing again tonight?  

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37 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Anyone know how it is looking around Pilot Mountain/Hanging Rock? Looks like Roxboro might be a bust for drone shots given the QPF issues.

In King main street was covered in Sleet about a hour ago, with heavy sleet still falling then per my wife! But no sleet at all at my house just NW of King. 31.5 lgt ZR 

Edit: Just heard a report from a friend of 1 inch of sleet in King! 

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