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Major Nor'easter near blizzard (6"+ most of our area-best chance 20-30" north of I78 in ne PA, nw NJ, se NYS)-ice-rain-power outage NYC subforum late Sunday Jan 31-early Tue Feb 2.


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35 minutes ago, Noteaster101 said:

Little worried about Bernie Raynos forecast of mixing issues and the dreaded dry slots in New York City and Long Island keeping snow totals down to 6 to 12 inches, even though I’m in the lower Hudson Valley and in a good place, I’m worried about mixing issues here also in Rockland County, any thoughts on Raynos forecast?

It will come down fast and furious before any dry slot. Storm is moving slowly so most locations should see a foot before dry slot but it is a concern especially if Euro verifies. 

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21 minutes ago, wxman said:

To state the obvious (but why not) this has the potential to be one for the ages around here in central and northern NJ.  Impossible to say until all is said and done but looking at the consensus of the models, which keep getting better (for most), this could be a GOAT.  

Models keep increasing snow amounts even way up here in POU as well, in the 20 plus range now 

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Putting aside the snow maps for a moment.  All guidance has been consistent last 3-4 runs at least with very robust QPF.

Even allowing for it being a bit overdone where max qpf can sync up with best ratios and remain all snow that alone suggests some

spots see in excess of 20".    Final "jackpot totals" will depend on where banding sits and pivots.  Keep in mind...what goes up must come down

so you want to be in the band because the subsidence on either side will keep your totals lower.

Some favored spot can see 24-30" and I would not be surprised.  Best chance I think is north of 78 and west of 287.

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12 minutes ago, White Gorilla said:

Models keep increasing snow amounts even way up here in POU as well, in the 20 plus range now 

I'm supposed to work there in Hopewell Jct tomorrow and Tuesday...  definitely not going in tomorrow with a 42 mile commute from Rockland County.  Tuesday may be questionable too....   The chip making tools can wait!  :)

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19 minutes ago, DaveTinNY said:

I'm supposed to work there in Hopewell Jct tomorrow and Tuesday...  definitely not going in tomorrow with a 42 mile commute from Rockland County.  Tuesday may be questionable too....   The chip making tools can wait!  :)

Definitely don't travel.  It will be dangerous to be on the roads 

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18 minutes ago, wxman said:

To state the obvious (but why not) this has the potential to be one for the ages around here in central and northern NJ.  Impossible to say until all is said and done but looking at the consensus of the models, which keep getting better (for most), this could be a GOAT.  

Sounds sexy but what's GOAT?

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