BornAgain13 Posted January 10 12 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Both the Canadian and the Para GFS have significant events day 8. The GFS was close but with a more inland track... if the EURO shows something around then, we might have a storm to track.... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 10 I know IT’S NEVER GOING TO SNOW AGAIN EVER EVER EVER but this is a solid look: 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
burrel2 Posted January 10 Euro is all by itself with the no storm idea 8 days from now. Gfs/gfs para/ Canadian/icon are all very similar with a significant storm. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wncsnow Posted January 10 Too much northern stream Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CUJO38 Posted January 10 Nothing but a gut feeling but I believe we will have a storm or two In the next couple of weeks .. maybe this one will verify and we can bring this one home Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
buckeyefan1 Posted January 10 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: I know IT’S NEVER GOING TO SNOW AGAIN EVER EVER EVER but this is a solid look: Stop being the voice of reason to all the cliff jumpers 40 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Euro is all by itself with the no storm idea 8 days from now. Gfs/gfs para/ Canadian/icon are all very similar with a significant storm. It will be interesting to see who folds first Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BooneWX Posted January 10 A lot of cliff diving when all of us knew good and well that Friday’s system was a reach (and knew this for days). Let the pattern get there, nobody I’ve seen has changed their tune. We need that trough to get a little sharper than it’s been. In the meantime, never trust ANYTHING that’s not a classic Miller A 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowNiner Posted January 10 850s we seem to be able to work with. It's the boundary layers and the surface that we're still struggling to get cold. The ridging off the east coast is not our friend IMO. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grayman Posted January 10 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: A lot of cliff diving when all of us knew good and well that Friday’s system was a reach (and knew this for days). Let the pattern get there, nobody I’ve seen has changed their tune. We need that trough to get a little sharper than it’s been. In the meantime, never trust ANYTHING that’s not a classic Miller A I understand. It I lived in Northwestern NC or S Va I would excited. But the rest of us are hoping and praying. Just don’t see the cold air for most of us. I would be pumped if I lived in your area but ...... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Met1985 Posted January 10 Thanks guys for clarifying when winter is. I greatly appreciate it. 3 1 6 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hammer Posted January 10 58 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Thanks guys for clarifying when winter is. I greatly appreciate it. I understand “cliff jumping” I understand hoping that 10-day forecasts are actually going to materialize I will never understand why people argue with posters like@Met1985, @griteater,@jburns,@buckeyefan1 (other than her choice of teams ), etc. Hammer . Pro 5 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frazdaddy Posted January 10 C'mon guys it's Jan 10. Deep breaths... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SteveRDU Posted January 10 3 hours ago, BullCityWx said: I know IT’S NEVER GOING TO SNOW AGAIN EVER EVER EVER but this is a solid look: It will definitely *NOT* snow with that look. Happiness = reality minus expectations Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grayman Posted January 10 18z GFS has almost a prefect track for central NC yet not cold enough. With the northwest adjust western NC could win. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
buckeyefan1 Posted January 10 1 hour ago, Hammer said: I understand “cliff jumping” I understand hoping that 10-day forecasts are actually going to materialize I will never understand why people argue with posters like@Met1985, @griteater,@jburns,@buckeyefan1 (other than her choice of teams ), etc. Hammer . Pro 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PackGrad05 Posted January 11 1/19 is still a period of time to watch.. we just need a high to the north to supply some cold air. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CaryWx Posted January 11 Didn't you get the memo today? It's winter cancel 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
lilj4425 Posted January 11 No posts in 12 hours...this is good. Bring on hurricane season. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Upstate Tiger Posted January 11 Well 12 GFS isn't great but not a dumpster fire either. Will see some real cold this weekend and mountains likely to see some measurable snow. I am heading for a 2.5 hour trail ride at Blowing Rock Saturday. Hope to ride in a little snow. Monday - Wednesday next week will see a southern storm. Looks mostly liquid but things can change. Guess best news is artic cold builds back in Canada W/O 01/18 - 01/27. Too soon to tell where it dumps but just having the cold in Canada is a positive. Remember, it's not over until we say it's over!.....or at least until Burns says its over. https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area# Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Snow dog Posted January 11 Interesting article.. https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/polar-vortex-bring-cold-blasts-161935086.html 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hammer Posted January 11 Interesting article.. https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/polar-vortex-bring-cold-blasts-161935086.htmlI was just going to mention that....To those with a lot more experience, what thoughts do you have about “the polar vortex cometh”?. Pro Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yotaman Posted January 11 53 minutes ago, Snow dog said: Interesting article.. https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/polar-vortex-bring-cold-blasts-161935086.html I'll believe it when I see it. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthHillsWx Posted January 11 The lack of snowstorms on the ops can be overcome with plenty of cold air around but up until the end of the run there is no real arctic cold showing up. I don’t get below 28 degrees the entire run. I feel like the last three weeks or so the gfs has been showing arctic air towards the end of the run but it hasn’t materialized. It’s getting to be mid January and we need something to break right for us. If we waste this blocking it’s going to be a gut punch 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grayman Posted January 11 2 hours ago, yotaman said: I'll believe it when I see it. Me too. Was reading the WPC long term outlook at they expect warmer than normal temperatures in the next two weeks. Confidence was low but it look like we will punt until very late January unless we get lucky over next week Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 GFS looked great around 144 tonight before the storm seemingly split in two. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grayman Posted January 12 21 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: GFS looked great around 144 tonight before the storm seemingly split in two. Man , don’t be such a weenie . Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
FLweather Posted January 12 6 hours ago, BullCityWx said: GFS looked great around 144 tonight before the storm seemingly split in two. Gfs been suffering from convective feedback issues. Which honestly most of the globals have been as well. Wouldn't really put much faith past 84 hours. Honestly the Canadian looks fishy at 0z Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jwisephoto Posted January 12 That storm at 384 is glorious... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
buckeyefan1 Posted January 12 This isn’t too bad Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
burrel2 Posted January 12 00z icon had a doozy of a snowstorm on Monday. Gfs is close... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites