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jburns

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021

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19 minutes ago, jburns said:

Let’s hope for a better year for weather and virtually everything else.

Indeed :hug:

12 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

No storm at day 9 on this run of the GFS. 

Toss it :P 

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Piece of southern stream energy looks interesting a few days after New Years. In this run the phase occurs about 12 hours too late for widespread snow in the south, but it’s very close 

5857A3ED-B10F-4FA4-88CC-331938882617.jpeg

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27 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Piece of southern stream energy looks interesting a few days after New Years. In this run the phase occurs about 12 hours too late for widespread snow in the south, but it’s very close 

5857A3ED-B10F-4FA4-88CC-331938882617.jpeg

I was eyeballing it. 

Maybe 2 chances.

 

Again Mr Burns. Kind of early.

 

Jk.

 

 

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1 hour ago, FLweather said:

I was eyeballing it. 

Maybe 2 chances.

 

Again Mr Burns. Kind of early.

 

Jk.

 

 

Not early at all.  While you were eyeballing it did you happen to look at the date?

 

1 hour ago, FLweather said:

 

I like consistency.

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2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Piece of southern stream energy looks interesting a few days after New Years. In this run the phase occurs about 12 hours too late for widespread snow in the south, but it’s very close 

5857A3ED-B10F-4FA4-88CC-331938882617.jpeg

Euro Control run did what you thought this might do and buried Hampton Roads and NE NC. I don’t think much made it west of Burlington if it even made it there.

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17 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

So far on most of the models, they are playing like the New York Jets

Then one of them will accidently win soon enough

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1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Not until we lose 13 straight first 

I think we’ve lost about 37 straight....

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I fully believe I will go winless in South central NC. I think the NW  NC will eventually get a hit. Does that mean I get the first winter pick for 2021. 12z Euro no go.

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46 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

All our players on the field were ejected and they’re ineligible for the first half of the next game.

No, we settled for a field goal...

 

 

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3 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

I just don’t really see a lot to be optimistic about. The ensembles or the operational models look meh and we have been burned so many times. I just don’t see how anybody can be jacked up this far out 

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3 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

The Atlantic High Latitudes are looking better than years past that is true.  But for the foreseeable future the guidance suggest that the Pacific will vary between "Meh" at best to "Ugly" at worst.  In addition; the relative warmth in our normal source regions (northern Canada) means that there won't be much cold to work with in general.

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6 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

I don’t think it’s intentionally being pessimistic, more along the lines of not being mentally let down.  The stars, moons and planets seem to have to be perfectly aligned for what most want ( a historic storm). If expectations are lowered and model hugging doesn’t occur then we may be surprised by late March.  Who knows?

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