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RT1980

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Everything posted by RT1980

  1. Did it snow in Raleigh this year? Asking for a friend!
  2. Yes Sir, I can feel your pain. As a kid I remember watching college basketball with the threat of snow only to wake up the next morning to rain!
  3. Seems that the Euro has been going towards the gfs recently. Nothing but time will tell!
  4. I don’t live in Raleigh, I’m closer to the SC line east of Charlotte. Low expectations here but I also like to play it as it comes instead of canceling a season at the beginning of January. It may or may not snow at all but like I said I’ll take it off of the current data shown instead of giving up off the long range!
  5. Won’t snow at all this year in Raleigh from what we’ve been told!
  6. Biggest thing I’ve noticed is everyone being so stuck on a current pattern and calling a season great or dead. Also people living and dying by 1 model run! I’m not an expert by any means but the next few weeks show a glimmer of hope and whether we cash in or not remains to be seen but it’s the best I’ve seen in years!
  7. Did we expect anything different? Never showed much of anything? Are you still saying Raleigh is blanking for the season?
  8. But cancel winter! No chance of snow in Charlotte or Raleigh. The red tag said so, so it must be true!
  9. I’m locking that run in ! I’m in Union County! Lol
  10. Yep, 99% of our memorable snows come in December! Next thing you know people will be angry if it’s not in the upper 90’s in May!
  11. Just looking back at the long range (fantasy land) storms on the gfs. It loves Mon-going in to Tue this season! Just an observation!
  12. Yeah, this current winter is seeming to shape up like last wit BA Nov and AA Dec. The SER has been strong for what seems like a decade. I’m not saying it’s gonna flip and we’ll get record snows, I’m just saying it’s still too early to write it off as some have.
  13. It’s always been that way as far as I can remember. Usually late January into February for our better chances. Everything has been so weird the past few years, who know.
  14. They have been showing change, albeit, it keeps getting delayed. I know it’s not the best setup synoptically and the past few years haven’t been kind but isn’t today the first day of winter?
  15. Why are the op runs so left and right? Not concerned with the snow or no snow but 6z to 12z run temps are day and night. Below freezing then in the 60’s+. What samples change that drastically in 6 hours?
  16. It will “probably” come back again, then disappear again! Rinse and repeat until April!
  17. Another snowless winter in NC outside of the mountains incoming. La NIna projected. We can hang hopes on the 10-15 day model runs as always. I hope it’s different but I won’t hang a hat on it!
  18. You almost had it! Got to be a little quicker with that one! One day in the 70’s and mid 50’s for lows. I hope it comes back though.
  19. Why is there only 289 hour models posted? I would love a short term forecast from him on what will happen! Do the long term models support?
  20. 12z were the last I had time to view and some were 30+ hours up the coast. I know to take with a grain of salt almost a week out but that would be a lot of rain accumulation. I hope we can get an inch or so here in NC
  21. A long ways out and will have to look at the models going forward but what was concerning to me was how long the models had this going up the west coast of Fl. That would be a ton of rain for them. I know it’s subject to change but wow.
  22. Regardless of the final outcome, this system wants to grow. Outflow is looking better based off of latest ir. I think we should see slow intensification until the islands, I would guess more than TS status but I’m not a met and just guessing
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