RT1980
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Everything posted by RT1980
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You have a valid point. I grew up in Harnett County and spent most of my adult life on or near the coast. To me I considered Raleigh and the surrounding areas “central” NC. I moved towards the Concord/Charlotte area and said it was out west and people laughed at me. It’s opinion and local based.
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Sorry for your friends turn in health and the loss of his father. Prayers to the family!
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Call me a weenie if you want but we are 5-6 days out and the cold is around and there is a low pressure that we have no clue where it will end up. I’ll take my chances and wait until Sunday before cliff diving. I understand being burnt but this is a different setup and at the end of the day I’ve seen a trace this year at the minimum!
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What’s your reasoning for this?
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Pick the model of your choice!
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I’d like to wait a few days to see what the polar vortex is actually going to do. I am more pessimistic at this point but living run to run has proved futile this year. Wobbles east and west remind me of Hurricane tracking. Models suck this year but have seemed to trend better within 48h
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Next possible event should be labeled as __-__ more than likely snowless event letdown part 37!
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Yeah it’s a linked generator but we’re closing soon and would be moving! Don’t want to jinx the board though Sir!
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Most likely our excitement will be curbed shortly! I’ll say fun while it lasted but who knows? Still too far out. With my luck this one will probably deliver as I am closing on a house in a spot worse than Grayman and moving will be delayed
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I’m ok with that at this point, better than a cold rain!
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Brad P talked about this months ago during Hurricane season, nothing new. Commercial flights are down leading to less sampling of the upper atmosphere!
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Hope it pans out for my western people! It’s only 6 days away! It could trend better or worse!
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The models have been real accurate this year outside of how many hours? Asking for a friend!
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Too early to call at this point and probably meant to be in the whining post but this is how it feels model hugging atm!
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Thought you had enough and were out?
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Agreed, we can put a missile through a window pane 4500 miles away but we don’t have much more accurate weather models than 5 years ago. The technology has to be there! I get this is comparing apples to oranges but it seems off!
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Bullcitywx was correct, not much to see but it was something that wasn’t expected!
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Honestly was surprised this morning, a quick trace in Mt. Pleasant that was sticking to the roads for about 15-20 minutes.
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I’m not sold on anything atm outside of 1-2 days. The SER looks too strong now for the low tracks that we want. The overall pattern isn’t bad outside of that though!
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In regards to models, I get the Euro is king but is there a particular time suite that seems to out perform others? Just asking for personal knowledge.
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The spreads run to run are so different what can you believe. I’m not as versed in as some but I think it will be a nowcast! That said with last winter I think it will be great if anyone outside of the mountains gets a few inches.
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Live by the run then you die by the run! I’ll be sold Friday night!
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Not taking a model run verbatim, but what’s with the 1” around eastern Harnett county?
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I don’t think it’s intentionally being pessimistic, more along the lines of not being mentally let down. The stars, moons and planets seem to have to be perfectly aligned for what most want ( a historic storm). If expectations are lowered and model hugging doesn’t occur then we may be surprised by late March. Who knows?
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Where was the fall severe weather? Not wishing harm on anyone but it seems since the 90’s the severe weather risk in late Oct-Nov is pretty much non existent. April and November were the months of high activity and now outside of spring they don’t happen. Either my childhood mind perceived the weather worse than reality or the storms just don’t happen or produce anymore!
