USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Don’t show Jimmy the eps. WHY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Juno was January 2015, in which I predicted that Cape Cod would stay all snow, and they did, I measured 32" in my front yard, the West Harwich spotter reported 30.5" total. NEMO was more of a mix with heavy rain and we had good backend snows with 17" total. NEMO was a CT special. I can see this being a snow to rain back to snow event there with a foot total. You should be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Eps would crush 95 corridor 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 If the Euro is correct on starting to flatten the Monday wave its more likely the Wednesday one could be issues for places in the MA. The tendency for days has been ensemble members and Op runs which are flat Monday are more tucked Wednesday or warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It’s not like suppression hasn’t been on the table the whole time with this type of set up. I’ve been worrying this out to sea for days. I guess it could be semantics but i don't see suppression. Supression is a giant scooter shiat streak in SE Canada and big confluence so this is not that. More so a risk of an earlier capture and tuck NW toward ACY with brief "stall" and then scoot east. Everyone South of at least NH border would see warning snow IMO but the most would probably be south coast and then S Shore CJ in SNE and a max from Maybe BMI to Philly / S PA from ML deform. That imo iis one option at this point. I really am just spit balling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lol. That’s not what I was implying but you have a tendency to not believe early transfers or early occlusions. In a non blocked flow, I’m in your camp all day. In this setup, however, occluding off the NJ coast and crushing the interior mid atl is plausible...in addition to still giving EMA a great event. That’s all. Not sure what Dec or winter forecasting has anything to do with this, though, but yes we know your pre season calls are doing very well so far. I’ll have Santa sit on your lap in his long john’s on Christmas morning so you can read him your winter outlook in praise... I missed that part. Anyway, all I was implying is that I don't just forecast based upon what gets me more snow, which is what I thought you were trying to imply by implicating Methuen in your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I missed that part. Anyway, all I was implying is that I don't just forecast based upon what gets me more snow, which is what I thought you were trying to imply by implicating Methuen in your post. I was jabbing. I know you love to max out events, as most do. But I wasn’t implying you would (or ever have) forecast with your snow goggles on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I can see this being a snow to rain back to snow event there with a foot total. You should be fine. Which one? The Monday system? I think the Thursday storm is all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 EPS are actually a little north of the 0z and 6z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 EPS is a crusher for many. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I was jabbing. I know you love to max out events, as most do. But I wasn’t implying you would (or ever have) forecast with your snow goggles on. Oh, I absolutely have a JP fetish...we all know this hahahahha 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, I absolutely have a JP fetish...we all know this hahahahha Don't we all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, I absolutely have a JP fetish...we all know this hahahahha What was it, like 38 inches march 2018? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Nice cold antecedent airmass at least. That will help a ton. Better ratios will add to some totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: What was it, like 38 inches march 2018? Nah, like 31", but NWS through it out. It was legit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Lol. On a phone those prob maps look funky. Solution. Turn the phone sideways. Thanks for posting those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Looks like EPS hinting at cstl front there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Not worried about the lack of probs for Cape Cod, because the ensembles do not handle the coastline well here at all when it comes to snow amounts! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, like 31", but NWS through it out. It was legit. Fisher slammed his Chromebook out the window for that response. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 12z EPS probs. Contains both events. This tells you all you need to know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: 12z EPS probs. Contains both events. Those are still some amazing probabilities for this lead time. 50% chance of greater then a foot at this point is astounding imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, like 31", but NWS through it out. It was legit. Yeah I believe it. That’s clearing every 6 hrs with 35:1 fluff. Look at Jspin maintaining constant 1” depth last week when he had like 3.8” fluff. Shit compacts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 12z EPS probs. Contains both events. Boo!!! my >12" probability dropped by 16% (i think) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, like 31", but NWS through it out. It was legit. Such a great storm, huge snowflake and monster rates. Spent the day schlepping around the 'ville with a few buds, just seeing the sights. Memorable for sure. We probably had about 2' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Fisher slammed his Chromebook out the window for that response. Why, did Fisher call me out back then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Don't we all I don’t. Your 30 in January 2015 didn’t negatively impact my experience of 24. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Yea. A tick N there with the eps probs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 12z EPS probs. Contains both events. I'll take that 68% chance of >12" on that EPS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: I don’t. Your 30 in January 2015 didn’t negatively impact my experience of 24. And Worcester's 36 didn't disparage my 32" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Those are still some amazing probabilities for this lead time. 50% chance of greater then a foot at this point is astounding imo. Yea. No complaints here lol...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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