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Active mid December with multiple event potential


Typhoon Tip
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Honestly, that airmass over SNE as the storm arrives is no joke.  This is the type of setup that will produce a massive ocean enhanced assist for the South Shore and Cape and Islands.  Someone could see much higher amounts than the average county in SNE.  I do not think the high that strong and that close to NNE will allow the warmer air to win out.  Even the 12z EURO just now shows a massive area of -10C or lower air just over Cape Cod Bay and BOS.  That will not allow the boundary layer to warm.  Honestly, the models are all over the place with the thermals for tomorrow's snow event, and that is likely given the lack of cold air present ahead of time, but the WED/THU event has the cold air entrenched into the region.  Someone in the favorable OES belt on NE winds, could see 24" by Friday morning!

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Run sucks here. Hope 00z tonight is better.

You were pretty close to huge northern weenie band...might have been more like pike region to Rt 2 that run. Negligible at this time range. 

You’re gonna go insane micro-analyzing each run at 96 hours. 

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3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Honestly, that airmass over SNE as the storm arrives is no joke.  This is the type of setup that will produce a massive ocean enhanced assist for the South Shore and Cape and Islands.  Someone could see much higher amounts than the average county in SNE.  I do not think the high that strong and that close to NNE will allow the warmer air to win out.  Even the 12z EURO just now shows a massive area of -10C or lower air just over Cape Cod Bay and BOS.  That will not allow the boundary layer to warm.  Honestly, the models are all over the place with the thermals for tomorrow's snow event, and that is likely given the lack of cold air present ahead of time, but the WED/THU event has the cold air entrenched into the region.  Someone in the favorable OES belt on NE winds, could see 24" by Friday morning!

I promise you will not hit 24". 

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