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PWMan

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About PWMan

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    Scarborough, ME

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  1. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    I don’t live in SNE.
  2. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    Ugh. Wonder if we’ll ever see a taint-free storm this winter.
  3. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    Latest GYX probabilistic maps still show PWM with 14-16”, but I did notice that the 90% low-end has been cut back to 6; was 11 yesterday.
  4. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    Based on TWC coverage and maps you’d think icing was a big threat well into central ME. Also hearing lots of torch talk on here, but GYX forecasts and discussions don’t seem to be buying it - at least for this area. Still calling for 14” for PWM. Guess I should be bracing for a bust like everyone else.
  5. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    Not to belabor this when people who know more than me are actually engaging in meteorological analysis, but my take on this is that there's perceived to be little down-side in hyping these storms: snow-lovers will get excited and will want to watch more (while forwarding the maps to other snow enthusiasts), and snow-haters will forward the maps around and kvetch about how much winter sucks in Maine. As for the latter, complaining about the weather is a leading pastime here.
  6. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    I don't think they're intentionally incorrect, but in my experience there often seems to be a tendency to go with wide ranges that include eye-popping high ends. This morning, for example, I saw a few maps showing the majority of the state of Maine in a "10-20" band. That's quite a range, and people will naturally fixate on the 20.
  7. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    I can't help but think that's one reason some outlets put out those aggressive maps: they know people are going to copy/paste and send them around to their family and friends. Obviously that's not a motivation for NWS, but I can't help but think that it factors into the local news stations' thinking. Weather is one of the few reasons many people watch local programming anymore.
  8. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    Lots of people among "the public" up here throwing around 18-24 totals, probably based on one forecast or range they heard about -- and/or TWC hype. Once those numbers are out there it's hard to walk them back. Sensible impacts will obviously be about the same, and it'll probably blow around so much that it'll be hard to tell the difference.
  9. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    That and the progressive nature of it?
  10. PWMan

    Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT

    Of course, just because they're technically open doesn't mean anyone will actually be flying. With a well-hyped storm like this, airlines will preemptively cancel in droves.
  11. PWMan

    January 2019 Discussion II

    How’s it look for Maine ski country? Asking for a friend
  12. PWMan

    Beggars can’t be Choosers strung out mess Jan 8/9

    Dry slot FTW. Will be interesting to see if some of that back-end band pivots back through.
  13. PWMan

    Beggars can’t be Choosers strung out mess Jan 8/9

    Surprisingly smooth departure from PWM earlier given the radar presentation at the time (~7:30). Must have taken off just before the changeover.
  14. PWMan

    Beggars can’t be Choosers strung out mess Jan 8/9

    Skating rink out there right now. Could be an interesting morning. Scheduled to depart PWM at 7:15; taking the over on that.
  15. PWMan

    January 2019 Discussion

    Bingo. Last Thursday I had co-workers talking matter-of-factly about the "snowstorm" that was going to hit Boston this Wednesday; even had someone seriously propose canceling an off-site meeting. Throw in the Foxboro element and this will quickly become a major talking point.
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