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Typhoon Tip

Oct 29-30 snow threat

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2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Gfs is nice here looks like a advisory  event setting up

I believe your longitude could help place you out where that band is still solid before secondary low sort of shoots E/ESE and collapses band as it moves east.

I believe even SW CT needs to watch this

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11 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Definitely colder, deeper and more tucked. We take.

Yea, looks longer duration. 

 

Didn't it nail a few early (Nov/Dec) storms a few years back? Not looking for a model to ride, just remember maybe 2-3 years ago early it was all the rage on this board until it fell flat mid winter. I remember it was my first introduction to that model. 

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GFS looks decent to end. Going to need to look above 700mb for the snow growth. That areas crossed SNE between line 10-15z or so. 

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Models are still jockeying for position. One takes an amped look, then falls back. Then another model jumps on the amped train. Will be fun to watch this play out. When’s the next time in your life are you going to see snow from a s/w that interacts with a hurricane...a hurricane named Zeta. Saviour what this setup.


#NovaScotiaStrong

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Getting ready to flash to heavy snow right to the coast. Even we could get a few hours of goodies with that 

Yeah you'd be close, but prob pick up a couple inches there.

RGEM is kind of the "compromise" solution I was talking about with Kevin....in between some of the zonked solutions yesterday and the flatter ones overnight. It's not going to give anyone 18", but you could realistically see some low end warning snow amounts in an RGEM type evolution....esp over interior elevated areas.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS looks decent to end. Going to need to look above 700mb for the snow growth. That areas crossed SNE between line 10-15z or so. 

The soundings look good on GFS for Friday morning. Good saturation through SGZ.

Best lift is actually like 550-600mb there...thats prob midlevel magic going on.

 

 

OCt27_12zGFS72sounding.png

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9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It did chew some of the northern precip extent up in NNE....though it was stronger with the CCB down south. Seems like the front side got slightly squished while the backside CCB got a bit better.

500mb was definitely a touch sharper.  Ticked towards yesterday's snowier solutions.

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1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said:

A realistic best case scenario run there.

It's one of those scenarios where I have mangled flakes and can look a mile west to see a snow covered hill top like I did in Nov 2014..lol. In any case, I don't buy it at the moment.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

It's one of those scenarios where I have mangled flakes and can look a mile west to see a snow covered hill top like I did in Nov 2014..lol. In any case, I don't buy it at the moment.

Yeah, I meant in a general sense. A lot of people in the game but not overzealous. I'd sign.

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35 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Crying in my milk.  Will never recover.  Man, a good snow threat gets everyone busting balls so it’s fun.  The south loves stealing snow from the north, totally get it lol.

Don't fret you are going to get hammered with upslope Monday 

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30 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

7.99 from earthy crunchy store

There are kombucha growler fills in some supermarkets and convenience stores around here.

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I feel pretty good about seeing flakes and even some accumulation Friday.  Let’s do Kevin’s birthday next!

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3 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Whatever happened to the legendary north trend?

It is too soon.  North trends happen two days before and the day of the event and always on the Canadian.  South trends occur 3 days before and the eve of the strom.

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